Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

We have for some time been saying that Huya’s financial metrics looked noticeably superior to those of Douyu and that there were signs that Douyu had been window-dressing results to obtain better acquisition terms in the long-rumoured merger. We believe these latest quarterly results lend significant credence to our beliefs and that Huya is emerging as the clearly superior company.

We have for some time been saying that Huya’s financial metrics looked noticeably superior to those of Douyu and that there were signs that Douyu had been window-dressing results to obtain better acquisition terms in the long-rumoured merger. We believe these latest quarterly results lend significant credence to our beliefs and that Huya is emerging as the clearly superior company.

Huya – Deal With Douyu Needs Renegotiated Terms

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Equity Capital Markets

The Chinese mobile games and video platform <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26793:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili Inc (BILI US)</a>  has set the terms for its secondary listing in Hong Kong Exchange. Bilibili plans to offer 25m shares at a maximum offer price of HK$988 per share and will raise net proceeds of HK$24.3bn (approx. US$3.13bn) at the above pricing.Bilibili’s shares closed at US$108.87 per ADS at the end of trading on Friday (19th March), and each ADS represents one ordinary share of the company. The maximum HK offer price of HK$988 per share implies approx. US$127.2 per ADS, a 17% premium to Bilibili’s last close price of US$108.87 per ADS.The company plans to use approx. 50% of the net IPO proceeds on enhancing and broadening its content offerings to expand its user base. Bilibili plans to use 20% of net proceeds on enhancing its R&amp;D capabilities to improve user experience and another 20% on sales and marketing expenses.In our previous insight on the company’s secondary listing, we discussed Bilibili’s valuation against its peers.

The Chinese mobile games and video platform Bilibili Inc (BILI US)  has set the terms for its secondary listing in Hong Kong Exchange. Bilibili plans to offer 25m shares at a maximum offer price of HK$988 per share and will raise net proceeds of HK$24.3bn (approx. US$3.13bn) at the above pricing.Bilibili’s shares closed at US$108.87 per ADS at the end of trading on Friday (19th March), and each ADS represents one ordinary share of the company. The maximum HK offer price of HK$988 per share implies approx. US$127.2 per ADS, a 17% premium to Bilibili’s last close price of US$108.87 per ADS.The company plans to use approx. 50% of the net IPO proceeds on enhancing and broadening its content offerings to expand its user base. Bilibili plans to use 20% of net proceeds on enhancing its R&amp;D capabilities to improve user experience and another 20% on sales and marketing expenses.In our previous insight on the company’s secondary listing, we discussed Bilibili’s valuation against its peers.

Bilibili: Secondary Listing in HK Offers a Good Alternative to Kuaishou

As anticipated, the Chinese mobile games and video platform <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26793:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili Inc (BILI US)</a>  has received the approval for a secondary listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. According to Bloomberg, Bilibili could raise about US$3bn through its secondary listing.We discussed Bilibili’s business model, its segments, financials and also compared the company’s business model and financials with its closest competitor Huya. This insight will focus on Bilibili’s current valuation.Read our previous insights:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/bilibili-4q-earnings-value-added-services-surpass-mobile-games-e-commerce-gains-momentum" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:48569" rel="noopener">Bilibili 4Q Earnings: Value-Added Services Surpass Mobile Games; E-Commerce Gains Momentum</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/bilibili-vs-huya-strong-top-line-growth-outspending-huya-on-marketing-reason-for-absence-of-profits" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:47309" rel="noopener">Bilibili Vs Huya:Strong Top Line Growth; Outspending Huya on Marketing-Reason for Absence of Profits</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/bilibili-secondary-listing-diversifying-revenue-mix-should-make-profits-possible-in-the-medium-term" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:47049" rel="noopener">Bilibili Secondary Listing: Diversifying Revenue Mix Should Make Profits Possible in the Medium Term</a>

