Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Retailers /hoteliers will welcome the return of Chinese travellers, with ~US$250bn in annual spending. That should bode well for mall operators like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5775:1" rel="noopener">Swire Properties</a> and, in turn, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific</a>.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Swire are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


Retailers /hoteliers will welcome the return of Chinese travellers, with ~US$250bn in annual spending. That should bode well for mall operators like Swire Properties and, in turn, Swire Pacific.
Preceding my comments on Swire are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (19 HK)</a> has bought back B/A shares in ratios of 63/37 and 72/28 over two days.  Listing Rules suggest the ratio has to be higher than 76.71/23.29. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Swire are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Swire Pacific (19 HK) has bought back B/A shares in ratios of 63/37 and 72/28 over two days.  Listing Rules suggest the ratio has to be higher than 76.71/23.29. 
Preceding my comments on Swire are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Swire's NAV Discount Further Narrows As Buyback Kicks Off

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (19 HK)</a> has <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/0811/2022081100273.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a "small" buyback at HK$4bn, but it is a material portion of ADV.  </li>
<li>What remains unknown is how the buyback will be split.  The split will only be known once buyback volumes are announced. </li>
<li>Swire is trading cheap at a look-through forward P/B of 0.28x compared to its five-year average of 0.38x, and the two-year average pre-Covid of 0.48x. </li>
</ul>



Swire Pacific (19 HK) has announced a "small" buyback at HK$4bn, but it is a material portion of ADV.  
What remains unknown is how the buyback will be split.  The split will only be known once buyback volumes are announced. 
Swire is trading cheap at a look-through forward P/B of 0.28x compared to its five-year average of 0.38x, and the two-year average pre-Covid of 0.48x. 


Swire A/​​B (19 HK /​​ 87 HK)'s BIG Buyback Programme

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>Today <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> (and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23726:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific Ltd-Cl B (87 HK)</a>) announced earnings, and they announced a large (HK$4bn) buyback.  </li>
<li>Details are somewhat thin, but there are a bunch of possibilities, and all of them should have non-negligible impact on Swire and Swire vs Peers. </li>
<li>The immediate market response was to send them up 10% on the day. That puts both at somewhere near one-year highs, but the discount to NAV is still big.</li>
</ul>


Today Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) (and Swire Pacific Ltd-Cl B (87 HK)) announced earnings, and they announced a large (HK$4bn) buyback.  
Details are somewhat thin, but there are a bunch of possibilities, and all of them should have non-negligible impact on Swire and Swire vs Peers. 
The immediate market response was to send them up 10% on the day. That puts both at somewhere near one-year highs, but the discount to NAV is still big.


Swire A/B (19 HK / 87 HK) Buyback Programme - It's REALLY BIG

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> expands its beverages ops, its best-performing unlisted segment, via the acquisition of Coke bottling operations in Vietnam and Cambodia. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Swire - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5775:1" rel="noopener">Swire Properties (1972 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a> - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) expands its beverages ops, its best-performing unlisted segment, via the acquisition of Coke bottling operations in Vietnam and Cambodia. 
Preceding my comments on Swire - and Swire Properties (1972 HK) and Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK) - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Swire Acquires Coke's Ops in Vietnam & Cambodia

Hong Kong

Swire Properties Limited develops and manages commercial, retail, and residential properties. The Company's investment portfolio includes office and retail premises, and serviced apartments and other residential accommodation.

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Swire Properties (1972 HK)

StubWorld: Swire And China’s Opening

It’s a positive development China's signature policies are being reversed. There are a lot of pent-up savings. The big question is the...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Swire's NAV Discount Further Narrows As Buyback Kicks Off

Swire Pacific has bought back B/A shares in ratios of 63/37 and 72/28 over two days. Listing Rules say it has to be higher than 76.71/23.29. Stay...

David Blennerhassett

Swire A/B (19 HK / 87 HK)'s BIG Buyback Programme

I continue to tilt bullish on Swire Pac. ~45% discount is unreasonably wide given its tendency to historically trade in the low-to-mid twenties....

David Blennerhassett

Swire A/B (19 HK / 87 HK) Buyback Programme - It's REALLY BIG

Swire announced a large buyback today. Shares in both A|B lines jumped 10+%. It is "only" HK$4bn but it is a large portion of Real World Float and...

Travis Lundy

StubWorld: Swire Acquires Coke's Ops in Vietnam & Cambodia

I tilt bullish on Swire Pac. A 50%+ discount is wide given it has historically traded in the low-to-mid twenties. Plus it's inexpensive at 0.26x P...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

StubWorld: Swire And China’s Opening

It’s a positive development China's signature policies are being reversed. There are a lot of pent-up savings. The big question is the...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Swire's NAV Discount Further Narrows As Buyback Kicks Off

Swire Pacific has bought back B/A shares in ratios of 63/37 and 72/28 over two days. Listing Rules say it has to be higher than 76.71/23.29. Stay...

David Blennerhassett

Swire A/​​B (19 HK /​​ 87 HK)'s BIG Buyback Programme

I continue to tilt bullish on Swire Pac. ~45% discount is unreasonably wide given its tendency to historically trade in the low-to-mid twenties....

David Blennerhassett

Swire A/B (19 HK / 87 HK) Buyback Programme - It's REALLY BIG

Swire announced a large buyback today. Shares in both A|B lines jumped 10+%. It is "only" HK$4bn but it is a large portion of Real World Float and...

Travis Lundy

StubWorld: Swire Acquires Coke's Ops in Vietnam & Cambodia

I tilt bullish on Swire Pac. A 50%+ discount is wide given it has historically traded in the low-to-mid twenties. Plus it's inexpensive at 0.26x P...

David Blennerhassett

Swire A/B (19 HK / 87 HK)'s BIG Buyback Programme