Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>AI is poised to drive a large increase in power consumption on the mainland.  Data demand from generative AI necessitates more data centers and consequently more power.</li>
<li>China energy consumption is at the beginning of a super cycle as AI becomes integral to everyday corporate and eventually personal lives.</li>
<li>China's clean energy names will benefit from the China's energy strategy as its power needs from data centers surge.</li>
</ul>


AI is poised to drive a large increase in power consumption on the mainland.  Data demand from generative AI necessitates more data centers and consequently more power.
China energy consumption is at the beginning of a super cycle as AI becomes integral to everyday corporate and eventually personal lives.
China's clean energy names will benefit from the China's energy strategy as its power needs from data centers surge.


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Timing is everything. Yesterday afternoon I flagged <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inner-mongolia-yitai-coal-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14904:1" rel="noopener">Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd (3948 HK)</a></strong>'s possible H-share buyback at HK$17/share.</li>
<li>Roughly five hours later a firm HK$17.50/share Offer was announced. The Offer Price is final.</li>
<li>Other terms and approvals were largely as expected. Payment under the Offer may occur mid-August.</li>
</ul>


Timing is everything. Yesterday afternoon I flagged Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd (3948 HK)'s possible H-share buyback at HK$17/share.
Roughly five hours later a firm HK$17.50/share Offer was announced. The Offer Price is final.
Other terms and approvals were largely as expected. Payment under the Offer may occur mid-August.


Yitai Coal (3948 HK): H-Share Buyback Firmed At HK$17.50

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)</a> has despatched the offer document, and the H Share HK$7.50 offer is open. The H Shareholders class vote is on 18 April.  </li>
<li>The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection) along with a 90% minimum acceptance condition.  </li>
<li>The de-rating of peers and ongoing US investigation favours meeting the 90% threshold. However, the dire minority AGM/EGM participation rates suggest that retail apathy may derail the offer. </li>
</ul>



CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK) has despatched the offer document, and the H Share HK$7.50 offer is open. The H Shareholders class vote is on 18 April.  
The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection) along with a 90% minimum acceptance condition.  
The de-rating of peers and ongoing US investigation favours meeting the 90% threshold. However, the dire minority AGM/EGM participation rates suggest that retail apathy may derail the offer. 


CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Vote on 18 April as Uncertainty Lingers on the 90% Acceptance Threshold

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)</a> announced the H Share buyback offer, excluding CIMC’s shares, is at HK$7.50, a 16.5% premium to the undisturbed price. The offer is final.</li>
<li>The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection) along with a 90% minimum acceptance condition.  </li>
<li>Excluding the irrevocables, the 90% threshold requires an independent H Shareholder acceptance rate of 77.7%, which could be challenging due to a light offer. Risk/reward unfavourable. </li>
</ul>



CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK) announced the H Share buyback offer, excluding CIMC’s shares, is at HK$7.50, a 16.5% premium to the undisturbed price. The offer is final.
The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection) along with a 90% minimum acceptance condition.  
Excluding the irrevocables, the 90% threshold requires an independent H Shareholder acceptance rate of 77.7%, which could be challenging due to a light offer. Risk/reward unfavourable. 


CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Min Acceptance Condition a Risk for the Final HK$7.50 Offer

<ul>
<li>Back on the 9 May, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inner-mongolia-yitai-coal-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14904:1" rel="noopener">Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd (3948 HK)</a></strong> announced an H-share buyback at HK$17.50/share.</li>
<li>With no pre-conditions attached to this hybrid Scheme/Tender Offer, my expectation was this could be wrapped up by mid-August. </li>
<li>The dispatch of the Offer Document yesterday evening indicates even this timeline was conservative, with payment potentially occurring in the third week of July.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 9 May, Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd (3948 HK) announced an H-share buyback at HK$17.50/share.
With no pre-conditions attached to this hybrid Scheme/Tender Offer, my expectation was this could be wrapped up by mid-August. 
The dispatch of the Offer Document yesterday evening indicates even this timeline was conservative, with payment potentially occurring in the third week of July.


Yitai Coal (3948 HK): H-Shareholders To Vote on 30th June

China

Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy Co, Ltd. provides clean energy in China.  The Company offers gas-fired power, heat energy, wind power, small to medium hydropower, and other clean energy projects.  Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy owns and operates various energy plants.

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Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy (579 HK)

CHINA: Do You Like AI? BUY Utilities!

AI is creating an opportunity to benefit from the surge in power needs of China. Rapid growth in data centers to power AI will benefit China power...

David Mudd

CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Vote on 18 April as Uncertainty Lingers on the 90% Acceptance Threshold

The 90% minimum acceptance condition is a key risk in the context of a light offer and poor minority AGM/EGM participation rates. Risk/reward...

Arun George

CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Min Acceptance Condition a Risk for the Final HK$7.50 Offer

The 90% min acceptance condition is a key risk in the context of a light offer. Risk/reward is unfavourable as the downside (9.9% to undisturbed...

Arun George

Yitai Coal (3948 HK): H-Shareholders To Vote on 30th June

HK$17.50/share is a full and fair price. The tendering condition is the key risk to the deal. At HK$16.72/share, this is trading at a 4.7%/47.3%...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CHINA: Do You Like AI? BUY Utilities!

AI is creating an opportunity to benefit from the surge in power needs of China. Rapid growth in data centers to power AI will benefit China power...

David Mudd

Yitai Coal (3948 HK): H-Share Buyback Firmed At HK$17.50

HK$17.50/share is a full and fair price. The tendering condition is the key risk to the deal. Buy up to HK$16.90/share, or 4%/15% gross/annualised,...

David Blennerhassett

CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Vote on 18 April as Uncertainty Lingers on the 90% Acceptance Threshold

The 90% minimum acceptance condition is a key risk in the context of a light offer and poor minority AGM/EGM participation rates. Risk/reward...

Arun George

CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Min Acceptance Condition a Risk for the Final HK$7.50 Offer

The 90% min acceptance condition is a key risk in the context of a light offer. Risk/reward is unfavourable as the downside (9.9% to undisturbed...

Arun George

Yitai Coal (3948 HK): H-Shareholders To Vote on 30th June

HK$17.50/share is a full and fair price. The tendering condition is the key risk to the deal. At HK$16.72/share, this is trading at a 4.7%/47.3%...

David Blennerhassett