Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We see global equities (MSCI ACWI) going through a pause/pullback amid short-term breakouts in the U.S. dollar (DXY) and global sovereign 10-year yields.</li>
<li>A rising DXY and climbing yields is a near-term headwind, and we could continue to see more choppy price action in the weeks ahead.</li>
<li>With that said, as long as the DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and ACWI-US is <em>above</em> $98, we would view pullbacks as buying opportunities.</li>
</ul>


We see global equities (MSCI ACWI) going through a pause/pullback amid short-term breakouts in the U.S. dollar (DXY) and global sovereign 10-year yields.
A rising DXY and climbing yields is a near-term headwind, and we could continue to see more choppy price action in the weeks ahead.
With that said, as long as the DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and ACWI-US is above $98, we would view pullbacks as buying opportunities.


Pause/Pullback Underway; Downgrading Europe and Mexico; Buys in Services, Tech, Comm, Healthcare

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Max Healthcare Institute / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/max-healthcare-institute-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35275:1" rel="noopener">Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)</a> has entered into a share purchase agreement for acquisition of a 550-bedded Sahara Hospital in Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh for an enterprise value of INR9.4B (~$113M).</li>
<li>The Hospital currently serves ~2 lakh patients every year, with FY24 revenue run rate of INR2B. It has a renowned center of excellence for Neurosciences.</li>
<li>The Hospital has a potential to quickly ramp up beds in existing building and expand medical programs such as oncology, transplants, robotics, etc.  </li>
</ul>



Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN) has entered into a share purchase agreement for acquisition of a 550-bedded Sahara Hospital in Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh for an enterprise value of INR9.4B (~$113M).
The Hospital currently serves ~2 lakh patients every year, with FY24 revenue run rate of INR2B. It has a renowned center of excellence for Neurosciences.
The Hospital has a potential to quickly ramp up beds in existing building and expand medical programs such as oncology, transplants, robotics, etc.  


Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): New Hospital Acquisition Expands Footfall in a New Populus City

<ul>
<li>In Q2FY24, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/max-healthcare-institute-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35275:1" rel="noopener">Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)</a> reported revenue growth of 17% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR18.3B, driven by higher ARPOB and occupied bed days.</li>
<li>EBITDA grew 21% YoY and 14% QoQ to INR4.5B, leading to a 100 basis point YoY and 190 basis point QoQ margin expansion to 28.7%.</li>
<li>MHIL expect greenfield 300 bed hospital in Dwarka, South-west Delhi will be commissioned in later half of Q4FY24. It was originally expected to be commissioned in Q2FY24.</li>
</ul>


In Q2FY24, Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN) reported revenue growth of 17% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR18.3B, driven by higher ARPOB and occupied bed days.
EBITDA grew 21% YoY and 14% QoQ to INR4.5B, leading to a 100 basis point YoY and 190 basis point QoQ margin expansion to 28.7%.
MHIL expect greenfield 300 bed hospital in Dwarka, South-west Delhi will be commissioned in later half of Q4FY24. It was originally expected to be commissioned in Q2FY24.


Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Robust Financial Performance in Q2; Expansion Projects Are On Track

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Key support levels on global equity indexes (EURO STOXX 50, $ACWX, $EFA) are beginning to break as the U.S. dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield break above $105.70 and 4.35%.</li>
<li>This significantly increases the odds of a break below major $92-$93 support on $ACWI, and we would shift to a more cautious outlook only on a break below $92.</li>
<li>We shifted to overweight value within non-U.S. equities last week, and we are now also shifting to overweight small-caps within non-U.S. equities as well. Buys in Transportation, Communications, and HealthCare</li>
</ul>


Key support levels on global equity indexes (EURO STOXX 50, $ACWX, $EFA) are beginning to break as the U.S. dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield break above $105.70 and 4.35%.
This significantly increases the odds of a break below major $92-$93 support on $ACWI, and we would shift to a more cautious outlook only on a break below $92.
We shifted to overweight value within non-U.S. equities last week, and we are now also shifting to overweight small-caps within non-U.S. equities as well. Buys in Transportation, Communications, and HealthCare


Supports Starting to Break; Upgrading Non-U.S. Small-Caps to Overweight; Transports/Comm/HC Buys

