Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Alibaba closed four more supermarkets at the end of February.</li>
<li>Alibaba is moving retailers from the discount app back to Taobao.</li>
<li>Li Auto’s deliveries increased by 62% YoY in the first two months of 2024.</li>
</ul>


Alibaba closed four more supermarkets at the end of February.
Alibaba is moving retailers from the discount app back to Taobao.
Li Auto’s deliveries increased by 62% YoY in the first two months of 2024.


China Consumption Weekly (4 Mar 2024): Alibaba, Sun Art, Li Auto, Nayuki, NetEase, Vipshop

<ul>
<li>BYD released its result estimate for 2023, in which net profit rose by 74% to 86% over 2022.</li>
<li>Li auto delivered 31,165 vehicles in January 2024, up by 106% over 2023.</li>
<li>As per rumors reported in the media, Alibaba will sell RT-Mart, a supermarket brand.</li>
</ul>


BYD released its result estimate for 2023, in which net profit rose by 74% to 86% over 2022.
Li auto delivered 31,165 vehicles in January 2024, up by 106% over 2023.
As per rumors reported in the media, Alibaba will sell RT-Mart, a supermarket brand.


China Consumption Weekly (5 Feb 2024): BYD, Li Auto, Alibaba, Sun Art

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 25th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, Li Ning, China Construction Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 25th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, Li Ning, China Construction Bank.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 25th): Tencent, China Mobile, Li Ning, China Construction Bank

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.</li>
<li>As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.</li>
<li>China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.</li>
</ul>


The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.
As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.
China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.


EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

<ul>
<li>We believe total revenue will grow about 25% YoY in 2Q22.</li>
<li>We believe advertising revenue will grow slowly, but physical store will grow rapidly.</li>
<li>We also believe the operating margin will be stable in the following year.</li>
</ul>


We believe total revenue will grow about 25% YoY in 2Q22.
We believe advertising revenue will grow slowly, but physical store will grow rapidly.
We also believe the operating margin will be stable in the following year.


Alibaba (BABA): F2Q22 Outlook, Slow in App and Rapid in Physical Store

Hong Kong

Sun Art Retail Group Ltd. operates hypermarkets.  The Company retails food and offers amenities such as restaurants, automated teller machines, pharmacies and dry cleaners.

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Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)

China Consumption Weekly (4 Mar 2024): Alibaba, Sun Art, Li Auto, Nayuki, NetEase, Vipshop

Alibaba closed four supermarkets at the end of February. Alibaba is moving retailers from the discount app back to Taobao. Li Auto’s deliveries...

Ming Lu

China Consumption Weekly (5 Feb 2024): BYD, Li Auto, Alibaba, Sun Art

BYD estimated its net profit rose by 74% to 86% in 2023. Li auto's deliveries increased by 106% YoY in January 2024. It is rumored that Alibaba...

Ming Lu

Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 25th): Tencent, China Mobile, Li Ning, China Construction Bank

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, Li Ning, China Construction Bank。

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

EM vs. EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the $DXY peaked in November 2022. If the DXY remains below...

Vermilion Research

Alibaba (BABA): F2Q22 Outlook, Slow in App and Rapid in Physical Store

We believe total revenue will grow about 25% YoY in F2Q22. We believe advertising revenue will grow slowly, but physical store will grow rapidly.

Ming Lu

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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