HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Sichuan Biokin Pharmaceutical Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Biokin's traditional chemical drug and TCM businesses would continue to shrink and their valuation contribution can be negligible. The collaboration agreement for BL-B01D1 with BMS changes the outlook of Biokin.</li>
<li>The clinical data of BL-B01D1 look good so far, but the R&amp;D failure risk of BL-B01D1 is not low. It is uncertain if BL-B01D1 would finally be druggable.</li>
<li>Biokin is overvalued and there is big bubble in valuation. If BL-B01D1 fails in R&amp;D or its clinical data fail to meet high expectation, Biokin’s market value will plummet.</li>
</ul>


Biokin's traditional chemical drug and TCM businesses would continue to shrink and their valuation contribution can be negligible. The collaboration agreement for BL-B01D1 with BMS changes the outlook of Biokin.
The clinical data of BL-B01D1 look good so far, but the R&amp;D failure risk of BL-B01D1 is not low. It is uncertain if BL-B01D1 would finally be druggable.
Biokin is overvalued and there is big bubble in valuation. If BL-B01D1 fails in R&amp;D or its clinical data fail to meet high expectation, Biokin’s market value will plummet.


Pre-IPO Sichuan Biokin Pharmaceutical - Would Investors Be Willing to Take a Gamble?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Alibaba, Kuaishou, Anta, HKEx, China Resource Land, China Telecom, and outflows from Meituan, Tencent, CNOOC, Xiaomi, China Mobile. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Alibaba, Kuaishou, Anta, HKEx, China Resource Land, China Telecom, and outflows from Meituan, Tencent, CNOOC, Xiaomi, China Mobile. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep): Weak Inflows Ex-Alibaba

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong dollar is strengthening as demand picks up and the carry trade unwinds quickly.  Put/Call Skew declines for HSTech Index as traders sentiment reverses.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hengan-international-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29:1" rel="noopener">Hengan International Group (1044 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> had breakouts from declining wedge patterns and have now formed new uptrends.
</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a> had a breakout reversal from a U-shaped pattern indicating more upside.  The stock's 200 DMA may provide little resistance to further re-rating.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong dollar is strengthening as demand picks up and the carry trade unwinds quickly.  Put/Call Skew declines for HSTech Index as traders sentiment reverses.

Hengan International Group (1044 HK) and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) had breakouts from declining wedge patterns and have now formed new uptrends.

Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) had a breakout reversal from a U-shaped pattern indicating more upside.  The stock's 200 DMA may provide little resistance to further re-rating.


Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 30)

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1519 HK/ZTO US: Weekly parcel volume grew ~28% y-o-y (+)</li>
<li>ATAT US/TCOM US: Hotel industry showcased strong performance in the last week of August due to eased base effect.(+/+)</li>
<li>Macro Update: The mortgage interest rate for existing loans may be further reduced, releasing at least RMB200 billion of residents' funds annually, bodes well for consumption in China(+)</li>
</ul>


1519 HK/ZTO US: Weekly parcel volume grew ~28% y-o-y (+)
ATAT US/TCOM US: Hotel industry showcased strong performance in the last week of August due to eased base effect.(+/+)
Macro Update: The mortgage interest rate for existing loans may be further reduced, releasing at least RMB200 billion of residents' funds annually, bodes well for consumption in China(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1519 HK/ZTO US/ATAT US/TCOM US/9926 HK/Macro Update

Event-Driven

Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Biotech will continue selling early-stage pipeline in a sluggish market, but this will further lower its valuation as financing won't improve quickly.</li>
<li>Pharmaceutical distribution companies are facing challenges, driving ongoing consolidation in the industry. However, this trend will ultimately benefit the growth of leading companies in the long run.</li>
<li>If investors truly understand "the essence" of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yichang-hec-changjiang-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21040:1" rel="noopener">HEC Changjiang Pharma</a>, they will be more calm/rational to look at this absorption merger and the inclusion of Hang Seng family of indexes.</li>
</ul>


Biotech will continue selling early-stage pipeline in a sluggish market, but this will further lower its valuation as financing won't improve quickly.
Pharmaceutical distribution companies are facing challenges, driving ongoing consolidation in the industry. However, this trend will ultimately benefit the growth of leading companies in the long run.
If investors truly understand "the essence" of HEC Changjiang Pharma, they will be more calm/rational to look at this absorption merger and the inclusion of Hang Seng family of indexes.


China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.1)-Biotech Sell Asset,Pharmaceutical Distribution Company,HEC CJ Pharma

China

Akeso Inc. operates operatesa s a biotech company. The compnay develops treatments and therapies for various types of diseases. Akeso serves cutomers worldwide

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK)

Pre-IPO Sichuan Biokin Pharmaceutical - Would Investors Be Willing to Take a Gamble?

Biokin's future hinges on collaboration with BMS for BL-B01D1, as traditional business shrink due to VBP/fierce competition.Overvaluation poses...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep): Weak Inflows Ex-Alibaba

We noted 12 months of inflows for Southbound connect stocks and highlighted inflows into Alibaba, Kuaishou, Anta, HKEx, China Resource Land, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 30)

Hong Kong dollar strengthens to the strong end of the band. Hengan and Galaxy share prices have both broken out of Falling Wedge patterns. Wuxi...

David Mudd

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1519 HK/ZTO US/ATAT US/TCOM US/9926 HK/Macro Update

Weekly parcel volume in HK and the US grew by 28%, the hotel industry in the US showed strong performance, and China may see a boost in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.1)-Biotech Sell Asset,Pharmaceutical Distribution Company,HEC CJ Pharma

Biotech's decision to sell pipeline will continue in sluggish market, leading to lower valuation. Pharmaceutical distribution companies face...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pre-IPO Sichuan Biokin Pharmaceutical - Would Investors Be Willing to Take a Gamble?

​Biokin's future hinges on collaboration with BMS for BL-B01D1, as traditional business shrink due to VBP/fierce competition.Overvaluation poses...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep): Weak Inflows Ex-Alibaba

We noted 12 months of inflows for Southbound connect stocks and highlighted inflows into Alibaba, Kuaishou, Anta, HKEx, China Resource Land, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 30)

Hong Kong dollar strengthens to the strong end of the band. Hengan and Galaxy share prices have both broken out of Falling Wedge patterns. Wuxi...

David Mudd

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1519 HK/ZTO US/ATAT US/TCOM US/9926 HK/Macro Update

​Weekly parcel volume in HK and the US grew by 28%, the hotel industry in the US showed strong performance, and China may see a boost in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.1)-Biotech Sell Asset,Pharmaceutical Distribution Company,HEC CJ Pharma

​Biotech's decision to sell pipeline will continue in sluggish market, leading to lower valuation. Pharmaceutical distribution companies face...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Biokin's future hinges on collaboration with BMS for BL-B01D1, as traditional business shrink due to VBP/fierce competition.Overvaluation poses...

Weekly parcel volume in HK and the US grew by 28%, the hotel industry in the US showed strong performance, and China may see a boost in...

Biotech's decision to sell pipeline will continue in sluggish market, leading to lower valuation. Pharmaceutical distribution companies face...