Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>China allocations fall to a 2-year low, driven by widespread closures in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (BABA US)</a> New Oriental Education (EDU US), China Mobile (941 HK) and CNOOC Ltd.</li>
<li>Active GEM Managers head in to 2022 with Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services the key China sector exposures, though Industrial stocks stand out the main overweight.</li>
<li>On a stock level, the most widely held company is Tencent, held by 81% of the managers in our analysis and taking the crown from Alibaba Group in 2021. </li>
</ul>


China allocations fall to a 2-year low, driven by widespread closures in Alibaba Group (BABA US) New Oriental Education (EDU US), China Mobile (941 HK) and CNOOC Ltd.
Active GEM Managers head in to 2022 with Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services the key China sector exposures, though Industrial stocks stand out the main overweight.
On a stock level, the most widely held company is Tencent, held by 81% of the managers in our analysis and taking the crown from Alibaba Group in 2021. 


China:  EM Active Fund Positioning Update.  BABA Drives Allocations Lower

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

LG Energy Solution / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> (LGES) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO, after pricing at the top-end of  the IPO price range .</li>
<li>LGES is the EV battery unit of LG Chem and it was spun off in December last year. The company is a major supplier to customers including Tesla and GM.</li>
<li>LGES will be included into MSCI and KOSPI. But MSCI’s fast entry could likely be scheduled with February’s quarterly review which will be effective only on 1st of March.</li>
</ul>



LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) (LGES) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO, after pricing at the top-end of  the IPO price range .
LGES is the EV battery unit of LG Chem and it was spun off in December last year. The company is a major supplier to customers including Tesla and GM.
LGES will be included into MSCI and KOSPI. But MSCI’s fast entry could likely be scheduled with February’s quarterly review which will be effective only on 1st of March.


LG Energy IPO Trading - Allocations, Index, and Updates

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

Jinchuan Group International Resources / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Shares have declined ~9% since copper/cobalt miner <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinchuan-group-international-resources-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17800:1" rel="noopener">Jinchuan Group International Resources (2362 HK)</a></strong> said it was <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/1223/2021122300003.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">unaware</a> Jinchuan Group, its largest shareholder, was proposing a privatisation plan.</li>
<li>As the world moves towards alternative energy sources, copper will remain in high demand. Jinchuan is also China's third-largest cobalt refiner, whose output is used in lithium-ion batteries.</li>
<li>Jinchuan is not expensive. And taking the company private is not a significant outlay for Jinchuan Group. Especially ahead of the copper/cobalt Musonoi project coming online next year.</li>
</ul>


Shares have declined ~9% since copper/cobalt miner Jinchuan Group International Resources (2362 HK) said it was unaware Jinchuan Group, its largest shareholder, was proposing a privatisation plan.
As the world moves towards alternative energy sources, copper will remain in high demand. Jinchuan is also China's third-largest cobalt refiner, whose output is used in lithium-ion batteries.
Jinchuan is not expensive. And taking the company private is not a significant outlay for Jinchuan Group. Especially ahead of the copper/cobalt Musonoi project coming online next year.


Jinchuan International (2362 HK): Thoughts On A Rumoured Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (LGENERGY KS)</a> (LGES) is looking to raise up to US$10.8bn in its upcoming South Korea IPO.</li>
<li>LGES is the EV battery unit of LG Chem. It was spun off in December last year. The company is a major supplier to customers including Tesla and General Motors.</li>
<li>In this note, we discuss our blue sky and bear assumptions and take a look at how peers have traded since our previous note.</li>
</ul>



LG Energy Solution (LGENERGY KS) (LGES) is looking to raise up to US$10.8bn in its upcoming South Korea IPO.
LGES is the EV battery unit of LG Chem. It was spun off in December last year. The company is a major supplier to customers including Tesla and General Motors.
In this note, we discuss our blue sky and bear assumptions and take a look at how peers have traded since our previous note.


LG Energy IPO -  Peer Updates + Bull/Bear Scenarios

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (LGENERGY KS)</a> has launched its IPO to raise US$9.2-10.8 billion at the price range of KRW257,000-300,000 per share.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lg-energy-solution-ipo-initiation-amp-my-ride" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:62402" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution IPO Initiation: Amp My Ride</a>, we stated that LGES has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy revenue growth and improving margins.</li>
<li>Our base-case DCF value is KRW321,594 per share, 15% above the mid-point of the IPO price range. Our DCF sensitivity analysis shows that the IPO price remains attractive. </li>
</ul>



LG Energy Solution (LGENERGY KS) has launched its IPO to raise US$9.2-10.8 billion at the price range of KRW257,000-300,000 per share.
In LG Energy Solution IPO Initiation: Amp My Ride, we stated that LGES has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy revenue growth and improving margins.
Our base-case DCF value is KRW321,594 per share, 15% above the mid-point of the IPO price range. Our DCF sensitivity analysis shows that the IPO price remains attractive. 


LG Energy Solution IPO: DCF Scenario Analysis

China

Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited. operates as a battery products manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells power battery materials, energy storage batteries energy storage battery cells, systems, and other products. Contemporary Amperex Technology also provides batteries recycling services.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

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Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

China: EM Active Fund Positioning Update. BABA Drives Allocations Lower

China allocations fall to 2-year low, driven by widespread closures in Alibaba Group, New Oriental Education, China Mobile and CNOOC Ltd.

Steven Holden

LG Energy IPO Trading - Allocations, Index, and Updates

LG Energy Solution (LGES) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO, after pricing at the top-end of the IPO price range. LGES will be included into...

Sumeet Singh

Jinchuan International (2362 HK): Thoughts On A Rumoured Offer

Jinchuan is not expensive here. And taking the company private is not a significant outlay for Jiunchuan Group. I'd be looking to get involved on...

David Blennerhassett

LG Energy IPO - Peer Updates + Bull/Bear Scenarios

LGES bookbuild is underway. In this note, we discuss our blue sky and bear assumptions and take a look at how peers have traded since our previous...

Sumeet Singh

LG Energy Solution IPO: DCF Scenario Analysis

Our base-case DCF value is KRW321,594 per share, 15% above the mid-point of the IPO price range. Our DCF sensitivity analysis shows that the IPO...

Arun George

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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