Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>This earnings season, Industrial semiconductor demand has been the biggest incremental softening in end market demand. That’s not surprising. </li><li>I have been talking about the FIFO (First-In, First-Out) cycle, and the only two remaining segments that have not had a meaningful correction are Industrial and Automotive.</li><li>We are now seeing the beginning of Industrial weakening.</li></ul>

This earnings season, Industrial semiconductor demand has been the biggest incremental softening in end market demand. That’s not surprising. I have been talking about the FIFO (First-In, First-Out) cycle, and the only two remaining segments that have not had a meaningful correction are Industrial and Automotive.We are now seeing the beginning of Industrial weakening.

<ul><li>Another week in earnings, the big theme I can point out is the continued and persistent weakness in the Industrial market.</li><li>Reminder: in a first-in-first-out (FIFO) framework, the first into the inventory correction were PCs and Smartphones.</li><li>Then, networking and data center, and we are now seeing Industrial start their inventory correction cycle. I don’t think this is the last we will hear about this. </li></ul>

Another week in earnings, the big theme I can point out is the continued and persistent weakness in the Industrial market.Reminder: in a first-in-first-out (FIFO) framework, the first into the inventory correction were PCs and Smartphones.Then, networking and data center, and we are now seeing Industrial start their inventory correction cycle. I don’t think this is the last we will hear about this. 

Earnings Season Post (ANET, AMKR, RMBS, LSCC, AMD, Advantest, SLAB, QCOM, QRVO, ENTG, SITM...)

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Last week global heavyweights AMD, Samsung, and Qualcomm delivered good news, including for the Memory, PC, and Smartphone industries. Taiwan company results supported their views as well.</li>
<li>Looking ahead, Novatek, Asustek, and Himax are set to release in Taiwan. Combined with NXP abroad, this will provide color on display demand, automotive, and servers/PCs.</li>
<li>A new Chinese memory chip maker just received major government investment, with an IPO of its related company planned.</li>
</ul>


Last week global heavyweights AMD, Samsung, and Qualcomm delivered good news, including for the Memory, PC, and Smartphone industries. Taiwan company results supported their views as well.
Looking ahead, Novatek, Asustek, and Himax are set to release in Taiwan. Combined with NXP abroad, this will provide color on display demand, automotive, and servers/PCs.
A new Chinese memory chip maker just received major government investment, with an IPO of its related company planned.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Positive Signs for Memory, PC, Smartphones; Key Autos & Display Color This Week

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul>
<li>AMD’s 3Q23 results were largely in line with market expectations, despite its weaker 4Q23 guidance on gaming slowdown.</li>
<li>3Q revenue increased 4% YoY /8% QoQ to US$5.8bn driven by record sales of server CPU and strong Ryzen processor sales.</li>
<li>GPM improved 1ppt YoY to 51% and EPS increased 4% YoY to US$0.7, mainly driven by strong client segment and better product mix.</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


AMD’s 3Q23 results were largely in line with market expectations, despite its weaker 4Q23 guidance on gaming slowdown.
3Q revenue increased 4% YoY /8% QoQ to US$5.8bn driven by record sales of server CPU and strong Ryzen processor sales.
GPM improved 1ppt YoY to 51% and EPS increased 4% YoY to US$0.7, mainly driven by strong client segment and better product mix.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Implications of AMD 3Q23: PC Recovery and AI PC Opportunities

<ul><li>Intel’s 3Q23 results beat prior guidance and market expectations, and it guided an upbeat 4Q23 with a return to sales growth backed by improving PC market and a more competitive product pipeline.</li><li>3Q revenue declined 8% YoY to US$14.2bn (above high-end of guidance) and EPS increased 11% YoY to US$0.41 (vs. US$0.2 for guidance), mainly driven by CCG/DCAI strength, better operating leverage and expense discipline.</li><li>Looking into 4Q23E, mgmt. expected PC momentum to continue and sequential growth of datacentre and AI businesses in 4Q23E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Intel’s 3Q23 results beat prior guidance and market expectations, and it guided an upbeat 4Q23 with a return to sales growth backed by improving PC market and a more competitive product pipeline.3Q revenue declined 8% YoY to US$14.2bn (above high-end of guidance) and EPS increased 11% YoY to US$0.41 (vs. US$0.2 for guidance), mainly driven by CCG/DCAI strength, better operating leverage and expense discipline.Looking into 4Q23E, mgmt. expected PC momentum to continue and sequential growth of datacentre and AI businesses in 4Q23E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Implications of Intel 3Q23

United States

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) produces semiconductor products and devices. The Company offers products such as microprocessors, embedded microprocessors, chipsets, graphics, video and multimedia products and supplies it to third-party foundries, as well as provides assembling, testing, and packaging services. AMD serves customers worldwide.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)

Semiconductor Cycles: Industrial and EVs

Plus my new taxonomy of cycles! Where I think each end market is in the cycle. This earnings season, Industrial semiconductor demand has been the...

Fabricated Knowledge

Earnings Season Post (ANET, AMKR, RMBS, LSCC, AMD, Advantest, SLAB, QCOM, QRVO, ENTG, SITM...)

Another week in earnings, the big theme I can point out is the continued and persistent weakness in the Industrial market.

Fabricated Knowledge

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Positive Signs for Memory, PC, Smartphones; Key Autos & Display Color This Week

Last week global heavyweights AMD, Samsung, and Qualcomm delivered good news, including for the Memory, PC, and Smartphone industries. Taiwan...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

China Technology – Implications of AMD 3Q23: PC Recovery and AI PC Opportunities

AMD’s 3Q23 results were largely in line with market expectations, despite its weaker 4Q23 guidance on gaming slowdown. 3Q revenue increased 4% YoY...

CMB International

China Technology – Implications of Intel 3Q23

Intel’s 3Q23 results beat prior guidance and market expectations, and it guided an upbeat 4Q23 with a return to sales growth backed by improving PC...

CMB International

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