IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

LG Energy Solution / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (LGENERGY KS)</a> is a leading EV battery manufacturer. It is pre-marketing an IPO to raise up to $10.8 billion, which would be South Korea’s largest-ever listing.  </li>
<li>LGES is offering 42.5 million shares with a primary/secondary split of 80/20. Pre-marketing will run until 17 December.  </li>
<li>LGES has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy revenue growth and improving margins (recall provisions have peaked). </li>
</ul>



LG Energy Solution (LGENERGY KS) is a leading EV battery manufacturer. It is pre-marketing an IPO to raise up to $10.8 billion, which would be South Korea’s largest-ever listing.  
LGES is offering 42.5 million shares with a primary/secondary split of 80/20. Pre-marketing will run until 17 December.  
LGES has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy revenue growth and improving margins (recall provisions have peaked). 


LG Energy Solution IPO Initiation: Amp My Ride

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide industry analysis, competitive advantages, and key risk factors of the LG Energy Solution IPO. </li>
<li>LG Energy Solution's key competitive advantages include high economies of scale as one of the world's largest production capacity and differentiated technological innovation in terms of manufacturing process and materials. </li>
<li>Key risk factors include intense competition from existing and new players, reputational damage from the GM Bolt battery recall, and long-term technological fight from the hydrogen fuel cell batteries.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide industry analysis, competitive advantages, and key risk factors of the LG Energy Solution IPO. 
LG Energy Solution's key competitive advantages include high economies of scale as one of the world's largest production capacity and differentiated technological innovation in terms of manufacturing process and materials. 
Key risk factors include intense competition from existing and new players, reputational damage from the GM Bolt battery recall, and long-term technological fight from the hydrogen fuel cell batteries.


LG Energy Solution IPO: Industry Analysis, Competitive Advantages, & Key Risk Factors

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>From a valuation point of view, the biggest issue is the size of the recall provisions.</li>
<li>There is a risk that the float-adjusted market cap threshold may not be met if there is too much voluntary lockup.</li>
<li>Many institutional investors will preemptively sell the existing constituents of the battery sector indexes and then repurchase them when the LG ES joins the indexes.</li>
</ul>


From a valuation point of view, the biggest issue is the size of the recall provisions.
There is a risk that the float-adjusted market cap threshold may not be met if there is too much voluntary lockup.
Many institutional investors will preemptively sell the existing constituents of the battery sector indexes and then repurchase them when the LG ES joins the indexes.


LG Energy Solution IPO: Offering Details & Issues for Consideration

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 28 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 10 December.</li>
<li>The inclusion of ChiNext stocks with 1 year of listing history (down from 3 years) and the inclusion of other large stocks results in a one-way turnover greater than 10%.</li>
<li>There are 10 trading days to implementation and we expect the inclusions to outperform the market. A long inclusion basket can be hedged with CSI300 index futures.</li>
</ul>


There are 28 changes for the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 10 December.
The inclusion of ChiNext stocks with 1 year of listing history (down from 3 years) and the inclusion of other large stocks results in a one-way turnover greater than 10%.
There are 10 trading days to implementation and we expect the inclusions to outperform the market. A long inclusion basket can be hedged with CSI300 index futures.


CSI300 Index Rebalance: Methodology Tweak Results in More Changes & Larger Turnover

<div><p>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that are actively traded as well.</p></div><div>
<p>China Securities Index Co (CSI) will most likely announce the changes for the December rebalance after market close on 26 November and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.</p>
<p>The review period ended on 29 October and we see 26 potential changes at the December rebalance. Of these, 23 are high probability changes with another 3 likely to take place.</p>
<p>Since our last Insight a month ago, the potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletion by 13% with the inclusions rising on average and the deletions dropping on average. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> was flat over the period. We recommend trimming positions and waiting for an opportunity to re-enter the trade at lower levels in the next couple of weeks.</p>
</div>

The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that are actively traded as well.
China Securities Index Co (CSI) will most likely announce the changes for the December rebalance after market close on 26 November and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.
The review period ended on 29 October and we see 26 potential changes at the December rebalance. Of these, 23 are high probability changes with another 3 likely to take place.
Since our last Insight a month ago, the potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletion by 13% with the inclusions rising on average and the deletions dropping on average. The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) was flat over the period. We recommend trimming positions and waiting for an opportunity to re-enter the trade at lower levels in the next couple of weeks.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2021): It Was A Good Entry Point

China

Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited. operates as a battery products manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells power battery materials, energy storage batteries energy storage battery cells, systems, and other products. Contemporary Amperex Technology also provides batteries recycling services.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

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Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

LG Energy Solution IPO Initiation: Amp My Ride

LGES is pre-marketing an IPO to raise up to $10.8 bn, potentially Korea’s largest-ever listing. It has attractive fundamentals with a strong...

Arun George

LG Energy Solution IPO: Industry Analysis, Competitive Advantages, & Key Risk Factors

In this insight, we provide industry analysis, competitive advantages, and key risk factors of the LG Energy Solution IPO.

Douglas Kim

LG Energy Solution IPO: Offering Details & Issues for Consideration

LG Energy Solutions' IPO prospectus is finally out. This post presents the offering details as well as the pricing and valuations. It then...

Sanghyun Park

CSI300 Index Rebalance: Methodology Tweak Results in More Changes & Larger Turnover

There are 28 changes to the CSI300 index at the Dec rebalance. A few large inclusions plus the expansion of the index universe pushes one-way...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2021): It Was A Good Entry Point

We forecast 26 changes to the CSI300 Index at the December rebalance. The inclusions outperformed the deletions by 13% in October. Trim positions...

Brian Freitas

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