Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this insight we cover recent earnings results, revenue mix, YTD trends</li>
<li>Fluctuating performance of its international segment impacted FY23 and Q124</li>
<li>Improving international segment could boost overall momentum in Q2-Q4 2024</li>
</ul>


In this insight we cover recent earnings results, revenue mix, YTD trends
Fluctuating performance of its international segment impacted FY23 and Q124
Improving international segment could boost overall momentum in Q2-Q4 2024


SF Holding Pre-IPO: FY23, Q124 Results Reviewed | Sales Mix Impacts | Recent Monthly Revenue Trend

<ul>
<li>CaiNiao and JD Logistics have grown far faster than their parents' platforms in recent years, and also far faster than "plain vanilla" Chinese express companies</li>
<li>CaiNiao, JD Logistics, and SF Holding enjoy more avenues to growth than just the continued gradual expansion of China's domestic e-commerce activity</li>
<li>In the medium-term, we believe shares of market leader SF Holding can outperform a basket of shares from SF's "plain vanilla" peers in express</li>
</ul>


CaiNiao and JD Logistics have grown far faster than their parents' platforms in recent years, and also far faster than "plain vanilla" Chinese express companies
CaiNiao, JD Logistics, and SF Holding enjoy more avenues to growth than just the continued gradual expansion of China's domestic e-commerce activity
In the medium-term, we believe shares of market leader SF Holding can outperform a basket of shares from SF's "plain vanilla" peers in express


CaiNiao & SF Holding Enjoy More Avenues to Growth Than "Plain Vanilla" Express Companies

<ul>
<li>Kerry Logistics Network will pay a special dividend in the form of KEX shares</li>
<li>This will trigger a general offer by SF Holding for all KEX shares at THB 5.50</li>
<li>Why is SF Holding doing this, &amp; how could its int'l express business change?</li>
</ul>


Kerry Logistics Network will pay a special dividend in the form of KEX shares
This will trigger a general offer by SF Holding for all KEX shares at THB 5.50
Why is SF Holding doing this, &amp; how could its int'l express business change?


Kerry Logistics Network to Pay Dividend in Form of KEX Shares | SF Holding's Role & Objectives

<ul>
<li>Review of Q2/H1 results, including impact from international, Kerry Logistics Network</li>
<li>Refining idea of "internationalization", which we believe is driving force behind SF's HK IPO</li>
<li>Testing thesis: did air and international exposure help or hurt SF margins in H1?</li>
</ul>


Review of Q2/H1 results, including impact from international, Kerry Logistics Network
Refining idea of "internationalization", which we believe is driving force behind SF's HK IPO
Testing thesis: did air and international exposure help or hurt SF margins in H1?


SF Holding HK IPO | Q2/H1 Results | "Internationalization" Thesis Refined | Air, Int'l Impact in H1

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ASPs remain under pressure as STO, J&amp;T gain volume share in ground segment</li>
<li>March showed a surprising slowdown in pace of international volume growth</li>
<li>We believe Q423 and Q124 company-level profitability will mostly disappoint</li>
</ul>


ASPs remain under pressure as STO, J&amp;T gain volume share in ground segment
March showed a surprising slowdown in pace of international volume growth
We believe Q423 and Q124 company-level profitability will mostly disappoint


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | March ASPs Fell, Again | Volumes Moderated, Including X-Border

Hong Kong

Cainiao Smart Logistics Network Ltd. operates as an investment company. The Company provides equity investments, investment management, and other services. Cainiao Smart Logistics Network is located in Hong Kong.

Cainiao Smart Logistics Network (1437124D HK)

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Cainiao Smart Logistics Network (1437124D HK)

SF Holding Pre-IPO: FY23, Q124 Results Reviewed | Sales Mix Impacts | Recent Monthly Revenue Trend

In this insight we review SF Holding's recent results, analyze sales mix and its impact on margins, and explain trends in recent monthly sales growth.

Tracking Traffic

CaiNiao & SF Holding Enjoy More Avenues to Growth Than "Plain Vanilla" Express Companies

On Sunday June 2, SF Holding announced via a notice at the Shenzhen Stock Exchange that it plans to sell up to 625 mn new shares in a secondary...

Tracking Traffic

Kerry Logistics Network to Pay Dividend in Form of KEX Shares | SF Holding's Role & Objectives

On Sunday June 2, SF Holding announced via a notice at the Shenzhen Stock Exchange that it plans to sell up to 625 mn new shares in a secondary...

Tracking Traffic

SF Holding HK IPO | Q2/H1 Results | "Internationalization" Thesis Refined | Air, Int'l Impact in H1

On Sunday June 2, SF Holding announced via a notice at the Shenzhen Stock Exchange that it plans to sell up to 625 mn new shares in a secondary...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | March ASPs Fell, Again | Volumes Moderated, Including X-Border

Domestic parcel volume slowed in March, and unit pricing remains under pressure. In addition, it appears the previously strong growth of Chinese X...

Tracking Traffic

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