External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In 1H23, Akeso recorded RMB3.68bn revenue, including RMB795mn from sales of AK104 (PD-1/CTLA-4) and AK105 (PD-1), and RMB2.92bn from license income relevant to AK112 (PD-1/VEGF).</li><li>AK104 achieved RMB606mn sales in 1H23, totalling RMB1.15bn in the past 12 months, which beat the Company’s RMB1bn target during the first 12 months after launch.</li><li>Akeso maintained a high product GP margin at 90.3% in 1H23, compared to 91.5% in 2H22. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In 1H23, Akeso recorded RMB3.68bn revenue, including RMB795mn from sales of AK104 (PD-1/CTLA-4) and AK105 (PD-1), and RMB2.92bn from license income relevant to AK112 (PD-1/VEGF).AK104 achieved RMB606mn sales in 1H23, totalling RMB1.15bn in the past 12 months, which beat the Company’s RMB1bn target during the first 12 months after launch.Akeso maintained a high product GP margin at 90.3% in 1H23, compared to 91.5% in 2H22. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Akeso (9926 HK) – Look Forward to Ph3 Data Readout of AK104 and AK112 in Large Indications

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The imagination space and good stories for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-kelun-biotech-biopharm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40071:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990 HK)</a> at this stage mainly come from SKB264. The market has higher expectations for SKB264’s clinical data on NSCLC/TNBC. </li>
<li>The better the clinical results of SKB264 +PD1/L1, the greater the negative impact on AK112’s future expectations/market space in NSCLC. ADC +PD-1 seems more “convincing” than the logic of BsAb.</li>
<li>This July, restricted shares of major shareholders will be lifted, which may lead to big share price fluctuation if they reduce their shareholdings. Investors need not rush to be long.</li>
</ul>


The imagination space and good stories for Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990 HK) at this stage mainly come from SKB264. The market has higher expectations for SKB264’s clinical data on NSCLC/TNBC. 
The better the clinical results of SKB264 +PD1/L1, the greater the negative impact on AK112’s future expectations/market space in NSCLC. ADC +PD-1 seems more “convincing” than the logic of BsAb.
This July, restricted shares of major shareholders will be lifted, which may lead to big share price fluctuation if they reduce their shareholdings. Investors need not rush to be long.


Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990.HK) - Current High Valuation Is Not Secure

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 19th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Ping An, Meituan, China Mobile, HSBC, Haidilao, Picc P&amp;C, Gwmotor, Psbc.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 19th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Ping An, Meituan, China Mobile, HSBC, Haidilao, Picc P&amp;C, Gwmotor, Psbc.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Ping An, Meituan, China Mobile, HSBC, Haidilao, Picc P&C, Gwmotor, Psbc

<ul>
<li>There’re rumor that Akeso’s AK112 and AK104 2024 revenue is RMB300 million and RMB1.5-1.6 billion respectively. Sales of AK104 may be below expectations, so Akeso decided to enter NRDL reimbursement.</li>
<li>Regardless of whether there is a takeover offer, reasonable valuation of Legend Bio is between US$12.5bn-US$15bn based on solid fundamentals. This deal is “a test” for the management of Genscript.</li>
<li>Current stock price of InnoCare just reflects its essence. If no new catalysts (e.g. breakthroughs in clinical data, new licensing agreement, etc.), we are not optimistic about the prospects of InnoCare.</li>
</ul>


There’re rumor that Akeso’s AK112 and AK104 2024 revenue is RMB300 million and RMB1.5-1.6 billion respectively. Sales of AK104 may be below expectations, so Akeso decided to enter NRDL reimbursement.
Regardless of whether there is a takeover offer, reasonable valuation of Legend Bio is between US$12.5bn-US$15bn based on solid fundamentals. This deal is “a test” for the management of Genscript.
Current stock price of InnoCare just reflects its essence. If no new catalysts (e.g. breakthroughs in clinical data, new licensing agreement, etc.), we are not optimistic about the prospects of InnoCare.


