Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

Cainiao Smart Logistics Network / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>CaiNiao's revenue growth remained strong, up +24% Y/Y in December quarter</li>
<li>EBITA turned positive from loss in prior year period, but margin &lt; FYQ2</li>
<li>Overall, an impressive set of results that distinguishes CaiNiao from express peers</li>
</ul>


CaiNiao's revenue growth remained strong, up +24% Y/Y in December quarter
EBITA turned positive from loss in prior year period, but margin &lt; FYQ2
Overall, an impressive set of results that distinguishes CaiNiao from express peers


CaiNiao's FYQ3: Solid Revenue Growth & EBITA Margin Improvement Distinguish It From Express Peers

Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We argued in last follow-up note that property woes and challenging macro situation would keep pressuring China online marketplaces’ valuation despite their improving profitability and cashflow.</li>
<li>The sector’s brutal de-rating since last 4Q has been pricing in a dire growth outlook and it is closer to the end of tunnel in our view.</li>
<li>We expect a lackluster 4Q23 results season for the sector in general but also less share price volatility given extremely depressed valuation. Stay positive over 12-month time horizon.</li>
</ul>


We argued in last follow-up note that property woes and challenging macro situation would keep pressuring China online marketplaces’ valuation despite their improving profitability and cashflow.
The sector’s brutal de-rating since last 4Q has been pricing in a dire growth outlook and it is closer to the end of tunnel in our view.
We expect a lackluster 4Q23 results season for the sector in general but also less share price volatility given extremely depressed valuation. Stay positive over 12-month time horizon.


Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>BABA/CPNG/PDD: AliExpress offering 0% commission to sellers of Korean brand products (+/-/-)</li>
<li>700 HK/NTES:NPPA has released the latest approvals for imported games, and Tencent’s highly anticipated &lt;DNF Mobile&gt; has received approval(+)</li>
<li>3690 HK: Meituan changed organizational structure by consolidating In-store and food delivery business(+)</li>
</ul>


BABA/CPNG/PDD: AliExpress offering 0% commission to sellers of Korean brand products (+/-/-)
700 HK/NTES:NPPA has released the latest approvals for imported games, and Tencent’s highly anticipated &lt;DNF Mobile&gt; has received approval(+)
3690 HK: Meituan changed organizational structure by consolidating In-store and food delivery business(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:BABA/CPNG/PDD/700 HK/NTES/3690 HK

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes for the Hang Seng Index in March 2024.</li>
<li>The index changes for the March 2024 index rebal will be announced on 16th February 2024.</li>
<li>While the Hang Seng Index selection process is highly subjective, we continue to believe that identifying eligible names and grouping them by conviction level could be a valuable exercise.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes for the Hang Seng Index in March 2024.
The index changes for the March 2024 index rebal will be announced on 16th February 2024.
While the Hang Seng Index selection process is highly subjective, we continue to believe that identifying eligible names and grouping them by conviction level could be a valuable exercise.


Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Mar 24: More Room Being Created for IT Names?

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>BYD released its result estimate for 2023, in which net profit rose by 74% to 86% over 2022.</li>
<li>Li auto delivered 31,165 vehicles in January 2024, up by 106% over 2023.</li>
<li>As per rumors reported in the media, Alibaba will sell RT-Mart, a supermarket brand.</li>
</ul>


BYD released its result estimate for 2023, in which net profit rose by 74% to 86% over 2022.
Li auto delivered 31,165 vehicles in January 2024, up by 106% over 2023.
As per rumors reported in the media, Alibaba will sell RT-Mart, a supermarket brand.


China Consumption Weekly (5 Feb 2024): BYD, Li Auto, Alibaba, Sun Art

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)

CaiNiao's FYQ3: Solid Revenue Growth & EBITA Margin Improvement Distinguish It From Express Peers

CaiNiao results from FYQ3 were impressive, with revenue and EBITA margin both up sharply compared to the same period in the previous fiscal year.

Tracking Traffic

China Online Marketplaces: 4Q23 Preview

The sector's brutal de-rating since last 4Q already priced in a dire outlook. While we expect lackluster 4Q results season in general, we believe...

Eric Chen

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:BABA/CPNG/PDD/700 HK/NTES/3690 HK

AliExpress is waiving commission fees for Korean brand sellers; NPPA has released the latest approvals for imported games; and Meituan...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Mar 24: More Room Being Created for IT Names?

The index changes for the Hang Seng Index for the March 2024 index rebal event will be announced on 16th February 2024. Although the index...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

China Consumption Weekly (5 Feb 2024): BYD, Li Auto, Alibaba, Sun Art

BYD estimated its net profit rose by 74% to 86% in 2023. Li auto's deliveries increased by 106% YoY in January 2024. It is rumored that Alibaba...

Ming Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

CaiNiao's FYQ3: Solid Revenue Growth & EBITA Margin Improvement Distinguish It From Express Peers

CaiNiao results from FYQ3 were impressive, with revenue and EBITA margin both up sharply compared to the same period in the previous fiscal year.

Tracking Traffic

China Online Marketplaces: 4Q23 Preview

The sector's brutal de-rating since last 4Q already priced in a dire outlook. While we expect lackluster 4Q results season in general, we believe...

Eric Chen

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:BABA/CPNG/PDD/700 HK/NTES/3690 HK

​AliExpress is waiving commission fees for Korean brand sellers; NPPA has released the latest approvals for imported games; and Meituan...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Mar 24: More Room Being Created for IT Names?

The index changes for the Hang Seng Index for the March 2024 index rebal event will be announced on 16th February 2024. Although the index...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

China Consumption Weekly (5 Feb 2024): BYD, Li Auto, Alibaba, Sun Art

BYD estimated its net profit rose by 74% to 86% in 2023. Li auto's deliveries increased by 106% YoY in January 2024. It is rumored that Alibaba...

Ming Lu

AliExpress is waiving commission fees for Korean brand sellers; NPPA has released the latest approvals for imported games; and Meituan...