Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In this Original, we have provided an analysis of why we believe APAC healthcare sector is poised for stellar growth in long-term, mainly driven by its favorable demographics.</li>
<li>We have handpicked four APAC healthcare companies, with market cap of $5 billion+ and ADTV of $5 million+ and analyzed their long-term growth stories and fundamentals.</li>
<li>In additions, we have also provided a table for stocks of interest in APAC healthcare sector.</li>
</ul>


In this Original, we have provided an analysis of why we believe APAC healthcare sector is poised for stellar growth in long-term, mainly driven by its favorable demographics.
We have handpicked four APAC healthcare companies, with market cap of $5 billion+ and ADTV of $5 million+ and analyzed their long-term growth stories and fundamentals.
In additions, we have also provided a table for stocks of interest in APAC healthcare sector.


Smartkarma Originals: APAC Healthcare Series - Top Picks Are Poised for Multi-Year Growth

Equity Bottom-Up

Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumrungrad-hospital-pub-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:883:1" rel="noopener">Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB)</a> reported 5% YoY revenue decline in 3Q24, due to negative geo-political impact (international patient revenue decline) and lower revenue intensity (lesser contribution from inpatient).</li>
<li>In 3Q24, Bumrungrad’s international patient revenue declined 7% YoY. Revenue decline was mainly due to downturns in Kuwait (-67% YoY), UAE (-37%), Cambodia (-15%), and Myanmar (-4%).</li>
<li>We are anticipating a sequentially weak 4Q24. Since reporting 3Q24 result, Bumrungrad shares have corrected ~20%. We are not seeing any immediate recovery.</li>
</ul>



Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB) reported 5% YoY revenue decline in 3Q24, due to negative geo-political impact (international patient revenue decline) and lower revenue intensity (lesser contribution from inpatient).
In 3Q24, Bumrungrad’s international patient revenue declined 7% YoY. Revenue decline was mainly due to downturns in Kuwait (-67% YoY), UAE (-37%), Cambodia (-15%), and Myanmar (-4%).
We are anticipating a sequentially weak 4Q24. Since reporting 3Q24 result, Bumrungrad shares have corrected ~20%. We are not seeing any immediate recovery.


Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB): Lower Revenue From International Patients Weighed on 3Q24 Result

<ul>
<li>Eisai Announced that global revenue of Leqembi in Q2FY25 was ¥10B, up 1.6x than Q1FY25. Takeda Pharma announced positive interim results from a Phase 3 study.</li>
<li>Shionogi’s COVID-19 drug was effective in reducing transmission of the disease. JCR Pharmaceuticals initiated first patient dosing in Japan in the Phase I clinical trial of JR-441.</li>
<li>Celltrion signed a contract with a U.S. GPO to list Zymfentra on private insurance formularies, which will expand the drug's coverage to 90%+ of the U.S. health insurance market.</li>
</ul>


Eisai Announced that global revenue of Leqembi in Q2FY25 was ¥10B, up 1.6x than Q1FY25. Takeda Pharma announced positive interim results from a Phase 3 study.
Shionogi’s COVID-19 drug was effective in reducing transmission of the disease. JCR Pharmaceuticals initiated first patient dosing in Japan in the Phase I clinical trial of JR-441.
Celltrion signed a contract with a U.S. GPO to list Zymfentra on private insurance formularies, which will expand the drug's coverage to 90%+ of the U.S. health insurance market.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Nov 3)- Eisai, Takeda, Shionogi, Astellas Pharma, Celltrion, Wuxi AppTec

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The India Pharma &amp; Healthcare sector is expected to maintain its growth momentum in Q2FY25E</li><li>We project sales/EBITDA growth of 11%/15% YoY for our coverage universe</li><li>Our assumptions are: (1) Pharma coverage is expected to see 11% YoY sales growth, driven by a 12% YoY increase in the India business, offset by a ~5% QoQ decline in the US</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The India Pharma &amp; Healthcare sector is expected to maintain its growth momentum in Q2FY25EWe project sales/EBITDA growth of 11%/15% YoY for our coverage universeOur assumptions are: (1) Pharma coverage is expected to see 11% YoY sales growth, driven by a 12% YoY increase in the India business, offset by a ~5% QoQ decline in the USContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pharma and Healthcare (Q2FY25E Results Preview): Steady Q2, Revlimid to Normalise

