Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

China Resources Beverage / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (2460 HK)</a> raised around US$750m in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing at the top-end.</li>
<li>China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage (2460 HK) raised around US$750m in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing at the top-end.
China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


China Resources Beverage IPO Trading - Still a Bit of Fizz Left

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (CRB HK)</a> is offering 347.8m shares in its IPO at a price range of HK$13.5-14.5/share. With the overallotment option, the IPO could raise up to HK$5.8bn (US$474m).</li>
<li>Cornerstone investors will take up nearly half the offer. Those shares will be locked up for 6 months and will significantly reduce the free float of the stock.</li>
<li>Index inclusions will commence with the HSCI in March 2025 - that will also result in Stock Connect inclusion. The next index inclusion will take place in June.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage (CRB HK) is offering 347.8m shares in its IPO at a price range of HK$13.5-14.5/share. With the overallotment option, the IPO could raise up to HK$5.8bn (US$474m).
Cornerstone investors will take up nearly half the offer. Those shares will be locked up for 6 months and will significantly reduce the free float of the stock.
Index inclusions will commence with the HSCI in March 2025 - that will also result in Stock Connect inclusion. The next index inclusion will take place in June.


China Resources Beverage (2460 HK) IPO: Index Inclusions & Stock Connect in 2025

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (2460 HK)</a> priced its IPO at HK$14.50 per share to raise the gross proceeds of US$649 million. The shares will start trading on 23 October.</li>
<li>The IPO was discussed in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cr-beverage-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:157572" rel="noopener">CR Beverage IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cr-beverage-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:158613" rel="noopener">CR Beverage IPO: The Bear Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cr-beverage-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:161273" rel="noopener">CR Beverage IPO: The Investment Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cr-beverage-2460-hk-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:162418" rel="noopener">CR Beverage (2460 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>The market sentiment of the peers has remained unchanged since the IPO launch. CR Beverage is fairly valued at the IPO price.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage (2460 HK) priced its IPO at HK$14.50 per share to raise the gross proceeds of US$649 million. The shares will start trading on 23 October.
The IPO was discussed in CR Beverage IPO: The Bull Case, CR Beverage IPO: The Bear Case, CR Beverage IPO: The Investment Case, CR Beverage (2460 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights. 
The market sentiment of the peers has remained unchanged since the IPO launch. CR Beverage is fairly valued at the IPO price.


HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>The whole industry has entered a medium to low-speed growth stage, and the industry's future growth rate will remain single-digit growth. So, CR Beverage's future performance decline is inevitable.</li>
<li>Due to serious homogenization/competition of packaged drinking water market, there’s not much room for innovation/iteration. CR Beverage's sales-driven model is hard to bring “new story” to break through the dilemma. </li>
<li>CR Beverage is clearly inferior to Nongfu Spring. Its valuation should be lower than Nongfu Spring. We think reasonable valuation of CR Beverage is about US$4 billion (or lower).</li>
</ul>


The whole industry has entered a medium to low-speed growth stage, and the industry's future growth rate will remain single-digit growth. So, CR Beverage's future performance decline is inevitable.
Due to serious homogenization/competition of packaged drinking water market, there’s not much room for innovation/iteration. CR Beverage's sales-driven model is hard to bring “new story” to break through the dilemma. 
CR Beverage is clearly inferior to Nongfu Spring. Its valuation should be lower than Nongfu Spring. We think reasonable valuation of CR Beverage is about US$4 billion (or lower).


Pre-IPO China Resources Beverage - Due to the Pain Points, High Valuation Is Not Justified

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (2460 HK)</a>  plans to raise  US$650m at the upper end of the indicative IPO price range at a market capitalisation and EV of HK$34bn and HK$27bn respectively.</li>
<li>Though the company has a strong business model and fundamentals, the packaged drinking water market is intensely competitive creating a price war and dragging down growth rates.</li>
<li>CR Beverage is less diversified and has inferior margins compared to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nongfu-spring-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28955:1" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring (9633 HK)</a> , hence priced at a deep discount to its peer, making the IPO pricing attractive.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage (2460 HK)  plans to raise  US$650m at the upper end of the indicative IPO price range at a market capitalisation and EV of HK$34bn and HK$27bn respectively.
Though the company has a strong business model and fundamentals, the packaged drinking water market is intensely competitive creating a price war and dragging down growth rates.
CR Beverage is less diversified and has inferior margins compared to Nongfu Spring (9633 HK) , hence priced at a deep discount to its peer, making the IPO pricing attractive.


China

China Resources Beverage (Holdings) Company Limited manufactures and distributes drink products. The Company produces drinking water, lemon tea, chrysanthemum tea, sour plum soups, oolong tea, fruit tea, milk tea, and other products. China Resources Beverage (Holdings) markets its products throughout Hong Kong.

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China Resources Beverage (2460 HK)

China Resources Beverage IPO Trading - Still a Bit of Fizz Left

China Resources Beverage (2460 HK) raised around US$750m in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing at the top-end. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh