AI and Global Deep Tech, Mint Finance

Uttkarsh Kohli

AI and Global Deep Tech

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Revenue Impact: Google’s ad segment may see a 5-10% drop due to stricter user data protections, reducing personalized advertising reach. </li>
<li>App Store Revenue Loss: Mandated alternative payment systems threaten Google Play and Apple’s app store revenue streams, cutting commissions. </li>
<li>Operational Costs: Non-compliance fines of up to 20% of annual revenue and the added costs for compliance systems intensify financial pressure.</li>
</ul>


Revenue Impact: Google’s ad segment may see a 5-10% drop due to stricter user data protections, reducing personalized advertising reach. 
App Store Revenue Loss: Mandated alternative payment systems threaten Google Play and Apple’s app store revenue streams, cutting commissions. 
Operational Costs: Non-compliance fines of up to 20% of annual revenue and the added costs for compliance systems intensify financial pressure.


Tech Giants Overhaul Platforms Amidst EU's Digital Markets Act Enforcement [Regulations Part 2]

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The FOMC cut its Fed Funds rate by 50bp, acknowledging that enough progress has occurred toward reaching the 2% target for core PCE inflation, while the labor market has cooled.</li>
<li>We were right on inflation and direction of rates since 2021 (so have differed with the Fed). Now, we agree that two more 25bp rate cuts will occur in 2024. </li>
<li>Core PCE inflation will be slow to moderate further, so allowing only another 50bp of cuts by end-2024. The FF rate should end 2025 at 3.5%, as RGDP grows 2.5%. </li>
</ul>


The FOMC cut its Fed Funds rate by 50bp, acknowledging that enough progress has occurred toward reaching the 2% target for core PCE inflation, while the labor market has cooled.
We were right on inflation and direction of rates since 2021 (so have differed with the Fed). Now, we agree that two more 25bp rate cuts will occur in 2024. 
Core PCE inflation will be slow to moderate further, so allowing only another 50bp of cuts by end-2024. The FF rate should end 2025 at 3.5%, as RGDP grows 2.5%. 


US: FOMC's 50bp Cut Should Avert Recession But Keep Inflation Elevated

<ul>
<li>The EU AI Act’s strict testing for high-risk AI may increase compliance costs for tech firms, forcing them to slow down releases or invest more in safety protocols. </li>
<li>California’s AI Bill anticipates future advancements, putting tech firms on notice, driving pre emptive transparency efforts, and likely raising operational costs for scaling AI systems. </li>
<li>Tech giants like Meta and OpenAI, with democrats like Pelosi oppose California's SB 1047, citing risks to open-source AI and innovation. Prominent figures like Musk and Anthropic AI support regulation.</li>
</ul>


The EU AI Act’s strict testing for high-risk AI may increase compliance costs for tech firms, forcing them to slow down releases or invest more in safety protocols. 
California’s AI Bill anticipates future advancements, putting tech firms on notice, driving pre emptive transparency efforts, and likely raising operational costs for scaling AI systems. 
Tech giants like Meta and OpenAI, with democrats like Pelosi oppose California's SB 1047, citing risks to open-source AI and innovation. Prominent figures like Musk and Anthropic AI support regulation.


Global AI Regulations: Big Tech Braces for New Compliance and Innovation Challenges [Part 1]

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we compare the outstanding shares changes in the Korean stock market (KOSPI and KOSDAQ) relative to M7 (Magnificent 7) companies. </li>
<li>In Korea, there are more companies such as Samsung C&amp;T, KB Financial, and KT&amp;G that are actively reducing their outstanding shares and investors are rewarding them with higher share prices.</li>
<li>Top 10 companies in KOSPI that reduced their outstanding shares (from end of 2019 to 5 Sept 24) experienced average share price increase of 116% on average in this period.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we compare the outstanding shares changes in the Korean stock market (KOSPI and KOSDAQ) relative to M7 (Magnificent 7) companies. 
In Korea, there are more companies such as Samsung C&amp;T, KB Financial, and KT&amp;G that are actively reducing their outstanding shares and investors are rewarding them with higher share prices.
Top 10 companies in KOSPI that reduced their outstanding shares (from end of 2019 to 5 Sept 24) experienced average share price increase of 116% on average in this period.


