Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong market quietly broke its downward trend channel last week, however the HSI met strong resistance at 18200 (100 Week Moving Average).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/picc-property-casualty-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:350:1" rel="noopener">PICC Property &amp; Casualty H (2328 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-petroleum-chemical-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:369:1" rel="noopener">China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK)</a> broke to new highs relative to MSCI indices.  Sinopec may benefit from stronger RMB in 2H24.
</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhou-intl-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10415:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK)</a> had a short-term turnaround from its downtrend.  The company reported growth in sales and better margins in 2Q24.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong market quietly broke its downward trend channel last week, however the HSI met strong resistance at 18200 (100 Week Moving Average).

PICC Property &amp; Casualty H (2328 HK) and China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK) broke to new highs relative to MSCI indices.  Sinopec may benefit from stronger RMB in 2H24.

Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK) had a short-term turnaround from its downtrend.  The company reported growth in sales and better margins in 2Q24.


Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 3)

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

China Resources Beer Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A liquid proxy for China's recovering consumption (with no technology regulation risk)</li>
<li>A quality red chip company at a very reasonable valuation</li>
<li>Growing sales and margins as its premiumisation strategy is executed</li>
</ul>


A liquid proxy for China's recovering consumption (with no technology regulation risk)
A quality red chip company at a very reasonable valuation
Growing sales and margins as its premiumisation strategy is executed


Cheers! Raise a Glass to China Resources Beer (0291.HK)

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

PICC Property & Casualty H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China's motor insurance has been showing signs of growth after years of decline due to deregulations and reforms in the sector.</li>
<li>Motor insurance tailwind will benefit large players the most. Bullish on PICC P&amp;C since it's the largest player in motor insurance and to likely benefit the most from the tailwind.</li>
<li>Bearish on CPIC since its P&amp;C business is much smaller than PICC P&amp;C and Ping An P&amp;C, while its L&amp;H growth continues to be under pressure.  </li>
</ul>


China's motor insurance has been showing signs of growth after years of decline due to deregulations and reforms in the sector.
Motor insurance tailwind will benefit large players the most. Bullish on PICC P&amp;C since it's the largest player in motor insurance and to likely benefit the most from the tailwind.
Bearish on CPIC since its P&amp;C business is much smaller than PICC P&amp;C and Ping An P&amp;C, while its L&amp;H growth continues to be under pressure.  


Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>A cyclical bull market in Chinese stocks provide a good opportunity in the sector</li>
<li>Similar upside potential as the brokers but with less volatility</li>
<li>Insurance products still have a low level of penetration in China</li>
</ul>


A cyclical bull market in Chinese stocks provide a good opportunity in the sector
Similar upside potential as the brokers but with less volatility
Insurance products still have a low level of penetration in China


Insurance Sector as a Leveraged Play on the Chinese Revival

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Chinese life insurers saw strong monthly premium growth in Aug on top of low bases, since the print of six H-share listed life peers rallied by 50% YoY to RMB 139bn in Aug, +41.2pct from last month, lifting the cumulative amount to RMB1,430bn, up 6.3% YoY in 8M24.</li><li>New China Life/Sunshine Life/PICC Life doubled the premium by +122%/104%/95% YoY in August (Fig.1), driven in part by the low base effect of PIR cut to 3.0% beginning in Aug 23, and the “stop-sale” impact of PIR cut for traditional life policies to 2.5% since Sep 24, in our view.</li><li>China Life/Ping An Life/CPIC Life grew premium income by 29%/38%/53% YoY in August, indicating respective highest monthly YoY growth year-to-date as well. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Chinese life insurers saw strong monthly premium growth in Aug on top of low bases, since the print of six H-share listed life peers rallied by 50% YoY to RMB 139bn in Aug, +41.2pct from last month, lifting the cumulative amount to RMB1,430bn, up 6.3% YoY in 8M24.New China Life/Sunshine Life/PICC Life doubled the premium by +122%/104%/95% YoY in August (Fig.1), driven in part by the low base effect of PIR cut to 3.0% beginning in Aug 23, and the “stop-sale” impact of PIR cut for traditional life policies to 2.5% since Sep 24, in our view.China Life/Ping An Life/CPIC Life grew premium income by 29%/38%/53% YoY in August, indicating respective highest monthly YoY growth year-to-date as well. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Insurance - 8M24 Monthly: Life Jumped on Top of Low Base

Hong Kong

China Taiping Insurance Holdings Company Ltd., through subsidiaries, underwrites life and property/casualty insurance and reinsurance.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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China Taiping Insurance Hldgs (966 HK)

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 3)

Hong Kong market broke its downtrend however it met strong resistance just above 18k. PICC and Sinopec broke to new highs relative to MSCI...

David Mudd

Cheers! Raise a Glass to China Resources Beer (0291.HK)

A quality Chinese red chip company at a reasonable valuation, growing sales and margins due to its premium strategy. A play on recovering Chinese...

Rikki Malik

China Insurance: PICC P&C Vs. CPIC

Bullish on PICC P&C outlook as it's expected to benefit the most from China's motor insurance recovery. Bearish on CPIC's because its P&C is much...

Alec Tseung

Insurance Sector as a Leveraged Play on the Chinese Revival

Chinese stocks in a cyclical bull market offer a promising opportunity especially in the insurance sector due to a reversal of trends and a low...

Rikki Malik

China Insurance - 8M24 Monthly: Life Jumped on Top of Low Base

Chinese life insurers saw strong monthly premium growth in Aug on top of low bases, since the print of six H-share listed life peers rallied by 50%...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 3)

Hong Kong market broke its downtrend however it met strong resistance just above 18k. PICC and Sinopec broke to new highs relative to MSCI...

David Mudd

Cheers! Raise a Glass to China Resources Beer (0291.HK)

A quality Chinese red chip company at a reasonable valuation, growing sales and margins due to its premium strategy. A play on recovering Chinese...

Rikki Malik

China Insurance: PICC P&C Vs. CPIC

Bullish on PICC P&C outlook as it's expected to benefit the most from China's motor insurance recovery. Bearish on CPIC's because its P&C is much...

Alec Tseung

Insurance Sector as a Leveraged Play on the Chinese Revival

​Chinese stocks in a cyclical bull market offer a promising opportunity especially in the insurance sector due to a reversal of trends and a low...

Rikki Malik

China Insurance - 8M24 Monthly: Life Jumped on Top of Low Base

Chinese life insurers saw strong monthly premium growth in Aug on top of low bases, since the print of six H-share listed life peers rallied by 50%...

CMB International

Chinese stocks in a cyclical bull market offer a promising opportunity especially in the insurance sector due to a reversal of trends and a low...