External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Aggregate revenue/EBITDA to grow by 8/9%: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 8/9% YoY in revenue/EBITDA in Q4FY22 (vs 24/22% in Q4FY21 and 16/12% in Q3FY22)</li><li>Inflationary pressure continued to disrupt demand in both urban and rural India; however, rural volume growth was weaker than urban</li><li>Volume growth has been decelerating even on 2/3 year CAGR (demand pressure, grammage reduction); however, downtrading was not witnessed</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Aggregate revenue/EBITDA to grow by 8/9%: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 8/9% YoY in revenue/EBITDA in Q4FY22 (vs 24/22% in Q4FY21 and 16/12% in Q3FY22)Inflationary pressure continued to disrupt demand in both urban and rural India; however, rural volume growth was weaker than urbanVolume growth has been decelerating even on 2/3 year CAGR (demand pressure, grammage reduction); however, downtrading was not witnessedContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev: Rural Demand Struggles; Margin Pressures Continue

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Q4FY22 is expected to be a roller coaster quarter with COVID 3.0 impacting the first month of the quarter.</li><li>However, Feb’22 witnessed some recovery as fewer fatalities revived the confidence in improving health conditions and thereby diminished the risk parameters.</li><li>OUR TOP 10 “TRADING BUYs” Earnings Play: SBI, ICICI bank, Tata Steel, Nalco, Ashok Leyland, Eicher Motors, PSP Projects, ITC, Varun beverages, Tech Mahindra</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Q4FY22 is expected to be a roller coaster quarter with COVID 3.0 impacting the first month of the quarter.However, Feb’22 witnessed some recovery as fewer fatalities revived the confidence in improving health conditions and thereby diminished the risk parameters.OUR TOP 10 “TRADING BUYs” Earnings Play: SBI, ICICI bank, Tata Steel, Nalco, Ashok Leyland, Eicher Motors, PSP Projects, ITC, Varun beverages, Tech MahindraContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q4FY22 Result Preview: Management Commentaries on the Outlook Stand Critical

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited provides investment services. The Company provides corporate and investment banking, securities, wealth management, retail brokerage, initial public offerings, and advisory services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ITC is the biggest cigarettes &amp; second largest FMCG company in India</li><li>The company is also present in paperboard, printing &amp; packaging business with revenues of Rs 4549 crore, agri business with Rs 8001 crore</li><li>We value the stock at Rs 250 on SOTP basis valuing the cigarettes business at 12x FY24 earnings &amp; FMCG business at 5x FY24 sales.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

ITC is the biggest cigarettes &amp; second largest FMCG company in IndiaThe company is also present in paperboard, printing &amp; packaging business with revenues of Rs 4549 crore, agri business with Rs 8001 croreWe value the stock at Rs 250 on SOTP basis valuing the cigarettes business at 12x FY24 earnings &amp; FMCG business at 5x FY24 sales.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ITC Limited: Outlines Capital Allocation Path

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<p>The management of ITC held an analyst meeting, which featured a comprehensive overview of each of its businesses provided by respective business heads and the senior management team. While there was nothing new to change our view on the prospects of its business as highlighted in our detailed note on the company in Nov'21, this move on the part of the management is highly appreciated as it enabled a forum to discuss the progress and concerns in each segment.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

The management of ITC held an analyst meeting, which featured a comprehensive overview of each of its businesses provided by respective business heads and the senior management team. While there was nothing new to change our view on the prospects of its business as highlighted in our detailed note on the company in Nov'21, this move on the part of the management is highly appreciated as it enabled a forum to discuss the progress and concerns in each segment.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

A digitally integrated organization with synergy and sustainability at its core

<p>Tapering in-home consumption and sharp commodity cost inflation could affect strong EBIT growth in the Other FMCG segment, preventing the contribution of Cigarettes in overall EBIT to decline much (likely to reduce to ~80% in FY23E which is still within its ten-year range of 80-86%). Cigarette volumes for ITC and even other players globally have been on a declining trend, given the increased health consciousness among consumers over the last decade.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Tapering in-home consumption and sharp commodity cost inflation could affect strong EBIT growth in the Other FMCG segment, preventing the contribution of Cigarettes in overall EBIT to decline much (likely to reduce to ~80% in FY23E which is still within its ten-year range of 80-86%). Cigarette volumes for ITC and even other players globally have been on a declining trend, given the increased health consciousness among consumers over the last decade.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Muted Cigarette volumes; Other FMCG margin pressures weigh on ITC

India

ITC Limited, a member of BAT Group of UK, is a holding company, which has a diversified presence in Cigarettes, Hotels, Paperboards & Specialty Papers, Packaging, Agri Business, Packaged Foods & Confectionery, Branded Apparel, Greeting Cards and other FMCG products.

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ITC Ltd (ITC IN)

FMCG & Alco Bev: Rural Demand Struggles; Margin Pressures Continue

Aggregate revenue/EBITDA to grow by 8/9%: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 8/9% YoY in revenue/EBITDA in Q4FY22...

HDFC Securities

Q4FY22 Result Preview: Management Commentaries on the Outlook Stand Critical

OUR TOP 10 “TRADING BUYs” Earnings Play: SBI, ICICI bank, Tata Steel, Nalco, Ashok Leyland, Eicher Motors, PSP Projects, ITC, Varun beverages, Tech...

Axis Direct

ITC Limited: Outlines Capital Allocation Path

ITC is the biggest cigarettes & second largest FMCG company in India with ~78% market share in cigarettes & presence in staples, biscuits, noodles,...

ICICI Securities Limited

A digitally integrated organization with synergy and sustainability at its core

The management of ITC held an analyst meeting, which featured a comprehensive overview of each of its businesses provided by respective business...

Motilal Oswal

Muted Cigarette volumes; Other FMCG margin pressures weigh on ITC

Tapering in-home consumption and sharp commodity cost inflation could affect strong EBIT growth in the Other FMCG segment, preventing the...

Motilal Oswal

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