Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)</a>'s  aggressive price cuts on its S1 scooter aim to fend off competition and boost sales but risk alienating existing customers and damaging brand perception.</li>
<li>Ola Electric’s mishandling of online criticism—capped by its CEO’s heated spat with a well-known comedian—has tarnished the brand’s image.</li>
<li>With market share and stock prices dropping, concerns loom over how the company will fare after lock-up expiry in November/February and whether it will qualify for global index inclusion.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)'s  aggressive price cuts on its S1 scooter aim to fend off competition and boost sales but risk alienating existing customers and damaging brand perception.
Ola Electric’s mishandling of online criticism—capped by its CEO’s heated spat with a well-known comedian—has tarnished the brand’s image.
With market share and stock prices dropping, concerns loom over how the company will fare after lock-up expiry in November/February and whether it will qualify for global index inclusion.


Ola Electric: Price-Cut Gamble, Social Media Blunders, Slipping Sales – Is the Spark Fading?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Sep’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed strong volume growth of ~17%/20% and 2W exports were up by 19%/9%% YoY/ MoM respectively.</li><li>The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) volume stood between -2% to 2% YoY, largely due to weakness in MSIL/Tata Motors/Hyundai/ Honda, partly offset by strong domestic SUV volumes by Toyota/ M&amp;M/Kia.</li><li>The domestic CV industry sales degrew by ~12% YoY mainly due to lower MHCV truck and Bus volumes. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Sep’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed strong volume growth of ~17%/20% and 2W exports were up by 19%/9%% YoY/ MoM respectively.The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) volume stood between -2% to 2% YoY, largely due to weakness in MSIL/Tata Motors/Hyundai/ Honda, partly offset by strong domestic SUV volumes by Toyota/ M&amp;M/Kia.The domestic CV industry sales degrew by ~12% YoY mainly due to lower MHCV truck and Bus volumes. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - September 2024

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Government of India raised around US$513m via selling some of its stake in Bharti Hexacom’s IPO in Apr 2024. Its IPO lockup is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Bharti Hexacom (BH) is a communications solutions provider offering consumer mobile services, fixed-line telephone and broadband services to customers in the Rajasthan and the Northeast.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>


Government of India raised around US$513m via selling some of its stake in Bharti Hexacom’s IPO in Apr 2024. Its IPO lockup is set to expire soon.
Bharti Hexacom (BH) is a communications solutions provider offering consumer mobile services, fixed-line telephone and broadband services to customers in the Rajasthan and the Northeast.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Bharti Hexacom IPO Lockup - US$1.2bn Lockup Expiry, Will Have to Sell for Free-Float

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI) as of our August 8, 2024 Int’l Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023</li>
<li>As discussed since late-July, we believe we're still within a 4- to 6-month pullback/consolidation from our selected July 17 starting point, until the market decides which was this consolidation resolves </li>
<li>TOPIX is below 2740-2820 resistance. Europe is testing resistance, though near potential breakouts on the EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and STOXX Europe 50. Watch for false breakouts</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI) as of our August 8, 2024 Int’l Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023
As discussed since late-July, we believe we're still within a 4- to 6-month pullback/consolidation from our selected July 17 starting point, until the market decides which was this consolidation resolves 
TOPIX is below 2740-2820 resistance. Europe is testing resistance, though near potential breakouts on the EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and STOXX Europe 50. Watch for false breakouts


Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE (Local Curr) Below Resistance

<ul>
<li>Welcome to Consumer Tales &amp; Trends, your weekly roundup of the latest corporate developments, investment reports and sector events in the consumer industry.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea (SE US)</a> owned Shopee has partnered with YouTube to drive GMV growth and resist  competition with TikTok, which has strengthened its regional presence through its stake in Tokopedia,</li>
<li>India's strong shopping appetite was reflected in robust gold purchases in August and high demand for the iPhone 16 launched last week.</li>
</ul>


Welcome to Consumer Tales &amp; Trends, your weekly roundup of the latest corporate developments, investment reports and sector events in the consumer industry.

Sea (SE US) owned Shopee has partnered with YouTube to drive GMV growth and resist  competition with TikTok, which has strengthened its regional presence through its stake in Tokopedia,
India's strong shopping appetite was reflected in robust gold purchases in August and high demand for the iPhone 16 launched last week.


Weekly Consumer Tales: Shopee Youtube Tieup-China Home Price Slump-India's Rising Gold, Iphone Sales

India

Bajaj Auto Limited manufactures and distributes motorized two-wheeled and three-wheeled scooters, motorcycles and mopeds.

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Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - September 2024

Sep’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed strong volume growth of ~17%/20% and 2W exports were up by 19%/9%% YoY/ MoM respectively.

Axis Direct

Bharti Hexacom IPO Lockup - US$1.2bn Lockup Expiry, Will Have to Sell for Free-Float

Government of India raised around US$513m via selling some of its stake in Bharti Hexacom’s IPO in Apr 2024. Its IPO lockup is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE (Local Curr) Below Resistance

Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE (local currency) Also Below Resistance Though Testing Now; $EEM breakout...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Consumer Tales: Shopee Youtube Tieup-China Home Price Slump-India's Rising Gold, Iphone Sales

Shopee (SE US) has partnered with YouTube to boost GMV and counter competition from TikTok, which has expanded its regional presence through its...

Devi Subhakesan

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Ola Electric: Price-Cut Gamble, Social Media Blunders, Slipping Sales – Is the Spark Fading?

Ola's poor handling of customer issues and brand image is hurting sales. Stock performance hinges on market share recovery, likely impacting its...

Devi Subhakesan

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - September 2024

Sep’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed strong volume growth of ~17%/20% and 2W exports were up by 19%/9%% YoY/ MoM respectively.

Axis Direct

Bharti Hexacom IPO Lockup - US$1.2bn Lockup Expiry, Will Have to Sell for Free-Float

Government of India raised around US$513m via selling some of its stake in Bharti Hexacom’s IPO in Apr 2024. Its IPO lockup is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE (Local Curr) Below Resistance

Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE (local currency) Also Below Resistance Though Testing Now; $EEM breakout...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Consumer Tales: Shopee Youtube Tieup-China Home Price Slump-India's Rising Gold, Iphone Sales

Shopee (SE US) has partnered with YouTube to boost GMV and counter competition from TikTok, which has expanded its regional presence through its...

Devi Subhakesan