IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apm-human-services-internation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34808:1" rel="noopener">APM Human Services Internation (APM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/probiotec-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12047:1" rel="noopener">Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genex-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29079:1" rel="noopener">Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genetron-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28435:1" rel="noopener">Genetron Holdings Ltd (GTH US)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/payroll-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33434:1" rel="noopener">Payroll (4489 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/welbe-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31118:1" rel="noopener">Welbe Inc (6556 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: APM Human Services Internation (APM AU), Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU), Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU), China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK), Genetron Holdings Ltd (GTH US). 
Lowest spreads: Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU), CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK), Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), Payroll (4489 JP), Welbe Inc (6556 JP). 


Merger Arb Mondays (11 Mar) - Shinko, JSR, Azure, Genex, OreCorp, Hollysys, CPMC, Vinda

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Just one new deal was discussed this week on Smartkarma (possible four): <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/electric-power-development-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:292:1" rel="noopener">Electric Power Development C (9513 JP)</a>'s tilt for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genex-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29079:1" rel="noopener">Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinda-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:475:1" rel="noopener">Vinda International (3331 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a> 
</li>
</ul>


I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Just one new deal was discussed this week on Smartkarma (possible four): Electric Power Development C (9513 JP)'s tilt for Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU).
Key updates took place on: Alumina Ltd (AWC AU), Azure Minerals (AZS AU), Vinda International (3331 HK), JSR Corp (4185 JP), and Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP) 



(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Genex, Alumina, Azure Minerals, Vinda, JSR Corp, Shinko Electric Industries

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 1st (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Commonw Bk Austr, Rio Tinto, Seven Group Hold, Wesfarmers, Igo, Yancoal Australi, Macquarie, Xero, Lovisa.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 1st (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.3bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Commonw Bk Austr, Rio Tinto, Seven Group Hold, Wesfarmers, Igo, Yancoal Australi, Macquarie, Xero, Lovisa.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 1st): Commonw Bk Austr, Rio Tinto, Seven Group Hold, Wesfarmers, Igo

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apm-human-services-internation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34808:1" rel="noopener">APM Human Services Internation (APM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/probiotec-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12047:1" rel="noopener">Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, China TCM.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yaizu-suisankagaku-industry" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20044:1" rel="noopener">Yaizu Suisankagaku Industry (2812 JP)</a>.       </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: APM Human Services Internation (APM AU), Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU), Alumina Ltd (AWC AU), Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP), JSR Corp (4185 JP), China TCM.
Lowest spreads: Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU), Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU), Yaizu Suisankagaku Industry (2812 JP).       


Merger Arb Mondays (04 Mar) - JSR, Shinko, Outsourcing, APM, Alumina, Adbri, Azure, CSR, Probiotec

Keisei Electric Railway Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Apart from being mildly EPS accretive, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a>'s buyback is a means to get crossholders out, therefore, it may not have much direct market impact. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cie-de-saint-gobain" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21547:1" rel="noopener">Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)</a> firms a decade-high-plus Offer price for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csr-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17380:1" rel="noopener">CSR Ltd (CSR AU)</a> - this is done.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Group (4755 JP)</a> announced it would propose an amendment to its Articles at the AGM (28 March) to issue "Bond-Type Class Shares." First reaction: You wot, mate?</li>
</ul>


Apart from being mildly EPS accretive, Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)'s buyback is a means to get crossholders out, therefore, it may not have much direct market impact. 

Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP) firms a decade-high-plus Offer price for CSR Ltd (CSR AU) - this is done.

Rakuten Group (4755 JP) announced it would propose an amendment to its Articles at the AGM (28 March) to issue "Bond-Type Class Shares." First reaction: You wot, mate?


Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, CSR, Rakuten, HK Property, Aeon/TSURUHA/Welcia

Australia

Wagners Holding Co Pty Ltd. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides raw materials, such as washed sand, loam, sealing aggregates, ballasts, road bases, boulders, and rip raps.

Nufarm Limited manufactures and supplies a range of agricultural chemicals used by farmers to protect crops from damage caused by weeds, pests and disease. The Company has worldwide operations.

