Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Objective Analysis has released its 2024 semiconductor forecast, calling for growth of below 5%</li>
<li>Other forecasters currently call for 11% to 17% growth, which would require another super cycle to accomplish</li>
<li>We do not see any event that will drive a 2024 super cycle, even with the current rapid adoption of AI in the data center</li>
</ul>


Objective Analysis has released its 2024 semiconductor forecast, calling for growth of below 5%
Other forecasters currently call for 11% to 17% growth, which would require another super cycle to accomplish
We do not see any event that will drive a 2024 super cycle, even with the current rapid adoption of AI in the data center


2024 High Conviction: Low Semiconductor Growth

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Marvell reported earnings recently, and I wanted to mention that at least before I continued onwards because that is a good context-setting event for the industry day.</li><li>Revenue exceeded expectations, but the mix beneath the results was illustrative.</li><li>Datacenter revenue grew 20% QoQ, cloud over 30% QoQ; while networking was strong, they guided for a 40% QoQ decline, consistent with networking OEM results.</li></ul>

Marvell reported earnings recently, and I wanted to mention that at least before I continued onwards because that is a good context-setting event for the industry day.Revenue exceeded expectations, but the mix beneath the results was illustrative.Datacenter revenue grew 20% QoQ, cloud over 30% QoQ; while networking was strong, they guided for a 40% QoQ decline, consistent with networking OEM results.

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Advanced Micro Devices / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>AMD’s resurgence against a dominant Intel saw the company grow annual revenues &gt;4x between 2017 and 2022</li>
<li>FY 2023 revenue is likely to be down roughly $1 billion or ~4% YoY.</li>
<li>We expect a combination of renewed Data Center market share growth plus a grand entrance into the AI acceleration segment will restart the party all over again in 2024. </li>
</ul>


AMD’s resurgence against a dominant Intel saw the company grow annual revenues &gt;4x between 2017 and 2022
FY 2023 revenue is likely to be down roughly $1 billion or ~4% YoY.
We expect a combination of renewed Data Center market share growth plus a grand entrance into the AI acceleration segment will restart the party all over again in 2024. 


AMD. With FY23 Revenues Set to Fall ~4% YoY, Is The Party Over?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul>
<li>We have noticed several news outlets reporting that Shengyi Tech’s latest ultralow (UL) loss CCL product (Synamic9GN) has been certified by Nvidia and is expected to begin the next testing phase soon.</li>
<li>Entering Nvidia’s supply chain not only is a validation of the company’s R&amp;D capabilities, but also suggests the company is likely to see continued margin expansion as high-end products typically yield a higher margin.</li>
<li>Our positive outlook for the company is further bolstered by its extensive market reach and the potential for the CCL sector to recover more quickly than the PCB sector in 2024.</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


We have noticed several news outlets reporting that Shengyi Tech’s latest ultralow (UL) loss CCL product (Synamic9GN) has been certified by Nvidia and is expected to begin the next testing phase soon.
Entering Nvidia’s supply chain not only is a validation of the company’s R&amp;D capabilities, but also suggests the company is likely to see continued margin expansion as high-end products typically yield a higher margin.
Our positive outlook for the company is further bolstered by its extensive market reach and the potential for the CCL sector to recover more quickly than the PCB sector in 2024.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Shengyi Tech (600183 CH) – Expect Shengyi to Enter Nvidia Supply Chain in 2024

<ul><li>Huawei's role in offering alternatives to foreign tech’s is prominent, but it's important to highlight the contribution of other smaller yet significant players in the development of home-grown solutions in China. </li><li>Nvidia faces significant revenue decline in China in the upcoming year to comply with US export curbs. The company is determined to protect its substantial revenue from the China market and expand its global presence aggressively to make up for the potential revenue loss from the China market.</li><li>Nvidia CFO said “China and other affected destinations consistently contributed approximately 2025% of data center revenue over the past few quarters”.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Huawei's role in offering alternatives to foreign tech’s is prominent, but it's important to highlight the contribution of other smaller yet significant players in the development of home-grown solutions in China. Nvidia faces significant revenue decline in China in the upcoming year to comply with US export curbs. The company is determined to protect its substantial revenue from the China market and expand its global presence aggressively to make up for the potential revenue loss from the China market.Nvidia CFO said “China and other affected destinations consistently contributed approximately 2025% of data center revenue over the past few quarters”.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Semiconductor – Domestic AI Chip Makers Accelerating Their Push as Nvidia’s Alternatives

United States

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) produces semiconductor products and devices. The Company offers products such as microprocessors, embedded microprocessors, chipsets, graphics, video and multimedia products and supplies it to third-party foundries, as well as provides assembling, testing, and packaging services. AMD serves customers worldwide.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)

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Fabricated Knowledge

AMD. With FY23 Revenues Set to Fall ~4% YoY, Is The Party Over?

Despite FY23 revenues on track to decline ~4% YoY, we expect a combination of renewed DC market share growth + a grand entrance to the AI...

William Keating

Shengyi Tech (600183 CH) – Expect Shengyi to Enter Nvidia Supply Chain in 2024

We have noticed several news outlets reporting that Shengyi Tech’s latest ultralow (UL) loss CCL product (Synamic9GN) has been certified by Nvidia...

CMB International

China Semiconductor – Domestic AI Chip Makers Accelerating Their Push as Nvidia’s Alternatives

As the US tightens China’s access to advanced chips, we maintain our earlier view that domestic companies will look for Nvidia’s alternatives at a...

CMB International

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