Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Viya, China's livestreaming queen, was fined RMB1.34 billion (USD210 billion) for tax evasion and related offences in 2019 and 2020 and her internet presence erased </li>
<li>This exposes existing risks in the livestreaming sector including over-dependence on top KOLs, additional layer of costs and sector-specific regulatory crackdown</li>
<li>In this Insight, we examine the cost structure of livestreaming e-commerce and discuss the Viya incident's implications on the livestreaming e-commerce sector</li>
</ul>


Viya, China's livestreaming queen, was fined RMB1.34 billion (USD210 billion) for tax evasion and related offences in 2019 and 2020 and her internet presence erased 
This exposes existing risks in the livestreaming sector including over-dependence on top KOLs, additional layer of costs and sector-specific regulatory crackdown
In this Insight, we examine the cost structure of livestreaming e-commerce and discuss the Viya incident's implications on the livestreaming e-commerce sector


Livestreaming E-Commerce - How the Sector Might Evolve After Viya Fine

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

LG Energy Solution / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>2021 marked our sixth year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. </li>
<li>Most markets were in top gear on the ECM front and we ended the year covering the highest number of IPOs and the second highest number of placements since inception.</li>
<li>For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.</li>
</ul>


2021 marked our sixth year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 
Most markets were in top gear on the ECM front and we ended the year covering the highest number of IPOs and the second highest number of placements since inception.
For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.


Aequitas 2021 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - Busiest Year on Record

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>With life getting back to the usual ways following changes due to COVID-19, the Japanese cosmetics sector was expected to experience an uplift in earnings, mainly through inbound demand.</li>
<li>However, the extension of China’s common prosperity crackdowns to the live-streaming e-commerce business, could more than offset a possible recovery in inbound demand.</li>
<li>Thus, we fear that there is additional downside risk to Japanese cosmetics multiples in the short term.</li>
</ul>


With life getting back to the usual ways following changes due to COVID-19, the Japanese cosmetics sector was expected to experience an uplift in earnings, mainly through inbound demand.
However, the extension of China’s common prosperity crackdowns to the live-streaming e-commerce business, could more than offset a possible recovery in inbound demand.
Thus, we fear that there is additional downside risk to Japanese cosmetics multiples in the short term.


Crackdown on Live-Streaming E-Commerce Could Derail The Recovery of Japanese Cosmetics

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We note inflows into Tencent, Xiaomi, CNOOC, and Kuaishou before the Christmas holiday. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We note inflows into Tencent, Xiaomi, CNOOC, and Kuaishou before the Christmas holiday. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows: Chinese Buying Tencent, Xiaomi, CNOOC and Kuaishou Before Xmas

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

<ul>
<li>With the recent announcement of Tencent’s distribution of its JD.com shares to shareholders its other stakes have come under scrutiny. </li>
<li>We have been speculating for some time about whether a split from Tencent was on the cards for Epic. </li>
<li>In the case of Riot we had not expected a sale but it may not be impossible.</li>
</ul>


With the recent announcement of Tencent’s distribution of its JD.com shares to shareholders its other stakes have come under scrutiny. 
We have been speculating for some time about whether a split from Tencent was on the cards for Epic. 
In the case of Riot we had not expected a sale but it may not be impossible.


Tencent – Do Epic Games and Riot Get Sold?

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

Livestreaming E-Commerce - How the Sector Might Evolve After Viya Fine

Viya was fined for tax evasion and her internet presence erased. We discuss livestreaming e-commerce's cost structure and risks, and how the...

Jason Yap, CFA

Aequitas 2021 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - Busiest Year on Record

2021 marked our sixth year of Asia ECM coverage. Most markets were in top gear on the ECM front and we ended the year covering the highest number...

Sumeet Singh

Crackdown on Live-Streaming E-Commerce Could Derail The Recovery of Japanese Cosmetics

Valuation multiples of Japanese cosmetics makers more than doubled during the last 6-7 years alongside the growth driven by the China expansion and...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Chinese Buying Tencent, Xiaomi, CNOOC and Kuaishou Before Xmas

We highlight Hong Kong Connect inflows into Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), Cnooc (883 HK) and Kuaishou (1024 HK), as well as outflows from...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent – Do Epic Games and Riot Get Sold?

With the recent announcement of Tencent’s distribution of its JD.com shares to shareholders we consider the different implications for the industry...

Mio Kato

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