Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/british-american-tobacco-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21828:1" rel="noopener">British American Tobacco (BATS LN)</a> owns 29.03% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd (ITC IN)</a> and could sell a portion of its stake. But BAT will hold at least 25% of the company.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/british-american-tobacco-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21828:1" rel="noopener">British American Tobacco (BATS LN)</a> paring its stake could also lead to SUUTI gradually reducing its own holding in the company.</li>
<li>Any stake sales would not result in buying from global passive trackers while there will be small buying from local index trackers. Increased float could pressure the stock.</li>
</ul>



British American Tobacco (BATS LN) owns 29.03% of ITC Ltd (ITC IN) and could sell a portion of its stake. But BAT will hold at least 25% of the company.

British American Tobacco (BATS LN) paring its stake could also lead to SUUTI gradually reducing its own holding in the company.
Any stake sales would not result in buying from global passive trackers while there will be small buying from local index trackers. Increased float could pressure the stock.


ITC Ltd (ITC IN): Impact of BAT's Potential Stake Sale

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The company’s Q3FY24 results were below estimates on the operating front.</li><li>The revenue grew by 1% YoY to Rs 16,314 Cr owing to subdued performance in Cigarettes (flat volume growth) on account of high base and continued drag in Agri – down 2% yoY / paper board business – down 10%.</li><li>FMCG revenue grew ~8% YoY owing despite subdued demand conditions led by NPD. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The company’s Q3FY24 results were below estimates on the operating front.The revenue grew by 1% YoY to Rs 16,314 Cr owing to subdued performance in Cigarettes (flat volume growth) on account of high base and continued drag in Agri – down 2% yoY / paper board business – down 10%.FMCG revenue grew ~8% YoY owing despite subdued demand conditions led by NPD. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ITC Ltd - Short Term Hiccup; Maintain BUY

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zinka-logistics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43728:1" rel="noopener">Blackbuck (1355652D IN)</a>  raised about US$130m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Zinka Logistics (Blackbuck) is India’s largest digital platform for truck operators (in terms of number of users), with 963,345 truck operators transacting on its platform in FY24, as per Redseer.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Blackbuck (1355652D IN)  raised about US$130m in its India IPO.
Zinka Logistics (Blackbuck) is India’s largest digital platform for truck operators (in terms of number of users), with 963,345 truck operators transacting on its platform in FY24, as per Redseer.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Zinka Logistics IPO Trading - Subdued Demand; Lags Recent Listings

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> has broken its four-week decline and reversed direction. This raises the prospect for a bull run.</li>
<li>Continued decline or relief rally? Technical and fundamental arguments lend support to both directional views.</li>
<li>We identify options with attractive cost vs. upside profiles to implement tactical trades in this environment.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) has broken its four-week decline and reversed direction. This raises the prospect for a bull run.
Continued decline or relief rally? Technical and fundamental arguments lend support to both directional views.
We identify options with attractive cost vs. upside profiles to implement tactical trades in this environment.


EQD | Nifty 50 – Option Strategy for Bulls and Bears

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vodafone-idea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15678:1" rel="noopener">Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN)</a> plans to raise around US$2.2bn via a follow-on public offering.</li>
<li>The deal has been in the works for years and proceeds will be used for capex and short-term debt repayment.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN) plans to raise around US$2.2bn via a follow-on public offering.
The deal has been in the works for years and proceeds will be used for capex and short-term debt repayment.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.


Vodafone Idea Placement - Very Well Flagged but Its Not Going to Fix a Whole Lot of Issues

India

ITC Limited, a member of BAT Group of UK, is a holding company, which has a diversified presence in Cigarettes, Hotels, Paperboards & Specialty Papers, Packaging, Agri Business, Packaged Foods & Confectionery, Branded Apparel, Greeting Cards and other FMCG products.

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ITC Ltd (ITC IN)

ITC Ltd (ITC IN): Impact of BAT's Potential Stake Sale

Multiple media outlets reporting that British American Tobacco are looking at selling part of their stake in ITC as early as this week. The reports...

Brian Freitas

ITC Ltd - Short Term Hiccup; Maintain BUY

The revenue grew by 1% YoY to Rs 16,314 Cr owing to subdued performance in Cigarettes (flat volume growth) on account of high base and continued...

Axis Direct

Zinka Logistics IPO Trading - Subdued Demand; Lags Recent Listings

Zinka Logistics (Blackbuck) raised about US$130m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

EQD | Nifty 50 – Option Strategy for Bulls and Bears

The NIFTY 50 snaped its four-week decline. Options with attractive cost vs. upside profile make for tactical trades ahead of a recovery rally, or...

Gaudenz Schneider

Vodafone Idea Placement - Very Well Flagged but Its Not Going to Fix a Whole Lot of Issues

Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN) plans to raise around US$2.2bn via a follow-on public offering. In this note, we talk about the deal dyanmics.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ITC Ltd (ITC IN): Impact of BAT's Potential Stake Sale

Multiple media outlets reporting that British American Tobacco are looking at selling part of their stake in ITC as early as this week. The reports...

Brian Freitas

ITC Ltd - Short Term Hiccup; Maintain BUY

The revenue grew by 1% YoY to Rs 16,314 Cr owing to subdued performance in Cigarettes (flat volume growth) on account of high base and continued...

Axis Direct

Zinka Logistics IPO Trading - Subdued Demand; Lags Recent Listings

Zinka Logistics (Blackbuck) raised about US$130m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

EQD | Nifty 50 – Option Strategy for Bulls and Bears

​The NIFTY 50 snaped its four-week decline. Options with attractive cost vs. upside profile make for tactical trades ahead of a recovery rally, or...

Gaudenz Schneider

Vodafone Idea Placement - Very Well Flagged but Its Not Going to Fix a Whole Lot of Issues

Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN) plans to raise around US$2.2bn via a follow-on public offering. In this note, we talk about the deal dyanmics.

Sumeet Singh

The NIFTY 50 snaped its four-week decline. Options with attractive cost vs. upside profile make for tactical trades ahead of a recovery rally, or...