Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hello everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning overview.</li>
<li>We’ve been working on some new ways to look at positioning data across asset classes, and we’ll share some of the inaugural charts in today’s piece and will extend them, week by week.</li>
<li>Markets have more or less traded sideways since the start of the year, as the risk-on party has taken a bit of a breather it seems, despite rate cut expectations becoming even more embedded after the hawkish US CPI surprise last Thursday – strange move, and we’ll be surprised if probabilities don’t reverse within the next couple of price data points.</li>
</ul>


Hello everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning overview.
We’ve been working on some new ways to look at positioning data across asset classes, and we’ll share some of the inaugural charts in today’s piece and will extend them, week by week.
Markets have more or less traded sideways since the start of the year, as the risk-on party has taken a bit of a breather it seems, despite rate cut expectations becoming even more embedded after the hawkish US CPI surprise last Thursday – strange move, and we’ll be surprised if probabilities don’t reverse within the next couple of price data points.


Positioning Watch – Where to Find Value Currently

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>FX Market Update—The USD is a little softer overall on the session so far but there is little to suggest FX markets are doing anything different from the trading patterns seen so far this week—idling ahead of tomorrow’s US CPI data.</li><li>The ZAR and AUD lead intraday gains on the USD, closely followed by the NOK—suggesting a pro-risk bias in markets.</li><li>But European stocks are only marginally higher on the session while US futures are narrowly mixed. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Market Update—The USD is a little softer overall on the session so far but there is little to suggest FX markets are doing anything different from the trading patterns seen so far this week—idling ahead of tomorrow’s US CPI data.The ZAR and AUD lead intraday gains on the USD, closely followed by the NOK—suggesting a pro-risk bias in markets.But European stocks are only marginally higher on the session while US futures are narrowly mixed. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>FX Market Update—Broad USD losses yesterday were curbed a little above Friday’s intraday low made around the release of the NFP, leaving the DXY still effectively in consolidation mode after its New Year gains.</li><li>Trading impulses look relatively limited this morning, suggesting more range trading for the majors as markets continue to focus on Thursday’s US CPI release as the next major catalyst. Stocks are broadly lower, a plus for the USD.</li><li>Bonds are mostly weaker but Treasurys are out-performing, leaving spreads moving marginally against the USD along the curve. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Market Update—Broad USD losses yesterday were curbed a little above Friday’s intraday low made around the release of the NFP, leaving the DXY still effectively in consolidation mode after its New Year gains.Trading impulses look relatively limited this morning, suggesting more range trading for the majors as markets continue to focus on Thursday’s US CPI release as the next major catalyst. Stocks are broadly lower, a plus for the USD.Bonds are mostly weaker but Treasurys are out-performing, leaving spreads moving marginally against the USD along the curve. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>FX Market Update—The USD is steady in broad terms to start the week. Major currencies are narrowly mixed in light trade.</li><li>The JPY is a moderate outperformer on the session ahead of tonight’s Tokyo CPI data while high beta FX is underperforming.</li><li>Lower oil prices are weighing on the NOK but softer stocks generally—after hefty falls in Chinese markets earlier—are weighing on the AUD and NZD. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Market Update—The USD is steady in broad terms to start the week. Major currencies are narrowly mixed in light trade.The JPY is a moderate outperformer on the session ahead of tonight’s Tokyo CPI data while high beta FX is underperforming.Lower oil prices are weighing on the NOK but softer stocks generally—after hefty falls in Chinese markets earlier—are weighing on the AUD and NZD. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Holds Steady as Jobs Data Dust Settles

<ul><li>The USD is trading a little lower on the session. The USD’s New Year rally has stalled, with the EUR gaining a little ground over the course of the European morning session on supportive data.</li><li>The JPY is underperforming amid speculation that the Ishikawa earthquake will leave the BoJ reluctant to adjust monetary policy in the near term, however.</li><li>Broader USD losses are perhaps no more than a pause in the recent rebound which still has room to play out, in my opinion. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD is trading a little lower on the session. The USD’s New Year rally has stalled, with the EUR gaining a little ground over the course of the European morning session on supportive data.The JPY is underperforming amid speculation that the Ishikawa earthquake will leave the BoJ reluctant to adjust monetary policy in the near term, however.Broader USD losses are perhaps no more than a pause in the recent rebound which still has room to play out, in my opinion. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Edges Lower but Finds Support on Dips

Canada

The Canadian dollar is the official currency of Canada. 

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CAD (USDCAD CURNCY)

Positioning Watch – Where to Find Value Currently

Markets have more or less traded sideways since the start of the year, as the risk-on party has taken a bit of a breather it seems, despite rate...

Steno Research

FX Daily - USD Idles Ahead of CPI

he USD is a little softer overall on the session so far but there is little to suggest FX markets are doing anything different from the trading...

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Rebounds but Holds Range

Broad USD losses yesterday were curbed a little above Friday’s intraday low made around the release of the NFP, leaving the DXY still effectively...

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Holds Steady as Jobs Data Dust Settles

FX Market Update—The USD is steady in broad terms to start the week. Major currencies are narrowly mixed in light trade.

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Edges Lower but Finds Support on Dips

he USD’s New Year rally has stalled, with the EUR gaining a little ground over the course of the European morning session on supportive data.

Scotiabank

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