Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Solid Q2 results from ZTO, with deep unit cost reductions offseting weak pricing</li>
<li>But ultimately, Q2/H1 results are merely in-line with guidance -- not better, nor worse</li>
<li>In this environment, it's difficult to see what will move ZTO out of recent trading range</li>
</ul>


Solid Q2 results from ZTO, with deep unit cost reductions offseting weak pricing
But ultimately, Q2/H1 results are merely in-line with guidance -- not better, nor worse
In this environment, it's difficult to see what will move ZTO out of recent trading range


ZTO Express Q2 Results: Strong on Volume | Weak on Price | Margins Up in Q2, But H2 Much Tougher

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Doosan Robotics  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-robotics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36816:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS)</a> is looking to raise up to US$314m in its Korean IPO. </li>
<li>Doosan Robotics (DR) manufactures and sells collaborative robots (Cobots). The firm’s product portfolio primarily includes different series of robot arms as well as its coffee module. </li>
<li>In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS) is looking to raise up to US$314m in its Korean IPO. 
Doosan Robotics (DR) manufactures and sells collaborative robots (Cobots). The firm’s product portfolio primarily includes different series of robot arms as well as its coffee module. 
In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.


Doosan Robotics IPO - Peer Comparison - Has Niche Offerings but Doesn’t Lack Competition

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng announces changes along with prospective flows 2wks before the actual change. Capping flows are calculated off the close three days before implementation. That was today.</li>
<li>There have been some minor movements in the rankings. Nothing major. There is still just over US$1bn to trade, one-way.</li>
<li>Enclosed are totals for each of the three major indices (Hang Seng, HSCEI, and HS Tech) and then netted flows. The biggest is US$470mm of BABA to sell. Spreadsheet attached.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng announces changes along with prospective flows 2wks before the actual change. Capping flows are calculated off the close three days before implementation. That was today.
There have been some minor movements in the rankings. Nothing major. There is still just over US$1bn to trade, one-way.
Enclosed are totals for each of the three major indices (Hang Seng, HSCEI, and HS Tech) and then netted flows. The biggest is US$470mm of BABA to sell. Spreadsheet attached.


Final Hang Seng Index Flows for 1 Sep Rebal (AAC, EastBuy, BABA, Sinopharm, Trip.com)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The September rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%. This will lead to large flows.</li>
<li>The largest passive inflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/east-buy-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27796:1" rel="noopener">East Buy (1797 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An (2318 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinopharm-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32:1" rel="noopener">Sinopharm (1099 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com (9961)</a>.</li>
<li>The largest passive outflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies (2018 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou (1024 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-holdings-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5225:1" rel="noopener">COGARD (2007)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">CG Services (6098)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The September rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%. This will lead to large flows.
The largest passive inflows will be on East Buy (1797 HK), JD.com (9618 HK), Ping An (2318 HK), Sinopharm (1099 HK), BYD (1211 HK), Lenovo (992 HK) and Trip.com (9961).
The largest passive outflows will be on Alibaba (9988 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), AAC Technologies (2018 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), COGARD (2007) and CG Services (6098).


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (Sep 2023)

Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chongqing-hongjiu-fruit-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36023:1" rel="noopener">Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit (6689 HK)</a> was listed on 5th Sep 2022, where it raised around US$71m in its Hong Kong IPO. Its one-year lockup will expire on 4th Sep 2023. </li>
<li>Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit (CHJF) is a multi-brand fresh fruit distributor in China with an end-to-end supply chain. As per CIC, it was the largest fruit distributor by revenue in 2022. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit (6689 HK) was listed on 5th Sep 2022, where it raised around US$71m in its Hong Kong IPO. Its one-year lockup will expire on 4th Sep 2023. 
Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit (CHJF) is a multi-brand fresh fruit distributor in China with an end-to-end supply chain. As per CIC, it was the largest fruit distributor by revenue in 2022. 
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit Lockup Expiry - Price Has Come Back Down to Earth but Expect More Selling

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)

ZTO Express Q2 Results: Strong on Volume | Weak on Price | Margins Up in Q2, But H2 Much Tougher

ZTO gained volume share in Q2, which allowed it to beat down unit costs and expand margins. Given recent price erosion, we think ZTO is unlikely to...

Tracking Traffic

Doosan Robotics IPO - Peer Comparison - Has Niche Offerings but Doesn’t Lack Competition

Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS) is looking to raise up to US$314m in its Korean IPO. In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s past...

Ethan Aw

Final Hang Seng Index Flows for 1 Sep Rebal (AAC, EastBuy, BABA, Sinopharm, Trip.com)

The Hang Seng indices will be rebalanced at the close of 1 Sep based on FAF and name changes announced 18 August, and capping flows based on 29...

Travis Lundy

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (Sep 2023)

The September rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The one-way trade across all stocks across...

Brian Freitas

Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit Lockup Expiry - Price Has Come Back Down to Earth but Expect More Selling

Chongqing Hongjiu Fruit (6689 HK) was listed on 5th Sep 2022, where it raised around US$71m in its Hong Kong IPO. Its one-year lockup will expire...

Ethan Aw

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