HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>24Q4 is under pressure to meet performance targets, and may even miss the guidance. It’s already good if net profit can reach about RMB9.6 billion in 2024 full year.</li>
<li>US clients use WuXi AppTec’s shorter-term services with lower prices to save on cash. These contracts may not be converted into later commercial-stage projects as expected due to geopolitical risks.</li>
<li>2024 is obviously a low point for performance, but it is uncertain whether the expected recovery will occur in 2025 and beyond. The BIOSECURE Act makes future performance growth unclear.</li>
</ul>


24Q4 is under pressure to meet performance targets, and may even miss the guidance. It’s already good if net profit can reach about RMB9.6 billion in 2024 full year.
US clients use WuXi AppTec’s shorter-term services with lower prices to save on cash. These contracts may not be converted into later commercial-stage projects as expected due to geopolitical risks.
2024 is obviously a low point for performance, but it is uncertain whether the expected recovery will occur in 2025 and beyond. The BIOSECURE Act makes future performance growth unclear.


WuXi AppTec (2359.HK/603259.CH) 24Q3 - Performance Pressure Has Not Been Relieved

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>WuXi AppTec reported 3Q24 revenue of RMB10.46bn, slightly down 2.0% YoY, and attributable adjusted non-IFRS net profit of RMB2.97bn, down 3.2% YoY.</li><li>Total non-COVID revenue and non-COVID Chemistry revenue growth rebounded to 14.6% YoY and 26.4% YoY, respectively, in 3Q24.</li><li>Despite the challenging geopolitical environment, mgmt. reiterated its revenue guidance of RMB38.3- 40.5bn for 2024, indicating 2.7%~8.6% YoY non-COVID revenue growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

WuXi AppTec reported 3Q24 revenue of RMB10.46bn, slightly down 2.0% YoY, and attributable adjusted non-IFRS net profit of RMB2.97bn, down 3.2% YoY.Total non-COVID revenue and non-COVID Chemistry revenue growth rebounded to 14.6% YoY and 26.4% YoY, respectively, in 3Q24.Despite the challenging geopolitical environment, mgmt. reiterated its revenue guidance of RMB38.3- 40.5bn for 2024, indicating 2.7%~8.6% YoY non-COVID revenue growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

WuXi AppTec (603259 CH) - Earnings Recovery Underway

<ul><li>WuXi AppTec reported 1H24 revenue of RMB17.24bn, down 8.6% YoY, attributable recurring net profit of RMB4.41bn, down 8.3% YoY, and attributable adjusted non-IFRS net profit of RMB4.37bn, down 14.2% YoY.</li><li>1H24 revenue / attributable adjusted non-IFRS net income accounted for 45.3%/ 46.0% of our 2024 full-year estimates and 43.8%/ 44.7% of Bloomberg consensus, both of which were largely in line with its historical range.</li><li>The non-COVID D&amp;M revenue (within the Chemistry segment) experienced a slight decline of 2.7% YoY in 1H24, following a relatively high base in 1H23. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

WuXi AppTec reported 1H24 revenue of RMB17.24bn, down 8.6% YoY, attributable recurring net profit of RMB4.41bn, down 8.3% YoY, and attributable adjusted non-IFRS net profit of RMB4.37bn, down 14.2% YoY.1H24 revenue / attributable adjusted non-IFRS net income accounted for 45.3%/ 46.0% of our 2024 full-year estimates and 43.8%/ 44.7% of Bloomberg consensus, both of which were largely in line with its historical range.The non-COVID D&amp;M revenue (within the Chemistry segment) experienced a slight decline of 2.7% YoY in 1H24, following a relatively high base in 1H23. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

WuXi AppTec (603259 CH) - Impressive Order Growth Despite Geopolitical Uncertainties

<ul>
<li>The message WuXi AppTec hopes to convey in 24H1 report is that the Company isn’t losing orders/customers due to BIOSECURE Act and from 2025 it will return to high growth. </li>
<li>TIDES business growth is below expectations. Whether WuXi AppTec's performance can be reversed is no longer solely depends on fundamentals/industry cycles, but on whether geopolitical risks can be fully resolved.</li>
<li>Regardless of the outcome of 2024 presidential election, securing US supply chain is a already bipartisan consensus. If any Bill does pass in the future, valuation will plummet again.</li>
</ul>


The message WuXi AppTec hopes to convey in 24H1 report is that the Company isn’t losing orders/customers due to BIOSECURE Act and from 2025 it will return to high growth. 
TIDES business growth is below expectations. Whether WuXi AppTec's performance can be reversed is no longer solely depends on fundamentals/industry cycles, but on whether geopolitical risks can be fully resolved.
Regardless of the outcome of 2024 presidential election, securing US supply chain is a already bipartisan consensus. If any Bill does pass in the future, valuation will plummet again.


WuXi AppTec (2359.HK/603259.CH) 24H1- Backlog Looks Good but It May Not Bring a Performance Reversal

<ul>
<li>Recent business updates of WuXi Bio led to a decline in WuXi AppTec's share price and changed investors' expectations for CXO. Now is the time to adjust forecasts.</li>
<li>We analyzed the growth rate of various business of WuXi AppTec in 2024. In a neutral scenario, growth next year could fall short of management's guidance.Reversal in 2025 is uncertain.</li>
<li>If WuXi AppTec "unexpectedly" receives blockbuster orders, which are large enough to hedge against the downward trend of WuXi AppTec’s other businesses, then it will help to change performance expectations.</li>
</ul>


Recent business updates of WuXi Bio led to a decline in WuXi AppTec's share price and changed investors' expectations for CXO. Now is the time to adjust forecasts.
We analyzed the growth rate of various business of WuXi AppTec in 2024. In a neutral scenario, growth next year could fall short of management's guidance.Reversal in 2025 is uncertain.
If WuXi AppTec "unexpectedly" receives blockbuster orders, which are large enough to hedge against the downward trend of WuXi AppTec’s other businesses, then it will help to change performance expectations.


WuXi AppTec (2359.HK/603259.CH) - How Bad Things Could Be?

China

WuXi AppTec Co., Ltd. manufactures medical products. The Company produces biological agents, antibodies, biological diagnostic reagents, and other products. WuXi AppTec also provides biological analysis, technical study, and other services.

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WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)