HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>23Q3 results has sounded an alarm for investors. Obviously, the deterioration of financing situations both domestically and internationally has forced WuXi AppTec to readjust projected revenue growth.</li>
<li>Almost all of the important logic at the moment is negative for CXOs.Revenue growth in TIDES business alone is hard to offset the decline in WuXi AppTec’s other businesses/industry trend.</li>
<li>After a pullback, investors can bet on the next rebound, but we still recommend taking profits in time, because without persuasive fundamentals, rebound driven by sentiment is difficult to sustain.</li>
</ul>


23Q3 results has sounded an alarm for investors. Obviously, the deterioration of financing situations both domestically and internationally has forced WuXi AppTec to readjust projected revenue growth.
Almost all of the important logic at the moment is negative for CXOs.Revenue growth in TIDES business alone is hard to offset the decline in WuXi AppTec’s other businesses/industry trend.
After a pullback, investors can bet on the next rebound, but we still recommend taking profits in time, because without persuasive fundamentals, rebound driven by sentiment is difficult to sustain.


WuXi AppTec (2359.HK/603259.CH) 23Q3 - Will the TIDES Business Turn the Tide?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>WuXi AppTec reported 3Q23 revenue of RMB10,670mn, up 0.3% YoY, and attributable recurring net income of RMB2,948mn, up 23.8% YoY, with attributable adjusted non-IFRS net income of RMB3,072mn, up 24.3% YoY.</li><li>3Q23 revenue accounted for 25.6% of our 2023 full-year estimate, in line with its historical average, while attributable adjusted non-IFRS net income represented 29.1% of our forecast, higher than its historical average of c.26%.</li><li>In 9M23, non-IFRS gross profit margin (GPM) improved by 3.6ppt to 42.3% while non-IFRS net profit margin increased by 3.7ppt to 27.6%, driven by favourable currency exchange rates and continuously improved operating efficiency. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

WuXi AppTec reported 3Q23 revenue of RMB10,670mn, up 0.3% YoY, and attributable recurring net income of RMB2,948mn, up 23.8% YoY, with attributable adjusted non-IFRS net income of RMB3,072mn, up 24.3% YoY.3Q23 revenue accounted for 25.6% of our 2023 full-year estimate, in line with its historical average, while attributable adjusted non-IFRS net income represented 29.1% of our forecast, higher than its historical average of c.26%.In 9M23, non-IFRS gross profit margin (GPM) improved by 3.6ppt to 42.3% while non-IFRS net profit margin increased by 3.7ppt to 27.6%, driven by favourable currency exchange rates and continuously improved operating efficiency. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

WuXi AppTec (603259 CH) – Peptide Business Becoming a New Growth Driver

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

WuXi XDC Cayman  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-xdc-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39917:1" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC Cayman Inc (1877628D HK)</a>, a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wuxi-xdc-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116331" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on margins on a downward trend, large customer concentration, high related party transactions and volatile FCF generation.</li>
</ul>



WuXi XDC Cayman Inc (1877628D HK), a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.
In WuXi XDC IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on margins on a downward trend, large customer concentration, high related party transactions and volatile FCF generation.


<ul>
<li>We've seen increasing global cooperation for ADC pipelines. However, licensing deals alone cannot be used as the only basis for judgment. We still need to wait for solid clinical evidence.</li>
<li>ADCs are far less "general and popularized" than PD-1. If compare ADC with GLP-1s, the difference is more obvious.How big the real market is for ADC is a question mark.</li>
<li>WuXi XDC’s share price could perform well after IPO due to positive sentiments towards ADC, but whether its long-term valuation would be higher than peers remains to be seen.  </li>
</ul>


We've seen increasing global cooperation for ADC pipelines. However, licensing deals alone cannot be used as the only basis for judgment. We still need to wait for solid clinical evidence.
ADCs are far less "general and popularized" than PD-1. If compare ADC with GLP-1s, the difference is more obvious.How big the real market is for ADC is a question mark.
WuXi XDC’s share price could perform well after IPO due to positive sentiments towards ADC, but whether its long-term valuation would be higher than peers remains to be seen.  


Pre-IPO WuXi XDC (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-xdc-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39917:1" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC Cayman Inc (1877628D HK)</a>, a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.   </li>
<li>WuXi XDC ranked No. 2 globally and No. 1 in China among CRDMO for antibody-drug conjugates and other bioconjugates in terms of revenue in 2022, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</li>
<li>The bull case rests on large addressable markets, market share gains, fast-paced revenue growth, strong revenue visibility, a solid balance sheet and ambitious capacity expansion plans.</li>
</ul>



WuXi XDC Cayman Inc (1877628D HK), a leading contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$500 million, according to press reports.   
WuXi XDC ranked No. 2 globally and No. 1 in China among CRDMO for antibody-drug conjugates and other bioconjugates in terms of revenue in 2022, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.
The bull case rests on large addressable markets, market share gains, fast-paced revenue growth, strong revenue visibility, a solid balance sheet and ambitious capacity expansion plans.


China

WuXi AppTec Co., Ltd. manufactures medical products. The Company produces biological agents, antibodies, biological diagnostic reagents, and other products. WuXi AppTec also provides biological analysis, technical study, and other services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)