Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

EcoPro Materials / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation for Ecopro Materials is implied price per share of 40,325 won per share, which is within the IPO price range of 36,200 won to 46,000 won.</li>
<li>Given the lack of upside relative to the IPO price range, we have a negative view of this IPO. </li>
<li>Ecopro Materials is engaged in the business of manufacturing and selling high-nickel precursors, one of the key materials for high-nickel anode materials for secondary batteries.</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation for Ecopro Materials is implied price per share of 40,325 won per share, which is within the IPO price range of 36,200 won to 46,000 won.
Given the lack of upside relative to the IPO price range, we have a negative view of this IPO. 
Ecopro Materials is engaged in the business of manufacturing and selling high-nickel precursors, one of the key materials for high-nickel anode materials for secondary batteries.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36806:1" rel="noopener">EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS)</a> was founded in 2017 and specializes in manufacturing cathode material precursors, a core material for lithium secondary cells.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36806:1" rel="noopener">EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS)</a> could raise between US$387m-US$492m, valuing the company between US$1.9bn-US$2.42bn. Float will depend on voluntary lock-ups and allocation to strategic investors.</li>
<li>Inclusion in global indices is likely to take place between February to June, while the highest probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> inclusion is in December 2024.</li>
</ul>



EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS) was founded in 2017 and specializes in manufacturing cathode material precursors, a core material for lithium secondary cells.

EcoPro Materials (ECO123 KS) could raise between US$387m-US$492m, valuing the company between US$1.9bn-US$2.42bn. Float will depend on voluntary lock-ups and allocation to strategic investors.
Inclusion in global indices is likely to take place between February to June, while the highest probability of Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) inclusion is in December 2024.


<ul>
<li>Ecopro Materials is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in November 2023. The IPO price range is from 36,200 won to 46,000 won. </li>
<li>The IPO offering amount is from 524 billion won to 666 billion won. The expected IPO market cap is from 2.7 trillion won to 3.4 trillion won.</li>
<li>The bankers used four companies including CNGR, Posco Future M (003670 KS), L&amp;F, and Cosmo AM&amp;T (005070 KS) as comps for Ecopro Materials.</li>
</ul>


Ecopro Materials is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in November 2023. The IPO price range is from 36,200 won to 46,000 won. 
The IPO offering amount is from 524 billion won to 666 billion won. The expected IPO market cap is from 2.7 trillion won to 3.4 trillion won.
The bankers used four companies including CNGR, Posco Future M (003670 KS), L&amp;F, and Cosmo AM&amp;T (005070 KS) as comps for Ecopro Materials.


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>The indicative price band is ₩36,200 to ₩46,000. Accordingly, the market capitalization implied by the price band is ₩2.68T to ₩3.40T.</li>
<li>The concern arises as to whether Ecopro Materials can consistently deliver a level of profitability that justifies receiving an equivalent valuation multiple to that of Ecopro BM.</li>
<li>The timing of this IPO coincides with the ongoing valuation correction in the local battery sector, making the valuation issue the most critical point to watch in this IPO.</li>
</ul>


The indicative price band is ₩36,200 to ₩46,000. Accordingly, the market capitalization implied by the price band is ₩2.68T to ₩3.40T.
The concern arises as to whether Ecopro Materials can consistently deliver a level of profitability that justifies receiving an equivalent valuation multiple to that of Ecopro BM.
The timing of this IPO coincides with the ongoing valuation correction in the local battery sector, making the valuation issue the most critical point to watch in this IPO.


Ecopro Materials IPO Prospectus Filed Today: Anticipating Inevitable Valuation Controversy

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.</li>
<li>There is one change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio and Game indices. Then there are a couple of changes for the Internet and BBIG indices.</li>
<li>There are four stocks that will have over 2 days of ADV to trade from passive trackers and these stocks could move around announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.
There is one change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio and Game indices. Then there are a couple of changes for the Internet and BBIG indices.
There are four stocks that will have over 2 days of ADV to trade from passive trackers and these stocks could move around announcement of the changes.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Complete

South Korea

Posco Future M Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes energy materials. The Company produces battery materials, advanced chemical materials, basic industrial materials, and other related products. Posco Future M also produces lime chemical and refractory products.

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Posco Future M (003670 KS)

Ecopro Materials IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation for Ecopro Materials is implied price per share is 40,325 won per share, which is within the IPO price range of 36,200 won...

Douglas Kim

EcoPro Materials: IPO & Index Inclusion

Extremely high multiples used to come up with the IPO price band. Possible inclusion in global indices from Feb to June while the highest...

Brian Freitas

Ecopro Materials IPO Preview

Ecopro Materials is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in November 2023. The IPO price range is from 36,200 won to 46,000 won.

Douglas Kim

Ecopro Materials IPO Prospectus Filed Today: Anticipating Inevitable Valuation Controversy

This post details Ecopro Materials' IPO prospectus filed today and touches on an impending and unavoidable valuation controversy.

Sanghyun Park

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Complete

The changes to the index were announced post market close on Friday and will be implemented at the close on Thursday. Given that the changes are...

Brian Freitas

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