IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

EcoPro Materials / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36806:1" rel="noopener">EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS)</a> is a leading player in the electrode material industry. It is seeking to raise up to US$470 million in a KRX IPO.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ecopro-materials-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:114725" rel="noopener">EcoPro Materials IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ecopro-materials-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:114976" rel="noopener">EcoPro Materials IPO: The Bear Case</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive, and we would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS) is a leading player in the electrode material industry. It is seeking to raise up to US$470 million in a KRX IPO.
We previously discussed the IPO in EcoPro Materials IPO: The Bull Case and EcoPro Materials IPO: The Bear Case.
In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive, and we would pass on the IPO.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36806:1" rel="noopener">EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS)</a> is a leading player in the electrode material industry. It is seeking to raise up to US$477 million in a KRX IPO.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ecopro-materials-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:114725" rel="noopener">EcoPro Materials IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on weakening sector market sentiment, margin pressure likely to persist, cash burn, elevated leverage and high related-party transactions.</li>
</ul>



EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS) is a leading player in the electrode material industry. It is seeking to raise up to US$477 million in a KRX IPO.
In EcoPro Materials IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on weakening sector market sentiment, margin pressure likely to persist, cash burn, elevated leverage and high related-party transactions.


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Kia is set to make a comeback, while the exclusion of Posco Future M is on the horizon.</li>
<li>The screening date is set for November 30th, and the effective date is December 18th, which means the ETF rebalancing will take place on December 15th.</li>
<li>The exposure period to the market is relatively short, so it's essential to acknowledge the limited accumulation of learning effects. This suggests we can anticipate a notably substantial price impact.</li>
</ul>


Kia is set to make a comeback, while the exclusion of Posco Future M is on the horizon.
The screening date is set for November 30th, and the effective date is December 18th, which means the ETF rebalancing will take place on December 15th.
The exposure period to the market is relatively short, so it's essential to acknowledge the limited accumulation of learning effects. This suggests we can anticipate a notably substantial price impact.


A Noteworthy ETF Flow Trading Opportunity Targeting the Pair Comprising Kia & Posco Future M

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36806:1" rel="noopener">EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS)</a> is a leading player in the electrode material industry. It is seeking to raise up to US$500 million in a KRX IPO.  </li>
<li>EcoPro Materials is offering 14.5 million shares at an IPO price range of KRW36,200-46,000 per share. Book building runs from 30 October to 3 November, with pricing on 7 November.  </li>
<li>The bull case rests on attractive addressable markets, aggressive production capacity expansion, ambition to be the leading non-Chinese player, strong revenue growth and improving cash conversion cycle. </li>
</ul>



EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS) is a leading player in the electrode material industry. It is seeking to raise up to US$500 million in a KRX IPO.  
EcoPro Materials is offering 14.5 million shares at an IPO price range of KRW36,200-46,000 per share. Book building runs from 30 October to 3 November, with pricing on 7 November.  
The bull case rests on attractive addressable markets, aggressive production capacity expansion, ambition to be the leading non-Chinese player, strong revenue growth and improving cash conversion cycle. 


<ul>
<li>Posco DX's KOSPI 200 fast entry effective date will likely coincide with the December regular rebalancing date.</li>
<li>We should focus on the ad-hoc change deletion as we can expect more pronounced price impact near the effective date due to lower chances of premature exposure than regular reviews.</li>
<li>The following three candidates are screened: K Car, Daesang Corporation, and Shinsegae International. They are all likely to exhibit a significant passive impact (x ADTV).</li>
</ul>


Posco DX's KOSPI 200 fast entry effective date will likely coincide with the December regular rebalancing date.
We should focus on the ad-hoc change deletion as we can expect more pronounced price impact near the effective date due to lower chances of premature exposure than regular reviews.
The following three candidates are screened: K Car, Daesang Corporation, and Shinsegae International. They are all likely to exhibit a significant passive impact (x ADTV).


Prime Target for Flow Trading Due to Low Pre-Exposure in December KOSPI 200 Rebalancing

South Korea

Posco Future M Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes energy materials. The Company produces battery materials, advanced chemical materials, basic industrial materials, and other related products. Posco Future M also produces lime chemical and refractory products.

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Posco Future M (003670 KS)

EcoPro Materials IPO: Valuation Insights

In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive, and we...

Arun George

EcoPro Materials IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on weakening sector market sentiment, margin pressure likely to persist, cash burn, elevated leverage and high related-party...

Arun George

A Noteworthy ETF Flow Trading Opportunity Targeting the Pair Comprising Kia & Posco Future M

This post delves into an ETF flow trading opportunity centered around the Kia and Posco Future M pair during the December rebalancing of the KODEX...

Sanghyun Park

EcoPro Materials IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on attractive addressable markets, aggressive production capacity expansion, ambition to be the leading non-Chinese player,...

Arun George

Prime Target for Flow Trading Due to Low Pre-Exposure in December KOSPI 200 Rebalancing

This post explores the schedule for Posco DX's inclusion in the KOSPI 200 and how we should target the resulting deletion after its transfer...

Sanghyun Park

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