Value Investing

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>From a market point of view, Intel's risk-reward profile appears more compelling than many of its high-flying peers.</li>
<li>From a business perspective, the company will likely continue to suffer in the short-term, however, strategic positioning is still strong.</li>
<li>What has historically been Intel's weak spot could prove to be its key competitive advantage over the coming years.</li>
</ul>


From a market point of view, Intel's risk-reward profile appears more compelling than many of its high-flying peers.
From a business perspective, the company will likely continue to suffer in the short-term, however, strategic positioning is still strong.
What has historically been Intel's weak spot could prove to be its key competitive advantage over the coming years.


Intel: Well-Positioned To Compete But Hardly A Short-Term Play

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>November semiconductor revenues set a record for the highest shipment month in the history of the industry</li>
<li>Year-To-Date revenues and unit shipments, excluding December, are still higher than any full year in the industry's history</li>
<li>There is plenty of room for this to continue, barring a global economic meltdown</li>
</ul>


November semiconductor revenues set a record for the highest shipment month in the history of the industry
Year-To-Date revenues and unit shipments, excluding December, are still higher than any full year in the industry's history
There is plenty of room for this to continue, barring a global economic meltdown


November Semiconductors Once Again Set Records

<ul>
<li>2022 is likely to be a very good year for semiconductors, with 6% revenue growth following outstanding 2021 growth of ~22%.</li>
<li>Demand is solid, and shortages are driving prices higher.  Since revenues are demand times price, all signs are positive.</li>
<li>The factors that caused the last collapse, in 2019, are not in place this time, indicating that a downturn is very unlikely.</li>
</ul>


2022 is likely to be a very good year for semiconductors, with 6% revenue growth following outstanding 2021 growth of ~22%.
Demand is solid, and shortages are driving prices higher.  Since revenues are demand times price, all signs are positive.
The factors that caused the last collapse, in 2019, are not in place this time, indicating that a downturn is very unlikely.


2022 High Conviction - Modest Semiconductor Growth

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>On 22 December, there there were four global metaverse ETFs launched by the local asset management companies in Korea.</li>
<li>Two days after the launch, the combined market caps of these four ETFs have already reached 163 billion won.</li>
<li>These four ETFs have different components, they all have the following four stocks in common (AMD, Microsoft, Unity Software, and Nvidia). </li>
</ul>


On 22 December, there there were four global metaverse ETFs launched by the local asset management companies in Korea.
Two days after the launch, the combined market caps of these four ETFs have already reached 163 billion won.
These four ETFs have different components, they all have the following four stocks in common (AMD, Microsoft, Unity Software, and Nvidia). 


Launch of Global Metaverse ETFs by Local Asset Mgmt Companies & Update of Korean Metaverse ETFs

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe Nvidia’s recent massive outperformance vs. the market and TSMC is unwarranted. </li>
<li>It appears to ignore significant risks to its market position from a resurgent AMD and market entry by Intel which we expect to be highly credible. </li>
<li>We also think the scramble for share within TSMC could disadvantage Nvidia.</li>
</ul>


We believe Nvidia’s recent massive outperformance vs. the market and TSMC is unwarranted. 
It appears to ignore significant risks to its market position from a resurgent AMD and market entry by Intel which we expect to be highly credible. 
We also think the scramble for share within TSMC could disadvantage Nvidia.


TSMC – Long TSMC Short Nvidia Looks Exceptionally Attractive

United States

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) produces semiconductor products and devices. The Company offers products such as microprocessors, embedded microprocessors, chipsets, graphics, video and multimedia products and supplies it to third-party foundries, as well as provides assembling, testing, and packaging services. AMD serves customers worldwide.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)

Intel: Well-Positioned To Compete But Hardly A Short-Term Play

From a market point of view, Intel's risk-reward profile appears more compelling than many of its high-flying peers. From a business perspective,...

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

November Semiconductors Once Again Set Records

The semiconductor market once again set records in November, with 2021 revenues and unit shipments out-stripping all prior record years in its...

Jim Handy

2022 High Conviction - Modest Semiconductor Growth

Can today's semiconductor revenue growth continue, or will the market undergo another collapse? Objective Analysis calls for 6% growth, and shows...

Jim Handy

Launch of Global Metaverse ETFs by Local Asset Mgmt Companies & Update of Korean Metaverse ETFs

On 22 December, there there were four global metaverse ETFs launched by the local asset management companies in Korea. The combined market caps of...

Douglas Kim

TSMC – Long TSMC Short Nvidia Looks Exceptionally Attractive

We believe Nvidia’s recent massive outperformance vs. the market and TSMC is unwarranted as it ignores risks to Nvidia's market position from a...

Mio Kato

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