Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a> ’s 1Q2023 earnings were above consensus estimates with the company reporting positive adj. EBITDA and adj. net profit during the quarter.</li>
<li>Operating profit margin of the domestic business further improved while the company managed to significantly reduce operating losses of the overseas business during the quarter.</li>
<li>Kuaishou also announced a small share buyback worth of HK$4bn which further affirms the company’s improving fundamentals and should help attract investors.</li>
</ul>



Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) ’s 1Q2023 earnings were above consensus estimates with the company reporting positive adj. EBITDA and adj. net profit during the quarter.
Operating profit margin of the domestic business further improved while the company managed to significantly reduce operating losses of the overseas business during the quarter.
Kuaishou also announced a small share buyback worth of HK$4bn which further affirms the company’s improving fundamentals and should help attract investors.


Kuaishou 1Q2023: Upbeat Quarter with a Small Share Buyback

Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Weaknesses of BABA stock and China tech sector in general post their strong earnings recovery for March quarter suggest market’s concerns centering around growth outlook.</li>
<li>BABA fundamental has tracked well to our projection since last November. P/E multiple contraction - which priced in too much pessimism - prevented our bullish call from materializing, for now.</li>
<li>We stick to our thesis that March quarter results set stage for BABA re-rating on sustained recovery, well-executed overhaul effectively unlocking value and investors’ renewed appetite for China assets.</li>
</ul>


Weaknesses of BABA stock and China tech sector in general post their strong earnings recovery for March quarter suggest market’s concerns centering around growth outlook.
BABA fundamental has tracked well to our projection since last November. P/E multiple contraction - which priced in too much pessimism - prevented our bullish call from materializing, for now.
We stick to our thesis that March quarter results set stage for BABA re-rating on sustained recovery, well-executed overhaul effectively unlocking value and investors’ renewed appetite for China assets.


Alibaba (BABA US): What It Takes for Re-Rating

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 19th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, China Construction Bank, China Mobile, Li Auto.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 19th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, China Construction Bank, China Mobile, Li Auto.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 19th): Tencent, China Construction Bank, China Mobile, Li Auto

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>'s spin-off's continue to draw interest.</li>
<li>The REIT were out in full force this week for placements as interest rates globally appear to be approaching their peak.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) and Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)'s spin-off's continue to draw interest.
The REIT were out in full force this week for placements as interest rates globally appear to be approaching their peak.


ECM Weekly (21st May 2023) - Alibaba, Cainiao, Baba Cloud, Nexus, DXN, Growatt, Rakuten, JD Ind

<ul>
<li>We believe BABA’s upcoming 4QFY23 results will surprise the market to the upside by a wide margin in terms of recovery in bottomline, catalyzing trading opportunity for short-term investors.</li>
<li>We also expect that the results will usher in a period of sustained re-rating for the stock due to China’s continued yet slow consumption recovery and Alibaba’s well-executed restructuring plan.</li>
<li>Geo-Political risks will not go away, but have been very much reflected in current pricing in our view. Buy ahead of results on Thursday.</li>
</ul>


We believe BABA’s upcoming 4QFY23 results will surprise the market to the upside by a wide margin in terms of recovery in bottomline, catalyzing trading opportunity for short-term investors.
We also expect that the results will usher in a period of sustained re-rating for the stock due to China’s continued yet slow consumption recovery and Alibaba’s well-executed restructuring plan.
Geo-Political risks will not go away, but have been very much reflected in current pricing in our view. Buy ahead of results on Thursday.


Alibaba (BABA US): Buy Ahead of March Quarter Results This Thursday

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

Alibaba (BABA US): What It Takes for Re-Rating

Despite markets' focus on near-term growth weakness, we stick to our bullish call on BABA on sustained recovery, well-executed reorganization...

Eric Chen

Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 19th): Tencent, China Construction Bank, China Mobile, Li Auto

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Tencent, China Construction Bank, China Mobile, Li Auto.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ECM Weekly (21st May 2023) - Alibaba, Cainiao, Baba Cloud, Nexus, DXN, Growatt, Rakuten, JD Ind

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Alibaba (BABA US): Buy Ahead of March Quarter Results This Thursday

We believe BABA's upcoming 4QFY23 results will surprise the market to the upside by a wide margin in terms of recovery in bottomline. Buy ahead of...

Eric Chen

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

Kuaishou 1Q2023: Upbeat Quarter with a Small Share Buyback

IQ2023 earnings beat consensus with adj. EBITDA and an adj. net profit for the quarter. Domestic biz's OPM further improved and overseas losses...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Alibaba (BABA US): What It Takes for Re-Rating

Despite markets' focus on near-term growth weakness, we stick to our bullish call on BABA on sustained recovery, well-executed reorganization...

Eric Chen

Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 19th): Tencent, China Construction Bank, China Mobile, Li Auto

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Tencent, China Construction Bank, China Mobile, Li Auto.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ECM Weekly (21st May 2023) - Alibaba, Cainiao, Baba Cloud, Nexus, DXN, Growatt, Rakuten, JD Ind

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Alibaba (BABA US): Buy Ahead of March Quarter Results This Thursday

We believe BABA's upcoming 4QFY23 results will surprise the market to the upside by a wide margin in terms of recovery in bottomline. Buy ahead of...

Eric Chen