Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Murakami to tender stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>? Maybe the "double arb": i.e. short on swap, long on cash, will tender the cash, remain short the back end.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd (ASB AU)</a> rejected (for now) <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-ocean-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)</a>'s bid based on regulatory concerns.  Hanwha reckons these should not be an issue.</li>
<li>If you can tolerate owning the mobile biz, buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten (4755 JP)</a> on dips. If not, avoid Rakuten Group and Rakuten Bank short-term; buy Rakuten Bank on larger dips.</li>
</ul>


Murakami to tender stake in JSR Corp (4185 JP)? Maybe the "double arb": i.e. short on swap, long on cash, will tender the cash, remain short the back end.

Austal Ltd (ASB AU) rejected (for now) Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)'s bid based on regulatory concerns.  Hanwha reckons these should not be an issue.
If you can tolerate owning the mobile biz, buy Rakuten (4755 JP) on dips. If not, avoid Rakuten Group and Rakuten Bank short-term; buy Rakuten Bank on larger dips.


Last Week in Event SPACE: JSR, Austal, Rakuten, Hyundai Home Shopping, Hanmi Science

<ul>
<li>I tally 52 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Four new deals discussed on Smartkarma: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal  (ASB AU)</a>'s spurned Offer; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/best-world-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4600:1" rel="noopener">Best World (BEST SP)</a>'s Exit Offer; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isetan-singapore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6762:1" rel="noopener">Isetan Singapore (ISET SP)</a>'s parent Offer; and (maybe) <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/langham-hospitality-inv-ss" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:760:1" rel="noopener">Langham Hospitality (1270 HK)</a>'s privatisation. </li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genex-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29079:1" rel="noopener">Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intellicentrics-global-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40901:1" rel="noopener">IntelliCentrics Global Holding (6819 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 52 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Four new deals discussed on Smartkarma: Austal  (ASB AU)'s spurned Offer; Best World (BEST SP)'s Exit Offer; Isetan Singapore (ISET SP)'s parent Offer; and (maybe) Langham Hospitality (1270 HK)'s privatisation. 
Key updates took place on: Azure Minerals (AZS AU), Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU), IntelliCentrics Global Holding (6819 HK) and JSR Corp (4185 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Austal, Best World, Isetan Singapore, Langham Hospitality, Azure, Genex Power

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>We believe the new restructuring plan of the Hanwha Group is likely to have a positive impact on Hanwha Corp but could negatively impact Hanwha Ocean. </li>
<li>Our NAV analysis of Hanwha Corp suggests NAV of 3.2 trillion won or NAV per share of 43,168 won, which is 50% higher than current share price. </li>
<li>The biggest component of the valuation is Hanwha Corp's 34% stake in Hanwha Aerospace which is worth 4.1 trillion won. (187% of Hanwha Corp's market cap). </li>
</ul>


We believe the new restructuring plan of the Hanwha Group is likely to have a positive impact on Hanwha Corp but could negatively impact Hanwha Ocean. 
Our NAV analysis of Hanwha Corp suggests NAV of 3.2 trillion won or NAV per share of 43,168 won, which is 50% higher than current share price. 
The biggest component of the valuation is Hanwha Corp's 34% stake in Hanwha Aerospace which is worth 4.1 trillion won. (187% of Hanwha Corp's market cap). 


Hanwha Group's Restructuring to Positively Benefit Hanwha Corp but Negatively Impact Hanwha Ocean

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Hanwha received counsel indicating foreign regulators won't oppose Austal's acquisition. They admit it's restricted to AUKUS countries but argue Korea's ties ease opposition.</li>
<li>Hence, Hanwha Ocean is dropping some heavy hints that even though Austal has turned down the acquisition offer for now, there's still a chance the deal could go through.</li>
<li>The pivotal factor lies in whether Hanwha Ocean can secure approval from the AUKUS countries. Should they succeed, it is anticipated that Austal would be inclined to accept the deal.</li>
</ul>


Hanwha received counsel indicating foreign regulators won't oppose Austal's acquisition. They admit it's restricted to AUKUS countries but argue Korea's ties ease opposition.
Hence, Hanwha Ocean is dropping some heavy hints that even though Austal has turned down the acquisition offer for now, there's still a chance the deal could go through.
The pivotal factor lies in whether Hanwha Ocean can secure approval from the AUKUS countries. Should they succeed, it is anticipated that Austal would be inclined to accept the deal.


What's Additionally Being Heard on Hanwha's Austal Deal from Korea's Local Scene

<ul>
<li>Perth-Based shipbuilder <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd (ASB AU)</a> has <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20240402/pdf/0621t3mv6bqzvs.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">confirmed</a> a A$2.825/share non-binding indicative proposal, by way of a Scheme, from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-ocean-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)</a>. That's a 28.4% premium to last close.</li>
<li>Austal designs and builds defence vessels for the Australian and US navies. Austal believes Hanwha is unlikely to secure necessary approvals from the Australian and US governments. </li>
<li>Hanwha considers this view to be baseless, that it is a credible buyer, and its capabilities and investment are aligned with government objectives in Australia, the US and South Korea.</li>
</ul>


Perth-Based shipbuilder Austal Ltd (ASB AU) has confirmed a A$2.825/share non-binding indicative proposal, by way of a Scheme, from Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS). That's a 28.4% premium to last close.
Austal designs and builds defence vessels for the Australian and US navies. Austal believes Hanwha is unlikely to secure necessary approvals from the Australian and US governments. 
Hanwha considers this view to be baseless, that it is a credible buyer, and its capabilities and investment are aligned with government objectives in Australia, the US and South Korea.


Austal (ASB AU): Hanwha's NBIO Is A Non-Starter

South Korea

Hanwha Ocean Co., Ltd. operates as a shipbuilding and offshore company. The Company provides floating structure construction, steel wire drying, commercial vessels, specialty vessels, gas carrier, tanker, containership, ro ro, bulk carrier, submarine, warship, auxiliaries, cruise ships, and ferries manufacturing services. Hanwha Ocean also offers onshore plants services.

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Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)

Last Week in Event SPACE: JSR, Austal, Rakuten, Hyundai Home Shopping, Hanmi Science

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Austal, Best World, Isetan Singapore, Langham Hospitality, Azure, Genex Power

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Hanwha Group's Restructuring to Positively Benefit Hanwha Corp but Negatively Impact Hanwha Ocean

We believe the new restructuring plan of the Hanwha Group is likely to have a positive impact on Hanwha Corp but could negatively impact Hanwha Ocean.

Douglas Kim

What's Additionally Being Heard on Hanwha's Austal Deal from Korea's Local Scene

This post summarizes the additional news circulating in Korea's local scene on Hanwha Ocean's Austal acquisition deal, apart from what Reuters...

Sanghyun Park

Austal (ASB AU): Hanwha's NBIO Is A Non-Starter

Austal is probably off-limits to a foreign takeover. I think Hanwha's proposal is non-starter. Shares are up 10% as I type, but 14% adrift of...

David Blennerhassett

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