Corporate Value Up in Korea - Focus On Reducing Outstanding Shares and Comparison to M7

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Apple’s App Store contributed to the $85.2 billion service segment revenue in 2023, with an impressive gross margin of 70.2%, making it a crucial profit driver within Apple's Services segment.</li>
<li>The restructuring splits the App Store division into two teams: one to oversee the traditional App Store, and another to manage new, legally mandated alternative app distribution channels. </li>
<li>Developers who choose to bypass the App Store may incur a substantial Core Technology Fee, potentially amounting to hundreds of thousands of dollars, reflecting the cost of maintaining Apple’s ecosystem.</li>
</ul>


Apple’s App Store contributed to the $85.2 billion service segment revenue in 2023, with an impressive gross margin of 70.2%, making it a crucial profit driver within Apple's Services segment.
The restructuring splits the App Store division into two teams: one to oversee the traditional App Store, and another to manage new, legally mandated alternative app distribution channels. 
Developers who choose to bypass the App Store may incur a substantial Core Technology Fee, potentially amounting to hundreds of thousands of dollars, reflecting the cost of maintaining Apple’s ecosystem.


Apple Restructures App Store Amid EU Regulations, Developer Dissatisfaction, and Market Pressures

United States

Alphabet, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides web-based search, advertisements, maps, software applications, mobile operating systems, consumer content, enterprise solutions, commerce, and hardware products.

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Alphabet (GOOG US)

Tech Giants Overhaul Platforms Amidst EU's Digital Markets Act Enforcement [Regulations Part 2]

The EU's Digital Markets Act targets monopolistic behaviors, prompting major changes from Google, Meta, and Apple, as they navigate compliance,...

Mint Finance

US: FOMC's 50bp Cut Should Avert Recession But Keep Inflation Elevated

FOMC cuts rates by 50bp, predicts two more 25bp cuts in 2024 due to progress on inflation but cooling labor market. We expect FF rate to end 2025...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Global AI Regulations: Big Tech Braces for New Compliance and Innovation Challenges [Part 1]

AI regulations tighten worldwide, with the EU and California leading the charge. Tech giants face mounting compliance costs, operational changes,...

Mint Finance

Corporate Value Up in Korea - Focus On Reducing Outstanding Shares and Comparison to M7

Top 10 companies in KOSPI (ranked by market cap) that reduced their outstanding shares (from end of 2019 to 5 Sept 24) experienced average share...

Douglas Kim

Apple Restructures App Store Amid EU Regulations, Developer Dissatisfaction, and Market Pressures

Apple restructures the App Store, responding to EU regulations. With the App Store generating $85.2B in 2023 and a 70.2% margin, this shift could...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tech Giants Overhaul Platforms Amidst EU's Digital Markets Act Enforcement [Regulations Part 2]

The EU's Digital Markets Act targets monopolistic behaviors, prompting major changes from Google, Meta, and Apple, as they navigate compliance,...

Mint Finance

US: FOMC's 50bp Cut Should Avert Recession But Keep Inflation Elevated

​FOMC cuts rates by 50bp, predicts two more 25bp cuts in 2024 due to progress on inflation but cooling labor market. We expect FF rate to end 2025...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Global AI Regulations: Big Tech Braces for New Compliance and Innovation Challenges [Part 1]

AI regulations tighten worldwide, with the EU and California leading the charge. Tech giants face mounting compliance costs, operational changes,...

Mint Finance

Corporate Value Up in Korea - Focus On Reducing Outstanding Shares and Comparison to M7

Top 10 companies in KOSPI (ranked by market cap) that reduced their outstanding shares (from end of 2019 to 5 Sept 24) experienced average share...

Douglas Kim

Apple Restructures App Store Amid EU Regulations, Developer Dissatisfaction, and Market Pressures

Apple restructures the App Store, responding to EU regulations. With the App Store generating $85.2B in 2023 and a 70.2% margin, this shift could...

Mint Finance

FOMC cuts rates by 50bp, predicts two more 25bp cuts in 2024 due to progress on inflation but cooling labor market. We expect FF rate to end 2025...