Equity Capital Markets

Jupiter Life Line Hospitals / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jupiter-life-line-hospitals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39814:1" rel="noopener">Jupiter Life Line Hospitals (0372574D IN)</a> has hit the market to raise INR8.7B via an IPO. The IPO is a combination of a fresh issue and an OFS portion.</li>
<li>The company is a multi-specialty tertiary and quaternary healthcare provider in the Mumbai Metropolitan Area and western region of India. It intends to use the IPO proceeds for debt repayment.</li>
<li>In FY23, revenue increased 22% YoY to INR8.9B, while EBITDA margin expanded 210bps to 23.45%. Ramping up of Indore facility and upcoming greenfield hospital in Maharashtra are major growth drivers.</li>
</ul>



Jupiter Life Line Hospitals (0372574D IN) has hit the market to raise INR8.7B via an IPO. The IPO is a combination of a fresh issue and an OFS portion.
The company is a multi-specialty tertiary and quaternary healthcare provider in the Mumbai Metropolitan Area and western region of India. It intends to use the IPO proceeds for debt repayment.
In FY23, revenue increased 22% YoY to INR8.9B, while EBITDA margin expanded 210bps to 23.45%. Ramping up of Indore facility and upcoming greenfield hospital in Maharashtra are major growth drivers.


Jupiter Life Line Hospitals (0372574D IN) IPO: A Niche Regional Play with Strong Track Record

India

Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited owns and operates hospitals in India.  The Company also runs a 24-hour pharmacy network via over 120 outlets across India. Apollo Hospitals also runs clinics and offer managed care and family health plans. The Company has a variety of locations in Chennai, Hyderabad, Delhi, Dubai, Vizag, Bilaspur and Chengannur.

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Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN)

Pause/Pullback Underway; Downgrading Europe and Mexico; Buys in Services, Tech, Comm, Healthcare

Pause/pullback underway in $ACWI, but as long as the $DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and $ACWI is above...

Vermilion Research

Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): New Hospital Acquisition Expands Footfall in a New Populus City

Max Healthcare is foraying in Lucknow by acquiring 550-bedded Sahara Hospital for INR 9.4B (~$113M). The Hospital currently serves ~2 lakh...

Tina Banerjee

Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Robust Financial Performance in Q2; Expansion Projects Are On Track

Max Health reported Q2 revenue growth of 17% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR18.3B, driven by higher ARPOB and OBDs. EBITDA grew 21% YoY and 14% QoQ to...

Tina Banerjee

Supports Starting to Break; Upgrading Non-U.S. Small-Caps to Overweight; Transports/Comm/HC Buys

Support levels on global indexes (EURO STOXX 50, $ACWX, $EFA) beginning to break as $DXY and 10-year Treasury yield $TNX break above $105.70 and...

Vermilion Research

Jupiter Life Line Hospitals (0372574D IN) IPO: A Niche Regional Play with Strong Track Record

Jupiter Life Line Hospitals has hit the market to raise INR8.7B via an IPO. The IPO is a combination of a fresh issue and an OFS. The company...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pause/Pullback Underway; Downgrading Europe and Mexico; Buys in Services, Tech, Comm, Healthcare

Pause/pullback underway in $ACWI, but as long as the $DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and $ACWI is above...

Vermilion Research

Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): New Hospital Acquisition Expands Footfall in a New Populus City

​Max Healthcare is foraying in Lucknow by acquiring 550-bedded Sahara Hospital for INR 9.4B (~$113M). The Hospital currently serves ~2 lakh...

Tina Banerjee

Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Robust Financial Performance in Q2; Expansion Projects Are On Track

​Max Health reported Q2 revenue growth of 17% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR18.3B, driven by higher ARPOB and OBDs. EBITDA grew 21% YoY and 14% QoQ to...

Tina Banerjee

Supports Starting to Break; Upgrading Non-U.S. Small-Caps to Overweight; Transports/Comm/HC Buys

Support levels on global indexes (EURO STOXX 50, $ACWX, $EFA) beginning to break as $DXY and 10-year Treasury yield $TNX break above $105.70 and...

Vermilion Research

Jupiter Life Line Hospitals (0372574D IN) IPO: A Niche Regional Play with Strong Track Record

Jupiter Life Line Hospitals has hit the market to raise INR8.7B via an IPO. The IPO is a combination of a fresh issue and an OFS. The company...

Tina Banerjee

Max Healthcare is foraying in Lucknow by acquiring 550-bedded Sahara Hospital for INR 9.4B (~$113M). The Hospital currently serves ~2 lakh...

Max Health reported Q2 revenue growth of 17% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR18.3B, driven by higher ARPOB and OBDs. EBITDA grew 21% YoY and 14% QoQ to...