Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite a negative share price reaction following its 1Q2025 earnings report, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> seems to have entered an earnings upgrade cycle due to improved profitability expectations.</li>
<li>Despite recent share price pressure, due to negative industry readthroughs from peers, Alibaba Group’s near-term momentum indicators are displaying bullish signals.</li>
<li>Alibaba Group trades at more than one standard deviation below its 5-year historic average forward PE ratio, and near the lowest level it has ever been.</li>
</ul>


Despite a negative share price reaction following its 1Q2025 earnings report, Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) seems to have entered an earnings upgrade cycle due to improved profitability expectations.
Despite recent share price pressure, due to negative industry readthroughs from peers, Alibaba Group’s near-term momentum indicators are displaying bullish signals.
Alibaba Group trades at more than one standard deviation below its 5-year historic average forward PE ratio, and near the lowest level it has ever been.


Alibaba Group (9988-HK): Positive Technical Analysis Signals

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>JD US/1810 HK/BABA US: Government insider says home appliance subsidies to be fully disbursed by end of August (+)</li>
<li>JD US/2618 HK/PDD US/BABA US: JD adjusts its algorithm to improve traffic of low price and fast shipping products (+/+/-/-)</li>
<li>BABA US: Alibaba launches demo of LLM support for mathematical reasoning based on sketches (+)</li>
</ul>


JD US/1810 HK/BABA US: Government insider says home appliance subsidies to be fully disbursed by end of August (+)
JD US/2618 HK/PDD US/BABA US: JD adjusts its algorithm to improve traffic of low price and fast shipping products (+/+/-/-)
BABA US: Alibaba launches demo of LLM support for mathematical reasoning based on sketches (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/1810 HK/BABA US/2618 HK/PDD US/700 HK/NTES US/3690 HK/TCOM US

<ul>
<li>700 HK/BABA US:Taobao Deals App Now Supports WeChat Pay for All Users. (+)</li>
<li>700 HK: &lt;Arena Breakout: Infinite&gt; Developing AI Technology: Voice-Command Teammates (+)</li>
<li>NTES US: &lt;Where Winds Meet&gt; Final Pre-Launch Test Scheduled for August 28th (+)</li>
</ul>


700 HK/BABA US:Taobao Deals App Now Supports WeChat Pay for All Users. (+)
700 HK: &lt;Arena Breakout: Infinite&gt; Developing AI Technology: Voice-Command Teammates (+)
NTES US: &lt;Where Winds Meet&gt; Final Pre-Launch Test Scheduled for August 28th (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/BABA US/NTES US/JD US/2618 HK/WMT US/BABAUS/AMZNUS/PDDUS/3690HK

<ul>
<li>700 HK: &lt;Black Myth: WuKong&gt; Tops Steam’s Most Played Games Now with Over 1.2 million Concurrent Players (+)</li>
<li>700 HK: Tencent’s &lt;Rock Kingdom: World&gt; Begins Beta Testing Today: iOS Only, Android/PC Versions Not Yet Available (+)</li>
<li>700 HK: &lt;Honor of Kings&gt; Matchmaking Algorithm to Be Overhauled (+)</li>
</ul>


700 HK: &lt;Black Myth: WuKong&gt; Tops Steam’s Most Played Games Now with Over 1.2 million Concurrent Players (+)
700 HK: Tencent’s &lt;Rock Kingdom: World&gt; Begins Beta Testing Today: iOS Only, Android/PC Versions Not Yet Available (+)
700 HK: &lt;Honor of Kings&gt; Matchmaking Algorithm to Be Overhauled (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/LCKNY US/NTES US/BABA US/PDD US/AMZN US/SHEIN/3690 HK

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>AntFin is looking to raise around US$400m by selling around 2% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a>.</li>
<li>Ant Group had earlier sold some of its stake in Nov 2023 and Mar 2024, with the deals producing a mixed bag result.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


AntFin is looking to raise around US$400m by selling around 2% of Zomato (ZOMATO IN).
Ant Group had earlier sold some of its stake in Nov 2023 and Mar 2024, with the deals producing a mixed bag result.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Zomato Placement - Momentum Is Very Strong, past Ant Related Deals Have Been Mixed

China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

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PDD Holdings (PDD US)

Alibaba Group (9988-HK): Positive Technical Analysis Signals

In this insight, we perform a technical analysis of Alibaba Group by looking at earnings forecast revision trends, momentum indicators, and current...

Wium Malan, CFA

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/1810 HK/BABA US/2618 HK/PDD US/700 HK/NTES US/3690 HK/TCOM US

Government insider says home appliance subsidies to be fully disbursed by end of August, JD adjusts algorithm for low price products, Alibaba...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/BABA US/NTES US/JD US/2618 HK/WMT US/BABAUS/AMZNUS/PDDUS/3690HK

Taobao Deals app now accepts WeChat Pay, AI technology in development for <arena infinite breakout:="">, final pre-launch test for <where winds...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/LCKNY US/NTES US/BABA US/PDD US/AMZN US/SHEIN/3690 HK

Popular games like <black wukong myth:=""> and <honor of kings> are making waves on Steam and in beta testing, while changes are coming to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Alibaba Group (9988-HK): Positive Technical Analysis Signals

In this insight, we perform a technical analysis of Alibaba Group by looking at earnings forecast revision trends, momentum indicators, and current...

Wium Malan, CFA

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/1810 HK/BABA US/2618 HK/PDD US/700 HK/NTES US/3690 HK/TCOM US

​Government insider says home appliance subsidies to be fully disbursed by end of August, JD adjusts algorithm for low price products, Alibaba...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/BABA US/NTES US/JD US/2618 HK/WMT US/BABAUS/AMZNUS/PDDUS/3690HK

​Taobao Deals app now accepts WeChat Pay, AI technology in development for <arena infinite breakout:="">, final pre-launch test for <where winds...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/LCKNY US/NTES US/BABA US/PDD US/AMZN US/SHEIN/3690 HK

​Popular games like <black wukong myth:=""> and <honor of kings> are making waves on Steam and in beta testing, while changes are coming to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Zomato Placement - Momentum Is Very Strong, past Ant Related Deals Have Been Mixed

AntFin is looking to raise around US$400m by selling around 2% of Zomato (ZOMATO IN). Past selldown's by AntFin have produced mixed results.

Sumeet Singh

Government insider says home appliance subsidies to be fully disbursed by end of August, JD adjusts algorithm for low price products, Alibaba...

Taobao Deals app now accepts WeChat Pay, AI technology in development for <arena infinite breakout:="">, final pre-launch test for <where winds...

Popular games like <black wukong myth:=""> and <honor of kings> are making waves on Steam and in beta testing, while changes are coming to...