China Healthcare Weekly (July.21)-Rumor About Akeso, Takeover Bid for Legend Bio, InnoCare's Trouble

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Fosun's preferred arrangement for Henlius is to list the Company in A-shares.Since IPO in A-shares failed and Henlius has begun to generate profits, Fosun finally feels the need for privatization.</li>
<li>Due to its "flaws", undervaluation of Henlius in the Hong Kong stock market is difficult to fundamentally change. So, for conservative/cautious investors, Fosun's one-time acquisition at a 30% premium is attractive.</li>
<li>The Potential Share Alternative Offer seems a good option, but it is uncertain whether investors are still willing to believe in Fosun's "good story" - the future re-listing is uncertain.</li>
</ul>


Fosun's preferred arrangement for Henlius is to list the Company in A-shares.Since IPO in A-shares failed and Henlius has begun to generate profits, Fosun finally feels the need for privatization.
Due to its "flaws", undervaluation of Henlius in the Hong Kong stock market is difficult to fundamentally change. So, for conservative/cautious investors, Fosun's one-time acquisition at a 30% premium is attractive.
The Potential Share Alternative Offer seems a good option, but it is uncertain whether investors are still willing to believe in Fosun's "good story" - the future re-listing is uncertain.


Shanghai Henlius Biotech Update (2696.HK) - The Story Behind Privatization

China

Akeso Inc. operates operatesa s a biotech company. The compnay develops treatments and therapies for various types of diseases. Akeso serves cutomers worldwide

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Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK)

Akeso (9926 HK) – Look Forward to Ph3 Data Readout of AK104 and AK112 in Large Indications

AK104 achieved RMB606mn sales in 1H23, totalling RMB1.15bn in the past 12 months, which beat the Company’s RMB1bn target during the first 12 months...

CMB International

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990.HK) - Current High Valuation Is Not Secure

The market has high hopes for SKB264's clinical data on NSCLC/TNBC, which will impact Akeso's future expectations. Be cautious of share price...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HK Short Interest Weekly: Ping An, Meituan, China Mobile, HSBC, Haidilao, Picc P&C, Gwmotor, Psbc

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 19th and highlight short interest changes in Ping An, Meituan, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Healthcare Weekly (July.21)-Rumor About Akeso, Takeover Bid for Legend Bio, InnoCare's Trouble

Revenue of Akeso's AK112 and AK104 in 2024 may fall short of expectations. Legend Bio got a takeover bid, which is "a test" for Genscript....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shanghai Henlius Biotech Update (2696.HK) - The Story Behind Privatization

Henlius has met the pre-condition for a potential Share Alternative Offer. Since HK$24.60 Offer Price (50% lower than HK$49.6/share IPO price) is...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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Akeso (9926 HK) – Look Forward to Ph3 Data Readout of AK104 and AK112 in Large Indications

AK104 achieved RMB606mn sales in 1H23, totalling RMB1.15bn in the past 12 months, which beat the Company’s RMB1bn target during the first 12 months...

CMB International

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990.HK) - Current High Valuation Is Not Secure

The market has high hopes for SKB264's clinical data on NSCLC/TNBC, which will impact Akeso's future expectations. Be cautious of share price...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HK Short Interest Weekly: Ping An, Meituan, China Mobile, HSBC, Haidilao, Picc P&C, Gwmotor, Psbc

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 19th and highlight short interest changes in Ping An, Meituan, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Healthcare Weekly (July.21)-Rumor About Akeso, Takeover Bid for Legend Bio, InnoCare's Trouble

​Revenue of Akeso's AK112 and AK104 in 2024 may fall short of expectations. Legend Bio got a takeover bid, which is "a test" for Genscript....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shanghai Henlius Biotech Update (2696.HK) - The Story Behind Privatization

Henlius has met the pre-condition for a potential Share Alternative Offer. Since HK$24.60 Offer Price (50% lower than HK$49.6/share IPO price) is...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Revenue of Akeso's AK112 and AK104 in 2024 may fall short of expectations. Legend Bio got a takeover bid, which is "a test" for Genscript....