Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are a bunch of stocks listed in Hong Kong that have underperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> and their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in August.</li>
<li>The deletion from passive portfolios will lead to a liquidity event at the end of August where passive trackers will need to sell multiple days of ADV.</li>
<li>There has been a big jump in cumulative excess volume in some stocks and the A/H premium on a lot of the names has jumped over the last few months.</li>
</ul>


There are a bunch of stocks listed in Hong Kong that have underperformed the HSCEI INDEX and their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in August.
The deletion from passive portfolios will lead to a liquidity event at the end of August where passive trackers will need to sell multiple days of ADV.
There has been a big jump in cumulative excess volume in some stocks and the A/H premium on a lot of the names has jumped over the last few months.


Hong Kong: Stocks Facing the Passive Boot in August

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Smoore International, China Communication Services and GDS have Bullish technical signals in a challenging market.</li>
<li>After a 3 year run from the COVID lows, Samsonite has confirmed a Bearish technical signal.</li>
<li>Hautai Securities hits an all time low and becomes a "Catch a Falling Knife" chart.</li>
</ul>


Smoore International, China Communication Services and GDS have Bullish technical signals in a challenging market.
After a 3 year run from the COVID lows, Samsonite has confirmed a Bearish technical signal.
Hautai Securities hits an all time low and becomes a "Catch a Falling Knife" chart.


Technically Speaking: Breakouts and Breakdowns in HONG KONG (July 10)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 104.9% as of Jun 28th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by materials, consumer discretionary, energy and offset by real estate, health care, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, Air China, PetroChina, China Telecom.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 104.9% as of Jun 28th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by materials, consumer discretionary, energy and offset by real estate, health care, consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, Air China, PetroChina, China Telecom.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 28th): China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, Air China, PetroChina, China Telecom

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>BIG Net SOUTHBOUND inflow continues. Notable in the past four weeks are US$1.9bn of net flow to Energy Hs and US$2.2bn to Banks in the H side of H/A Pairs.</li>
<li>AH Premia lowish in 52-week range, but still high for many pairs. I continue to expect further "convergence" among spreads, and the recent HA Premium bounce has lost momentum.</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
BIG Net SOUTHBOUND inflow continues. Notable in the past four weeks are US$1.9bn of net flow to Energy Hs and US$2.2bn to Banks in the H side of H/A Pairs.
AH Premia lowish in 52-week range, but still high for many pairs. I continue to expect further "convergence" among spreads, and the recent HA Premium bounce has lost momentum.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 21 Jun 2024):  AH Premia Stabilising Lower, Can Move A Leg Lower Still

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 105.3% as of Jun 14th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, financials and offset by consumer staples, utilities, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for  China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 105.3% as of Jun 14th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, financials and offset by consumer staples, utilities, real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for  China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 14th): China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power

China

Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. is a securities firm which acts as a broker, dealer for securities. The Company also provides investment advisory, placing and underwriting, nominee and custodian services.

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Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)

Hong Kong: Stocks Facing the Passive Boot in August

We expect 7 HK listed stocks to be deleted from global passive portfolios in August. The stocks have underperformed the HSCEI and their peers as...

Brian Freitas

Technically Speaking: Breakouts and Breakdowns in HONG KONG (July 10)

Share prices of Smoore International, China Communication Services and GDS had Bullish technical signals while Samsonite and Huatai Securities have...

David Mudd

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 28th): China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, Air China, PetroChina, China Telecom

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, Ganfeng Lithium, Air China, PetroChina, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Tracker (To 21 Jun 2024): AH Premia Stabilising Lower, Can Move A Leg Lower Still

The Quiddity AH Monitor shows that while AH Premia have spent weeks "bouncing" off multi-year lows, the rebound impetus is slowing. There's room...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 14th): China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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