Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Big picture: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post (6178 JP)</a> selling 29% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a> is a Very Big Offering at ¥1.236trln. 80/20 dom/international. A TOUGH sell. 1.089bn shares is 4x float. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/downer-edi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12350:1" rel="noopener">Downer EDI (DOW AU)</a>'s CEO resigned ahead of announcing accounting irregularities last December. The CFO resigned this week after Downer announced another profit downgrade. Now the chairman is exiting. </li>
<li>Hong Kong broadband play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>said it has been approached by I Squares' HGC. No pricing announced, but talks continue. </li>
</ul>


Big picture: Japan Post (6178 JP) selling 29% of Japan Post Bank (7182 JP) is a Very Big Offering at ¥1.236trln. 80/20 dom/international. A TOUGH sell. 1.089bn shares is 4x float. 

Downer EDI (DOW AU)'s CEO resigned ahead of announcing accounting irregularities last December. The CFO resigned this week after Downer announced another profit downgrade. Now the chairman is exiting. 
Hong Kong broadband play HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)said it has been approached by I Squares' HGC. No pricing announced, but talks continue. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Japan Post/Japan Post Bank, Downer, HKBN, Golden Energy

<ul>
<li>There are 46 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this past week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/slater-gordon-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:353:1" rel="noopener">Slater &amp; Gordon (SGH AU)</a>'s off-market Offer; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shl-japan-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11571:1" rel="noopener">SHL Japan Ltd (4327 JP)</a>'s MBO/LBO; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gk-goh-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8482:1" rel="noopener">GK Goh Holdings (GKG SP)</a>'s MBO. </li>
<li>Key updates took place for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/halcyon-agri-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18191:1" rel="noopener">Halcyon Agri (HACL SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 46 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this past week: Slater &amp; Gordon (SGH AU)'s off-market Offer; SHL Japan Ltd (4327 JP)'s MBO/LBO; and GK Goh Holdings (GKG SP)'s MBO. 
Key updates took place for Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU), Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK), Halcyon Agri (HACL SP), and Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Slater & Gordon; SHL Japan, GK Goh, Nitro Software, Yashili

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Yashili International Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a> announced that the Dumex China Disposal was completed. The completion will result in the satisfaction of the last pre-condition, likely within five business days.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>’s offer is HK$1.20 per share. Due to the upcoming release of full-year results, the scheme document will be likely despatched by early April. </li>
<li>This is a done deal and timing is the key risk. At the current price and for a late-May payment, the gross and annualised spread is 2.6% and 11.3%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK) announced that the Dumex China Disposal was completed. The completion will result in the satisfaction of the last pre-condition, likely within five business days.

China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)’s offer is HK$1.20 per share. Due to the upcoming release of full-year results, the scheme document will be likely despatched by early April. 
This is a done deal and timing is the key risk. At the current price and for a late-May payment, the gross and annualised spread is 2.6% and 11.3%, respectively.


Yashili (1230 HK): Pre-Condition Satisfaction Likely Within 5 Business Days

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Mar 3rd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were GWM (2333 HK), Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK), Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were GWM (2333 HK), Aia (1299 HK), China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Mar 3rd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were GWM (2333 HK), Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK), Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were GWM (2333 HK), Aia (1299 HK), China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 3rd): Great Wall Motor, China Mengniu Dairy, Sino Biopharmaceutical

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a> has announced that the disposal of Dumex China to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/danone-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21403:1" rel="noopener">Danone SA (BN FP)</a> has been completed.</li>
<li>This satisfies the second of three SPAs announced last May, leaving the sale of Danone's 25% stake in Yashili to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a> outstanding. </li>
<li>This stake sale should conclude next week, to be followed by the launch of the Scheme later this month, early next.</li>
</ul>



Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK) has announced that the disposal of Dumex China to Danone SA (BN FP) has been completed.
This satisfies the second of three SPAs announced last May, leaving the sale of Danone's 25% stake in Yashili to China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK) outstanding. 
This stake sale should conclude next week, to be followed by the launch of the Scheme later this month, early next.


Yashili (1230 HK): ​Mengniu Offer Imminent As Key Sale Concludes

China

China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes quality dairy products in China. The principal products are liquid milk products, ice cream, and other dairy products, such as milk powder. The Company markets its products under its primary MENGNIU core brand.

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China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Japan Post/Japan Post Bank, Downer, HKBN, Golden Energy

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Slater & Gordon; SHL Japan, GK Goh, Nitro Software, Yashili

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Yashili (1230 HK): Pre-Condition Satisfaction Likely Within 5 Business Days

This is a done deal and timing is the key risk. At the current price and for a late-May payment, the gross and annualised spread is 2.6% and 11.3%,...

Arun George

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 3rd): Great Wall Motor, China Mengniu Dairy, Sino Biopharmaceutical

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were GWM (2333 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yashili (1230 HK): Mengniu Offer Imminent As Key Sale Concludes

The Dumex China sale is done. The despatch of the Scheme Doc should occur around this time next month. Trading at a 5.3%/21.1% gross/annualised...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Japan Post/Japan Post Bank, Downer, HKBN, Golden Energy

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Slater & Gordon; SHL Japan, GK Goh, Nitro Software, Yashili

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Yashili (1230 HK): Pre-Condition Satisfaction Likely Within 5 Business Days

This is a done deal and timing is the key risk. At the current price and for a late-May payment, the gross and annualised spread is 2.6% and 11.3%,...

Arun George

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 3rd): Great Wall Motor, China Mengniu Dairy, Sino Biopharmaceutical

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were GWM (2333 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yashili (1230 HK): ​Mengniu Offer Imminent As Key Sale Concludes

The Dumex China sale is done. The despatch of the Scheme Doc should occur around this time next month. Trading at a 5.3%/21.1% gross/annualised...

David Blennerhassett

Yashili (1230 HK): Mengniu Offer Imminent As Key Sale Concludes