Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In the latest wave of management changes, Eddie Wu, Jack Ma’s trusted associate has staged a comeback, securing pivotal roles.</li>
<li>We believe this is not a mere coincidence. Jack Ma seems to be orchestrating moves from behind the scenes, with Eddie Wu strategically positioned to represent his influence.</li>
<li>The Chinese government's reaction to Jack Ma's increased involvement may impact <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>'s price performance in the short term.</li>
</ul>


In the latest wave of management changes, Eddie Wu, Jack Ma’s trusted associate has staged a comeback, securing pivotal roles.
We believe this is not a mere coincidence. Jack Ma seems to be orchestrating moves from behind the scenes, with Eddie Wu strategically positioned to represent his influence.
The Chinese government's reaction to Jack Ma's increased involvement may impact Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)'s price performance in the short term.


Alibaba’s Eddie Wu, Strategic Leader or Ma's Partner?

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ubtech-robotics-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36469:1" rel="noopener">UBTech Robotics (9880 HK)</a> is looking to raise about US$168m in its upcoming HK IPO, after downsizing from an earlier reported float of up to US$700m.</li>
<li>UBTech Robotics is engaged in artificial intelligence (AI)-empowered robotics in China, dedicated to the innovation of humanoid robots and development and sales of smart service robotic solutions.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at the company’s performance and its PHIP updates. In this note, we share our quick thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



UBTech Robotics (9880 HK) is looking to raise about US$168m in its upcoming HK IPO, after downsizing from an earlier reported float of up to US$700m.
UBTech Robotics is engaged in artificial intelligence (AI)-empowered robotics in China, dedicated to the innovation of humanoid robots and development and sales of smart service robotic solutions.
In our previous note, we looked at the company’s performance and its PHIP updates. In this note, we share our quick thoughts on valuation.


UBTech Robotics IPO - Quick Thoughts on Valuation - Too Hefty a Premium for Slowing Growth

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>We view both Weixin Video Account (WVA) and Douyin China as secondary assets to their respective parents, which in our view, may lead to them forming...(TBC) </li>
<li>However, rising competition in the short-play (短剧) market may put the two businesses in more direct confrontation, which may delay or diminish the chance for two to work together;</li>
<li>We view Tencent as the likely winner in the continuing evolution of short video as it considers various options to maximize the value of WVA traffic.</li>
</ul>


We view both Weixin Video Account (WVA) and Douyin China as secondary assets to their respective parents, which in our view, may lead to them forming...(TBC) 
However, rising competition in the short-play (短剧) market may put the two businesses in more direct confrontation, which may delay or diminish the chance for two to work together;
We view Tencent as the likely winner in the continuing evolution of short video as it considers various options to maximize the value of WVA traffic.


[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Latest Developments in Short Video Point to Possibilities

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

<ul>
<li>In November, domestic parcel volume growth accelerated vs recent months</li>
<li>International remains very strong; STO keeps taking share from Yunda</li>
<li>Avoid domestic 'ground' segment, seek international growth in SF, CaiNiao</li>
</ul>


In November, domestic parcel volume growth accelerated vs recent months
International remains very strong; STO keeps taking share from Yunda
Avoid domestic 'ground' segment, seek international growth in SF, CaiNiao


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Prices Keep Sliding, Volume Share Keeps Shifting (December 2023)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1024HK：Kuaishou will charge merchants for using the "Buy now, Pay later" marketing tool (+)</li>
<li>PDD/ BABA/ Shein: Extra color on PDD’s Shein lawsuit (+/+/-)</li>
<li>PDD/ BABA: Nike rumored to launch official outlet store on PDD (+/-)</li>
</ul>


1024HK：Kuaishou will charge merchants for using the "Buy now, Pay later" marketing tool (+)
PDD/ BABA/ Shein: Extra color on PDD’s Shein lawsuit (+/+/-)
PDD/ BABA: Nike rumored to launch official outlet store on PDD (+/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update] 1024 HK/PDD/BABA/Shein/VIPS/3690 HK/JD

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)

Alibaba’s Eddie Wu, Strategic Leader or Ma's Partner?

Jack Ma's trusted associate, Eddie Wu, has returned to a pivotal role, suggesting that Ma is orchestrating moves behind the scenes and positioning...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

UBTech Robotics IPO - Quick Thoughts on Valuation - Too Hefty a Premium for Slowing Growth

UBTech Robotics (9880 HK) is looking to raise about US$168m in its upcoming HK IPO, after downsizing from an earlier reported float of up to US$700m.

Ethan Aw

[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Latest Developments in Short Video Point to Possibilities

The competition in the short-play market may hinder the collaboration between Weixin Video Account and Douyin China, but Tencent is expected to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update] 1024 HK/PDD/BABA/Shein/VIPS/3690 HK/JD

Kuaishou to charge merchants for "Buy now, Pay later" tool; PDD's Shein lawsuit update; Nike may open official store on PDD.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Alibaba’s Eddie Wu, Strategic Leader or Ma's Partner?

​Jack Ma's trusted associate, Eddie Wu, has returned to a pivotal role, suggesting that Ma is orchestrating moves behind the scenes and positioning...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

UBTech Robotics IPO - Quick Thoughts on Valuation - Too Hefty a Premium for Slowing Growth

UBTech Robotics (9880 HK) is looking to raise about US$168m in its upcoming HK IPO, after downsizing from an earlier reported float of up to US$700m.

Ethan Aw

[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Latest Developments in Short Video Point to Possibilities

​The competition in the short-play market may hinder the collaboration between Weixin Video Account and Douyin China, but Tencent is expected to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Prices Keep Sliding, Volume Share Keeps Shifting (December 2023)

Although domestic parcel volume has strengthened in recent months, pricing continues to weaken, and China's 'sort & transport' express companies...

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update] 1024 HK/PDD/BABA/Shein/VIPS/3690 HK/JD

​Kuaishou to charge merchants for "Buy now, Pay later" tool; PDD's Shein lawsuit update; Nike may open official store on PDD.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Jack Ma's trusted associate, Eddie Wu, has returned to a pivotal role, suggesting that Ma is orchestrating moves behind the scenes and positioning...

The competition in the short-play market may hinder the collaboration between Weixin Video Account and Douyin China, but Tencent is expected to...

Kuaishou to charge merchants for "Buy now, Pay later" tool; PDD's Shein lawsuit update; Nike may open official store on PDD.