IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a>, the ship after-service subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24075:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai (267250 KS)</a>, aims to raise up to US$550 million.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hd-hyundai-marine-solutions-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:135501" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solutions IPO: The Investment Case</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that the HMS is, at best, fairly valued at the IPO price range. We would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS), the ship after-service subsidiary of HD Hyundai (267250 KS), aims to raise up to US$550 million.
We previously discussed the IPO in HD Hyundai Marine Solutions IPO: The Investment Case. 
We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that the HMS is, at best, fairly valued at the IPO price range. We would pass on the IPO.


HD Hyundai Marine Solutions IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a>, the ship after-service subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24075:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai (267250 KS)</a>, aims to raise up to US$550 million.   </li>
<li>The international book-building will run from 8 to 22 April, while the domestic book will open from 16 to 22 April. Pricing will be announced on 24 April.</li>
<li>The investment case rests on solid top-line growth, a healthy order book, rising margins, cash generation, and modest leverage.</li>
</ul>



HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS), the ship after-service subsidiary of HD Hyundai (267250 KS), aims to raise up to US$550 million.   
The international book-building will run from 8 to 22 April, while the domestic book will open from 16 to 22 April. Pricing will be announced on 24 April.
The investment case rests on solid top-line growth, a healthy order book, rising margins, cash generation, and modest leverage.


HD Hyundai Marine Solutions IPO: The Investment Case

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Valuation controversy arises from comparing HD Hyundai Marine Solution, a ship AS specialist, with diverse global companies, leading to a target market cap of ₩5T.</li>
<li>HD KSOE's inclusion worsens the valuation controversy. Applying HD KSOE's last year PER without adjusting for a significant one-off profit seems to inflate HD Hyundai Marine Solution's PER.</li>
<li>Currently, major local IPO funds see HD Hyundai Marine's valuation nearing ₩4T as excessive, despite the industry's revival and potential growth in eco-friendly ship conversions, impacting the upcoming bookbuilding process.</li>
</ul>


Valuation controversy arises from comparing HD Hyundai Marine Solution, a ship AS specialist, with diverse global companies, leading to a target market cap of ₩5T.
HD KSOE's inclusion worsens the valuation controversy. Applying HD KSOE's last year PER without adjusting for a significant one-off profit seems to inflate HD Hyundai Marine Solution's PER.
Currently, major local IPO funds see HD Hyundai Marine's valuation nearing ₩4T as excessive, despite the industry's revival and potential growth in eco-friendly ship conversions, impacting the upcoming bookbuilding process.


Local Color on HD Hyundai Marine Solution's Excessive IPO Valuation

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>HD Hyundai Marine Solution is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in May 2024. This will be one of the largest IPOs in Korea in 2024. </li>
<li>The IPO price range is from 73,300 won to 83,400 won. The IPO offering amount is from 652.4 billion won to 742.3 billion won. </li>
<li>A key beneficiary of HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO is HD Hyundai (62% ownership). Our NAV analysis suggests implied price of 95,632 for HD Hyundai (40% higher than current price).</li>
</ul>


HD Hyundai Marine Solution is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in May 2024. This will be one of the largest IPOs in Korea in 2024. 
The IPO price range is from 73,300 won to 83,400 won. The IPO offering amount is from 652.4 billion won to 742.3 billion won. 
A key beneficiary of HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO is HD Hyundai (62% ownership). Our NAV analysis suggests implied price of 95,632 for HD Hyundai (40% higher than current price).


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

SAMSUNGACTIVE KoAct Dividend Growth ETF / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Samsung KoAct Dividend Growth Active ETF (476850F.KS) raised around US$7.4m and started trading on 27 February.</li>
<li>There are 45 stocks in the ETF and the aim is to beat the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22911:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index (KOSPI INDEX)</a> by employing an active management strategy. </li>
<li>Financials, Consumer Discretionary and Industrials stocks make up nearly two-thirds of the ETF, the dividend yield of the underlying basket is 4% and the forward dividend yield is slightly higher.</li>
</ul>


The Samsung KoAct Dividend Growth Active ETF (476850F.KS) raised around US$7.4m and started trading on 27 February.
There are 45 stocks in the ETF and the aim is to beat the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index (KOSPI INDEX) by employing an active management strategy. 
Financials, Consumer Discretionary and Industrials stocks make up nearly two-thirds of the ETF, the dividend yield of the underlying basket is 4% and the forward dividend yield is slightly higher.


Samsung KoAct Dividend Growth Active ETF: A Look at the First Corporate Value-Up ETF

South Korea

HD Hyundai Co.,Ltd. operates as a oil refining company. The Company provides crude oil refining, petroleum refinery, and other related products. HD Hyundai markets its products worldwide.

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HD Hyundai (267250 KS)

HD Hyundai Marine Solutions IPO: Valuation Insights

We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that the HMS is, at best, fairly valued at the IPO price range. We would...

Arun George

HD Hyundai Marine Solutions IPO: The Investment Case

The investment case rests on solid top-line growth, a healthy order book, rising margins, cash generation, and modest leverage.

Arun George

Local Color on HD Hyundai Marine Solution's Excessive IPO Valuation

This post conveys the sentiment among local IPO fund managers regarding the excessive valuation of the HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO.

Sanghyun Park

HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO Preview

HD Hyundai Marine Solution is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in May 2024. This will be one of the largest IPOs in Korea in 2024.

Douglas Kim

Samsung KoAct Dividend Growth Active ETF: A Look at the First Corporate Value-Up ETF

The Samsung KoAct Dividend Growth Active ETF (476850F.KS) raised around US$7.4m and started trading on 27 February. The div yield of the underlying...

Brian Freitas

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