Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>North American allocations continue to trend higher, hitting a record average weight of 58.1% across the 358 global funds in our analysis</li>
<li>North America has consistently stolen market share from other key global regions, most notably Developed Market Europe, where average fund weights have hit all-time lows of 24.24%</li>
<li>Sectors driving allocations higher are led by Energy, Health Care and Industrials with active rotation in to all 3, whilst Consumer Staples have seen signs of investor fatigue.</li>
</ul>


North American allocations continue to trend higher, hitting a record average weight of 58.1% across the 358 global funds in our analysis
North America has consistently stolen market share from other key global regions, most notably Developed Market Europe, where average fund weights have hit all-time lows of 24.24%
Sectors driving allocations higher are led by Energy, Health Care and Industrials with active rotation in to all 3, whilst Consumer Staples have seen signs of investor fatigue.


North America Hits New Highs as Global Rotation Continues

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Communication Services allocations among active Global managers are at their lowest levels on record.</li>
<li>Average weights stand at an all-time low of 7.12%, having broken out of a decade long range of between 8% - 10% towards the end of 2021.</li>
<li>Activision Blizzard suffered the worst of the position closures, alongside Meta Platforms, Tencent and Nintendo Co Ltd.</li>
</ul>


Communication Services allocations among active Global managers are at their lowest levels on record.
Average weights stand at an all-time low of 7.12%, having broken out of a decade long range of between 8% - 10% towards the end of 2021.
Activision Blizzard suffered the worst of the position closures, alongside Meta Platforms, Tencent and Nintendo Co Ltd.


Global Communication Services: Lowest Exposure on Record

Global Automotive Stocks/EV Focus/Event Driven, SC Capital

SC Capital

Global Automotive Stocks/EV Focus/Event Driven

Over 22 years covering Japanese equities on both the sell side and the buy side. 

Bottom-up Japan Equities Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Last Friday, Tesla shareholders approved a 3:1 stock split set to go into effect on August 25th. The stock has already rallied on these expectations, up 44% since mid-June lows. </li>
<li>We wouldn't be surprised if CEO Elon Musk sells into the split, given his need to shore up cash for the potential Twitter buyout in October.  </li>
<li>Both Amazon and Google outperformed the market, but sold off in the days and weeks post-split. We expect Tesla to follow this pattern, but in a more augmented fashion. </li>
</ul>


Last Friday, Tesla shareholders approved a 3:1 stock split set to go into effect on August 25th. The stock has already rallied on these expectations, up 44% since mid-June lows. 
We wouldn't be surprised if CEO Elon Musk sells into the split, given his need to shore up cash for the potential Twitter buyout in October.  
Both Amazon and Google outperformed the market, but sold off in the days and weeks post-split. We expect Tesla to follow this pattern, but in a more augmented fashion. 


Tesla Trading Strategy Until August 25th Stock Split

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

<ul><li>Technology bellwethers Microsoft, Alphabet, and Apple will all report earnings this week which will be closely dissected and produce market moving swings. </li><li>To add to the fun, the Federal Reserve meeting is also meeting this week and is expected to hike interest rates another 75bps. </li><li>With global high frequency economic data showing forward looking signs of significant weakening, Jay Powell’s press conference will closely watched to see if he leaves any sliver of daylight open to slowing or pausing rates or balance sheet runoff into the fall/winter timeframe.</li></ul>

Technology bellwethers Microsoft, Alphabet, and Apple will all report earnings this week which will be closely dissected and produce market moving swings. To add to the fun, the Federal Reserve meeting is also meeting this week and is expected to hike interest rates another 75bps. With global high frequency economic data showing forward looking signs of significant weakening, Jay Powell’s press conference will closely watched to see if he leaves any sliver of daylight open to slowing or pausing rates or balance sheet runoff into the fall/winter timeframe.

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/confluent-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33443:1" rel="noopener">Confluent (CFLT US)</a>  is an American-based data infrastructure software company and a major contributor to the open-source project Apache Kafka. </li>
<li>Original creators of Apache Kafka founded the company in 2014. Today, Kafka has 5M+ lifetime downloads, and &gt;100,000 organizations use the successful open source project.</li>
<li>We believe <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/confluent-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33443:1" rel="noopener">Confluent (CFLT US)</a>  is uniquely positioned to benefit from the widespread adoption of Apache Kafka and the growing $50B+ total addressable market. </li>
</ul>



Confluent (CFLT US)  is an American-based data infrastructure software company and a major contributor to the open-source project Apache Kafka. 
Original creators of Apache Kafka founded the company in 2014. Today, Kafka has 5M+ lifetime downloads, and &gt;100,000 organizations use the successful open source project.
We believe Confluent (CFLT US)  is uniquely positioned to benefit from the widespread adoption of Apache Kafka and the growing $50B+ total addressable market. 


Confluent: Harnessing Data In Motion. Initiate At Overweight

United States

Alphabet, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides web-based search, advertisements, maps, software applications, mobile operating systems, consumer content, enterprise solutions, commerce, and hardware products.

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Alphabet (GOOG US)

North America Hits New Highs as Global Rotation Continues

North American allocations among active Global investors hit record highs, driven by Energy, Health Care and Industrials rotation.

Steven Holden

Global Communication Services: Lowest Exposure on Record

Selling in Activision Blizzard, Meta Platforms, Tencent and Nintendo Co Ltd force Communication Services allocations to their lowest levels on record.

Steven Holden

Tesla Trading Strategy Until August 25th Stock Split

Tesla has risen 44% in the 1 month ahead of its 3:1 stock split approval last Friday. Between now and split execution, expect an animated options...

SC Capital

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 7/25

Technology bellwethers Microsoft, Alphabet, and Apple will all report earnings this week which will be closely dissected and produce market moving...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Confluent: Harnessing Data In Motion. Initiate At Overweight

We are initiating coverage on Confluent with an Overweight rating and price target of $28, implying a ~50% upside. Fundamentals remain attractive,...

Andrei Zakharov

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