As anticipated, the Chinese mobile games and video platform Bilibili Inc (BILI US)  has received the approval for a secondary listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. According to Bloomberg, Bilibili could raise about US$3bn through its secondary listing.We discussed Bilibili’s business model, its segments, financials and also compared the company’s business model and financials with its closest competitor Huya. This insight will focus on Bilibili’s current valuation.Read our previous insights:Bilibili 4Q Earnings: Value-Added Services Surpass Mobile Games; E-Commerce Gains Momentum Bilibili Vs Huya:Strong Top Line Growth; Outspending Huya on Marketing-Reason for Absence of Profits Bilibili Secondary Listing: Diversifying Revenue Mix Should Make Profits Possible in the Medium Term 

Bilibili: Diversified Revenue Streams and Impressive Top Line Growth Justify Current Multiples

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Zhihu Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<div>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhihu-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32185:1" rel="noopener">Zhihu Technology (ZH US)</a> is the largest Q&amp;A-inspired online community and one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, both in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020, according to CIC. Zhihu is acknowledged as the first choice among all online content communities in China where people look for information to make decisions or find answers, according to CIC. Zhihu is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:179:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (BIDU US)</a>.
<div class="content-highlight">Zhihu is pre-marketing an NYSE IPO to raise proceeds of $1 billion, according to press reports. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zhihu-ipo-initiation-question-time" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:48928" rel="noopener">Zhihu IPO Initiation: Question Time</a>, we opined that as the largest Q&amp;A-inspired online community, Zhihu is well-positioned to benefit from favourable industry trends. We concluded that Zhihu’s fundamentals are attractive. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Zhihu's potential valuation. </div>
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Zhihu Technology (ZH US) is the largest Q&amp;A-inspired online community and one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, both in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020, according to CIC. Zhihu is acknowledged as the first choice among all online content communities in China where people look for information to make decisions or find answers, according to CIC. Zhihu is backed by Tencent Holdings (700 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) and Baidu (BIDU US).
Zhihu is pre-marketing an NYSE IPO to raise proceeds of $1 billion, according to press reports. In Zhihu IPO Initiation: Question Time, we opined that as the largest Q&amp;A-inspired online community, Zhihu is well-positioned to benefit from favourable industry trends. We concluded that Zhihu’s fundamentals are attractive. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Zhihu's potential valuation. 


Thematic (Sector/Industry)

eSports offer intriguing investment possibilities to investors given very large projected TAMs, high growth rates and links to a variety of other fast growing industries including games, streaming, animation, tech hardware and social media. This makes eSports important to understand and below we examine key themes that investors should be aware of, before delving into a full primer on the space, companies with exposure to eSports, Asian eSports franchises and key eSports games to be aware of.

eSports offer intriguing investment possibilities to investors given very large projected TAMs, high growth rates and links to a variety of other fast growing industries including games, streaming, animation, tech hardware and social media. This makes eSports important to understand and below we examine key themes that investors should be aware of, before delving into a full primer on the space, companies with exposure to eSports, Asian eSports franchises and key eSports games to be aware of.

United States

HUYA Inc. operates as a game live streaming platform. The Company offers interactive video broadcast services including e-sports, music, reality show, entertainment genres, talent shows, and anime and outdoor activities. HUYA serves customers in China.

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HUYA (HUYA US)

Huya – Deal With Douyu Needs Renegotiated Terms

We believe that recent quarterly results lend credence to our suspicions that Douyu had been window-dressing results prior to merger terms being set.

Mio Kato

Bilibili: Secondary Listing in HK Offers a Good Alternative to Kuaishou

Bilibili’s HK listing offers an alternative to Kuaishou which is currently trading at exorbitant multiples. Both companies have strong desire to...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Bilibili: Diversified Revenue Streams and Impressive Top Line Growth Justify Current Multiples

we believe Bilibili should be considered as a comprehensive internet stock rather than a streaming platform given its growing exposure into other...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Zhihu IPO: Valuation First Look

Zhihu is pre-marketing an NYSE IPO to raise proceeds of $1 billion, according to press reports. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the...

Arun George

ESports – Entering the Third Innings

In this Smartkarma Original we examine the state of eSports in Asia, examining differences with traditional sports and the games, teams and...

Mio Kato

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