Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>PICC P&amp;C's thesis has materialized and played out well this year, with the stock being HK's best-performing Chinese insurer.</li>
<li>Samsung Life's share price recovered slightly since our last update as LT Korean government bond yields further increased.</li>
<li>Prudential's thesis is slowly being played out, with its P/BV discount to AIA having narrowed; but still a long way to go. </li>
</ul>


PICC P&amp;C's thesis has materialized and played out well this year, with the stock being HK's best-performing Chinese insurer.
Samsung Life's share price recovered slightly since our last update as LT Korean government bond yields further increased.
Prudential's thesis is slowly being played out, with its P/BV discount to AIA having narrowed; but still a long way to go. 


APAC Insurers Series (#3): Initial Theses At Different Stages of Being Played Out

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for PetroChina, China Mobile, Xpeng, Bilibili, Kuaishou, CCB, ICBC, BYD, HSBC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows for PetroChina, China Mobile, Xpeng, Bilibili, Kuaishou, CCB, ICBC, BYD, HSBC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: $366m Outflows in June

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 5th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Ganfenglithium, Picc P&amp;C, Jd, Bidu, Manulife.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 5th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Ganfenglithium, Picc P&amp;C, Jd, Bidu, Manulife.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Ganfeng Lithium, Picc P&C, Jd, Bidu, Manulife

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As of 8 May, we see three potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)</a> at the June rebalance. This is mainly driven by the inclusions.</li>
<li>There is over 1 day of ADV to trade on all stocks with the largest impact on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK)</a> at nearly 4 days of ADV.</li>
<li>Short interest has been increasing on the potential adds as they have run up a lot in the last few months.</li>
</ul>


As of 8 May, we see three potential changes to the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) at the June rebalance. This is mainly driven by the inclusions.
There is over 1 day of ADV to trade on all stocks with the largest impact on BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK) at nearly 4 days of ADV.
Short interest has been increasing on the potential adds as they have run up a lot in the last few months.


FXI Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Changes in June

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

PICC Property & Casualty H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>PICC P&amp;C delivered 579% YoY growth in underwriting (UW) profit in FY22, translating into RMB2.1bn UW gains in 2H22 vs RMB3.9bn UW losses in 2H21.</li>
<li>The insurer managed to lower its combined ratio (CoR) by 2.0pts YoY to 97.6% from 99.6% in FY21, outperforming the industry average (99.0%) across major peers.</li>
<li>The underwriting (UW) margin continued to improve YoY for the fourth consecutive quarter, leading 2H22 CoR to 99.1% (-2.8pts YoY) and 4Q22 CoR to 100.7% (-0.9pts YoY).</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>


PICC P&amp;C delivered 579% YoY growth in underwriting (UW) profit in FY22, translating into RMB2.1bn UW gains in 2H22 vs RMB3.9bn UW losses in 2H21.
The insurer managed to lower its combined ratio (CoR) by 2.0pts YoY to 97.6% from 99.6% in FY21, outperforming the industry average (99.0%) across major peers.
The underwriting (UW) margin continued to improve YoY for the fourth consecutive quarter, leading 2H22 CoR to 99.1% (-2.8pts YoY) and 4Q22 CoR to 100.7% (-0.9pts YoY).

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PICC P&C (2328 HK) – Remained UW profitable in 2H22

China

PICC Property and Casualty Company Limited provides insurance services. The Company provides property loss insurances, liability insurances, credit insurances, accidental injury insurances, short term health insurances, guarantee insurances, and other insurance products. PICC Property and Casualty also operates investment businesses.

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PICC Property & Casualty H (2328 HK)

APAC Insurers Series (#3): Initial Theses At Different Stages of Being Played Out

Theses for the three insurers we highlighted are at different stages of being played out: PICC P&C's has most materialized while Pru's still has a...

Alec Tseung

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: $366m Outflows in June

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for June and highlight flows for PetroChina, China Mobile, Xpeng, Bilibili, Kuaishou, CCB, ICBC, BYD, HSBC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Ganfeng Lithium, Picc P&C, Jd, Bidu, Manulife

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 5th and highlight short interest changes in Ganfenglithium, Picc P&C,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

FXI Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Changes in June

There could be 3 changes for the FXI in June. Some stocks are close to the add/delete zone, so relative perf needs to be watch. Passive trackers...

Brian Freitas

PICC P&C (2328 HK) – Remained UW profitable in 2H22

PICC P&C delivered 579% YoY growth in underwriting (UW) profit in FY22, translating into RMB2.1bn UW gains in 2H22 vs RMB3.9bn UW losses in 2H21.

CMB International

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