Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Over the next couple of weeks, we will focus on highlighting key earnings and what catches our attention in the conference calls</li>
<li>Top Large Cap Bullish Ideas include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-asset-management-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27027:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Asset Management Co Ltd (HDFCAMC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pvr-inox-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10144:1" rel="noopener">Pvr Inox (PVRINOX IN)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/d-b-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6044:1" rel="noopener">D.B. Corp Ltd (DBCL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indiamart-intermesh-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27733:1" rel="noopener">IndiaMart (INMART IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gopal-snacks-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40960:1" rel="noopener">Gopal Snacks (GOPAL IN)</a> are names that we have a bearish view on. </li>
</ul>


Over the next couple of weeks, we will focus on highlighting key earnings and what catches our attention in the conference calls
Top Large Cap Bullish Ideas include HDFC Asset Management Co Ltd (HDFCAMC IN), Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) &amp; Pvr Inox (PVRINOX IN).

D.B. Corp Ltd (DBCL IN), IndiaMart (INMART IN) &amp; Gopal Snacks (GOPAL IN) are names that we have a bearish view on. 


Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Editions Are Back

<ul>
<li>With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.</li>
<li>For this postcard, we travel to the magnificent and iconic city of Agra. </li>
<li>We were pleasantly surprised by the rapid pace of electrification among three-wheelers, which is the topic of this postcard.</li>
</ul>


With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.
For this postcard, we travel to the magnificent and iconic city of Agra. 
We were pleasantly surprised by the rapid pace of electrification among three-wheelers, which is the topic of this postcard.


Postcard from Agra | India's 3W EV Adaptation On the Ground

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> is optimistic about the future of their exports and expects a recovery in exports as a critical catalyst for the stock over the near term.</li>
<li>The company's EV endeavors in both 2-wheelers and 3-wheelers are expected to surprise on the upside, which can deliver upside than what is currently factored in.</li>
<li>The stock also trades at undemanding valuations (16x FY25 consensus estimates), offering adequate comfort with an optionality of EV and Exports.</li>
</ul>



Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) is optimistic about the future of their exports and expects a recovery in exports as a critical catalyst for the stock over the near term.
The company's EV endeavors in both 2-wheelers and 3-wheelers are expected to surprise on the upside, which can deliver upside than what is currently factored in.
The stock also trades at undemanding valuations (16x FY25 consensus estimates), offering adequate comfort with an optionality of EV and Exports.


Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) | EV & Exports Optionality

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bundl-technologies-private-limited-swiggy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy</a> Limited raised around US$1.35bn in its India IPO, although the demand wasn't great.</li>
<li>Swiggy Limited is a business to commerce (B2C) marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items (Instamart) and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuations. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Swiggy Limited raised around US$1.35bn in its India IPO, although the demand wasn't great.
Swiggy Limited is a business to commerce (B2C) marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items (Instamart) and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network.
In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuations. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Swiggy IPO Trading - Decent Anchor but Tepid Overall Demand

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric(OLAELEC IN)</a> ’s management, during Investor call, seemed confident in driving volume growth through expanded distribution, new model launches, and focused on technology upgrades and vertical integration for cost advantages.</li>
<li>The company, however, remains intent on continuing its disruptor play strategy of aggressive discounts and competitive pricing to drive volume growth—uncommon in India’s auto sector.</li>
<li>Investors seeking profitability and capital returns will need patience (and faith in Ola's strategy), while competitors like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd(BJAUT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tvs-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16123:1" rel="noopener">TVS Motor(TVSL IN)</a>  may feel the pressure.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric(OLAELEC IN) ’s management, during Investor call, seemed confident in driving volume growth through expanded distribution, new model launches, and focused on technology upgrades and vertical integration for cost advantages.
The company, however, remains intent on continuing its disruptor play strategy of aggressive discounts and competitive pricing to drive volume growth—uncommon in India’s auto sector.
Investors seeking profitability and capital returns will need patience (and faith in Ola's strategy), while competitors like Bajaj Auto Ltd(BJAUT IN) and TVS Motor(TVSL IN)  may feel the pressure.


OLA Electric: Wimpy Quarter. But, Bigger Question—How Long Will the Disruptor Play Last?

India

Bajaj Auto Limited manufactures and distributes motorized two-wheeled and three-wheeled scooters, motorcycles and mopeds.

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Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)

Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Editions Are Back

Focus on key earnings and conference calls. Top Large Cap Bullish Ideas: HDFC Asset Management, Bajaj Auto, Pvr Inox. Bearish view on D.B. Corp,...

Pranav Bhavsar

Postcard from Agra | India's 3W EV Adaptation On the Ground

Exploring the rapid electrification of three-wheelers in Agra, providing on-ground insights from tier 2 and tier 3 locations.

Pranav Bhavsar