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-the-nifty-potential-upside-from-here" target="_blank" rel="noopener">last insight</a> predicted quite precisely what happened to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> during the last 3 weeks (our forecast was a 3-5 weeks rally, around +4%/+5% higher).</li>
<li>After 3 weeks up in a row, last week the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a> pulled back - the question obviously now is: would this be a good time to enter/re-enter the trade LONG?</li>
<li>The answer, as always, lies in our Market Reversal Matrix models, keep reading to find out...</li>
</ul>


Our last insight predicted quite precisely what happened to the NIFTY Index during the last 3 weeks (our forecast was a 3-5 weeks rally, around +4%/+5% higher).
After 3 weeks up in a row, last week the NIFTY pulled back - the question obviously now is: would this be a good time to enter/re-enter the trade LONG?
The answer, as always, lies in our Market Reversal Matrix models, keep reading to find out...


India

Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited owns and operates hospitals in India.  The Company also runs a 24-hour pharmacy network via over 120 outlets across India. Apollo Hospitals also runs clinics and offer managed care and family health plans. The Company has a variety of locations in Chennai, Hyderabad, Delhi, Dubai, Vizag, Bilaspur and Chengannur.

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Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN)

Smartkarma Originals: APAC Healthcare Series - Top Picks Are Poised for Multi-Year Growth

APAC healthcare is among the world’s fastest growing markets, thereby gaining importance from investors. We have highlighted 4 APAC healthcare...

Tina Banerjee

Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB): Lower Revenue From International Patients Weighed on 3Q24 Result

Bumrungrad reported 5% YoY sales decline in 3Q24, mainly due to negative geo-political impact on international patient revenue, which declined 7%...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Nov 3)- Eisai, Takeda, Shionogi, Astellas Pharma, Celltrion, Wuxi AppTec

Large APAC healthcare companies are reporting mixed earnings. Demography will play a key role in ensuring how the overall domestic demand scenario...

Tina Banerjee

Pharma and Healthcare (Q2FY25E Results Preview): Steady Q2, Revlimid to Normalise

The India Pharma & Healthcare sector is expected to maintain its growth momentum in Q2FY25E. We project sales/EBITDA growth of 11%/15% YoY for our...

HDFC Securities

EQD | Is the NIFTY A BUY Here?

The NIFTY Index closed the week down, now the question is: IS THIS A GOOD TIME TO (RE)ENTER LONG? As always, the Market Reversal Matrix models...

Nico Rosti

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Smartkarma Originals: APAC Healthcare Series - Top Picks Are Poised for Multi-Year Growth

APAC healthcare is among the world’s fastest growing markets, thereby gaining importance from investors. We have highlighted 4 APAC healthcare...

Tina Banerjee

Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB): Lower Revenue From International Patients Weighed on 3Q24 Result

​Bumrungrad reported 5% YoY sales decline in 3Q24, mainly due to negative geo-political impact on international patient revenue, which declined 7%...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Nov 3)- Eisai, Takeda, Shionogi, Astellas Pharma, Celltrion, Wuxi AppTec

Large APAC healthcare companies are reporting mixed earnings. Demography will play a key role in ensuring how the overall domestic demand scenario...

Tina Banerjee

Pharma and Healthcare (Q2FY25E Results Preview): Steady Q2, Revlimid to Normalise

The India Pharma & Healthcare sector is expected to maintain its growth momentum in Q2FY25E. We project sales/EBITDA growth of 11%/15% YoY for our...

HDFC Securities

EQD | Is the NIFTY A BUY Here?

​The NIFTY Index closed the week down, now the question is: IS THIS A GOOD TIME TO (RE)ENTER LONG? As always, the Market Reversal Matrix models...

Nico Rosti

Bumrungrad reported 5% YoY sales decline in 3Q24, mainly due to negative geo-political impact on international patient revenue, which declined 7%...

The NIFTY Index closed the week down, now the question is: IS THIS A GOOD TIME TO (RE)ENTER LONG? As always, the Market Reversal Matrix models...