Bellevue Gold Limited operates as a mining company. The Company engages in the exploration and development of gold mines. Bellevue Gold serves customers in Australia.

Genesis Minerals Limited is an Australian-based mineral exploration company. The Company acquires commercially significant mineral deposits that can be brought into production.

Ramelius Resources Limited is a gold exploration and production company with exploration activities focused in Western Australia.  The Company also explores for base metals.

Gold Road Resources Limited operates as a mineral exploration and production company. The Company focuses on its Yamarna Gold Project located east of Laverton, Western Australia.

Zimplats Holdings Limited is a mining group which explores for and produces platinum group metals in Zimbabwe. The Company's exploration projects include Ngezi South and North, Hartley Platinum and Selous.

Sims Metal Management Ltd. collects, sorts and processes scrap metal materials which are recycled for resale. The Company's divisions include ferrous recycling, non-ferrous recycling, secondary processing of non-ferrous metals and plastics, international trading of metal commodities and the merchandising of steel semi-fabricated products.

Liontown Resources Ltd. explores for and mines base metals.

AVZ Minerals Limited operates as a mineral exploration company. The Company acquires, develops, mines, and produces lithium, tin, tantalum, and other base metals. AVZ Minerals serves customers globally.

PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk manufactures cement and building materials. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures and processes ready-mix cement as well as owns and manages properties and hotels.

Tangshan Jidong Cement Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets portland cement and cement clinker.  The company also provides cement machine installation services.

Tangshan Jidong Cement Co, Ltd. (000401 CH)

Sichuan Shuangma Cement Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets cement and cement products.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also generates electric power and trades construction materials.

India Cements Limited manufactures different varieties of cement and clinker. The Company also manufactures and exports textiles.

Orient Refractories Ltd. fabricates metal products.  The Company manufactures slide gate plates, nozzles and well blocks, tundish nozzles, bottom purging refractories and top purging lances, slag arresting darts, basic spray mass for tundish working lining, and castables.

Lafarge Malaysia Berhad operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, manufactures, sells, and distributes cement and clinker. Lafarge Malaysia also manufactures and sells ready-mixed concrete, provides shipping services, leases vessels, and trades building materials.

Anhui Fangxing Science & Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets float glass, coated glass, ITO conductive coated glass, glass deeply-processed products, and other advanced materials.

Birla Corporation Limited is a manufacturing company that produces and sells cement, automobile trim parts, jute goods, synthetic and cotton yarns, and PVC floor coverings and coated fabrics. The Group also manufactures calcium carbide, ferromanganese, silico manganese, oxygen and iron and steel castings.

J.K. Lakshmi Cement Ltd. manufactures cement, which it sells under the brand name JK Lakshmi.

Cementos Molins, S.A. manufactures and distributes ready-mix concrete, portland cements, luminous cements, pre-cast concrete products and other related building materials.  The Company operates portland and luminous factories, two quarries in Vallirana and Palleja and a manufacturing plant in Palleja.

Adbri Limited supplies construction materials. The Company distributes cement, concrete, aggregates, industrial lime, clinker, and other related products. Adbri serves customers in Australia.

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Adbri (ABC AU)

Merger Arb Mondays (11 Mar) - Shinko, JSR, Azure, Genex, OreCorp, Hollysys, CPMC, Vinda

This week, the highest gross spreads are APM (18.7%), Probiotec (10.9%), Genex Power (10.0%), China TCM (6.5%), Genetron (5.7%), Alumina (5.3%),...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Genex, Alumina, Azure Minerals, Vinda, JSR Corp, Shinko Electric Industries

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 1st): Commonw Bk Austr, Rio Tinto, Seven Group Hold, Wesfarmers, Igo

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Commonw Bk Austr, Rio Tinto, Seven Group Hold,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Merger Arb Mondays (04 Mar) - JSR, Shinko, Outsourcing, APM, Alumina, Adbri, Azure, CSR, Probiotec

This week, the highest gross spreads are APM (19.8%), Probiotec (10.2%), Alumina (10.1%), Shinko Electric (7.9%), JSR (7.4%), China TCM (5.7%),...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, CSR, Rakuten, HK Property, Aeon/TSURUHA/Welcia

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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