Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

Advanced Micro Devices / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In the first quarter of 2024, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), under the chairmanship and CEO-ship of Dr.</li><li>Lisa Su, achieved multiple milestones.</li><li>Revenue rose to $5.5 billion, showing both quarter over-quarter and year-over-year growth, while the company’s gross margin expanded by more than 2 percentage points; they also saw enhanced profitability with Data Center and Client segment sales each growing by over 80% year-over-year.</li></ul>

In the first quarter of 2024, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), under the chairmanship and CEO-ship of Dr.Lisa Su, achieved multiple milestones.Revenue rose to $5.5 billion, showing both quarter over-quarter and year-over-year growth, while the company’s gross margin expanded by more than 2 percentage points; they also saw enhanced profitability with Data Center and Client segment sales each growing by over 80% year-over-year.

Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD):  Growth Opportunities in Data Center CPU & Artificial Intelligence (AI) - Major Drivers

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>Q124 revenues of $5.5 billion, $100 million above the guided midpoint, down 11% QoQ but up 2% YoY.</li>
<li>Looking ahead, AMD forecasted the current quarter revenues of $5.7 billion, up 3.6% sequentially.</li>
<li>Share price down 7% in AH and down 35% from its recent 52 week high. We could see it retest the $100 level in the coming months</li>
</ul>


Q124 revenues of $5.5 billion, $100 million above the guided midpoint, down 11% QoQ but up 2% YoY.
Looking ahead, AMD forecasted the current quarter revenues of $5.7 billion, up 3.6% sequentially.
Share price down 7% in AH and down 35% from its recent 52 week high. We could see it retest the $100 level in the coming months


<ul>
<li>Q423 revenues of $6.2 billion, $100 million above the guided midpoint, up 6% QoQ and up 10% YoY</li>
<li>Q124 guidance was for $5.4 billion at the midpoint, down 13% QoQ and flat YoY.</li>
<li>We forecast 2024 Data Center growth of &gt;70% YoY with potential for further upside</li>
</ul>


Q423 revenues of $6.2 billion, $100 million above the guided midpoint, up 6% QoQ and up 10% YoY
Q124 guidance was for $5.4 billion at the midpoint, down 13% QoQ and flat YoY.
We forecast 2024 Data Center growth of &gt;70% YoY with potential for further upside


AMD. This Party's Just Getting Started...

<ul>
<li>NVIDIA's data center revenues tripled YoY in CY 2023 and are on track to more than double in CY 2024</li>
<li>When Intel dominated the data centre and minted tens of billions annually, its customers benefited even more, minting hundreds of billions. </li>
<li>If NVIDIA's business model succeeds, its customers will succeed even more. This will make it extremely difficult for NVIDIA to remain the #1 global market cap stock. </li>
</ul>


NVIDIA's data center revenues tripled YoY in CY 2023 and are on track to more than double in CY 2024
When Intel dominated the data centre and minted tens of billions annually, its customers benefited even more, minting hundreds of billions. 
If NVIDIA's business model succeeds, its customers will succeed even more. This will make it extremely difficult for NVIDIA to remain the #1 global market cap stock. 


Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

<ul>
<li>Nvidia reports/guides a better than expected 3Q/4Q23 sales, margin, and EPS on stronger AI GPU sales growth of nearly 3x.</li>
<li>Nvidia reports a healthy 3.04 MOI, down 5% q/q and down 37% y/y and contributes nicely to account for 9% of TSMC sales.</li>
<li>In spite of concerns on good news priced in, seasonal weaker 1Q24, and MI300X/ASIC alternative AI solutions, we expect more raise to come in 2024-2025E.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia reports/guides a better than expected 3Q/4Q23 sales, margin, and EPS on stronger AI GPU sales growth of nearly 3x.
Nvidia reports a healthy 3.04 MOI, down 5% q/q and down 37% y/y and contributes nicely to account for 9% of TSMC sales.
In spite of concerns on good news priced in, seasonal weaker 1Q24, and MI300X/ASIC alternative AI solutions, we expect more raise to come in 2024-2025E.


As Expected from Our Earlier BOM/CoWoS Analysis, Consensus to Raise Nvidia Estimates Inevitably

United States

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) produces semiconductor products and devices. The Company offers products such as microprocessors, embedded microprocessors, chipsets, graphics, video and multimedia products and supplies it to third-party foundries, as well as provides assembling, testing, and packaging services. AMD serves customers worldwide.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)

Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD): Growth Opportunities in Data Center CPU & Artificial Intelligence (AI) - Major Drivers

In the first quarter of 2024, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), under the chairmanship and CEO-ship of Dr. Lisa Su, achieved multiple...

Baptista Research

AMD. It's A Marathon, Not A Sprint

Q124 revenues of $5.5 billion, -11% QoQ , +2% YoY. Q224 forecast $5.7 billion, +3.6% QoQ. Shares down 7% AH, down 35% from 52 week high. One senes...

William Keating

AMD. This Party's Just Getting Started...

Q423 revenues of $6.2 billion, +6% QoQ, +10% YoY. Q124 $5.4 billion,-13% QoQ & flat YoY. We forecast 2024 Data Center growth of >70% YoY with...

William Keating

NVIDIA's Conundrum...

When Intel dominated the data centre and minted tens of billions annually, its customers benefited even more, minting hundreds of billions. Will it...

William Keating

As Expected from Our Earlier BOM/CoWoS Analysis, Consensus to Raise Nvidia Estimates Inevitably

As Expected from Our Earlier BOM/CoWoS Analysis, Consensus to Raise Nvidia Estimates Inevitably. However, investors see good news priced in in a...

Andrew Lu

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