Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 4 April, Douzone Bizon (012510 KS) announced that it plans to become the fourth Internet bank in Korea. Following this news, Douzone Bizon's share price increased by 21%. </li>
<li>If the company succeeds in receiving the license to operate an Internet bank, this could meaningfully impact the company's long-term sales and profits. </li>
<li>If Douzone Bizone expands into the Internet banking services, it may need additional backing from strategic/financial partners including Bain Capital which has a 10.2% stake in Douzone Bizon. </li>
</ul>


On 4 April, Douzone Bizon (012510 KS) announced that it plans to become the fourth Internet bank in Korea. Following this news, Douzone Bizon's share price increased by 21%. 
If the company succeeds in receiving the license to operate an Internet bank, this could meaningfully impact the company's long-term sales and profits. 
If Douzone Bizone expands into the Internet banking services, it may need additional backing from strategic/financial partners including Bain Capital which has a 10.2% stake in Douzone Bizon. 


Douzone Bizon: To Become the Fourth Internet Bank in Korea?

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Dozn is implied market cap of 429 billion won or target price of 17,910 won per share (43% higher than high-end of IPO price range). </li>
<li>Our base case target price is based on P/E of 25.3x (20% premium to comps' average valuation multiple) using our estimated net profit of 17 billion won in 2025. </li>
<li>This valuation premium is appropriate due to Dozn's higher sales growth rate, higher net margins, and higher ROE versus the comps. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Dozn is implied market cap of 429 billion won or target price of 17,910 won per share (43% higher than high-end of IPO price range). 
Our base case target price is based on P/E of 25.3x (20% premium to comps' average valuation multiple) using our estimated net profit of 17 billion won in 2025. 
This valuation premium is appropriate due to Dozn's higher sales growth rate, higher net margins, and higher ROE versus the comps. 


<ul>
<li>Dozn is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea in March 2025. The company plans to offer 2.5 million shares in this IPO.</li>
<li>The IPO price range is from 10,250 won to 12,500 won per share and the offering amount ranges from 26.2 billion won to 31.2 billion won.</li>
<li>Founded in 2017, Dozn is emerging as a prominent business-to-business (B2B) digital solution service provider in Korea.</li>
</ul>


Dozn is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea in March 2025. The company plans to offer 2.5 million shares in this IPO.
The IPO price range is from 10,250 won to 12,500 won per share and the offering amount ranges from 26.2 billion won to 31.2 billion won.
Founded in 2017, Dozn is emerging as a prominent business-to-business (B2B) digital solution service provider in Korea.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ended on 31 January, changes will be announced first week of March and implemented at the close of trading on 13 March.</li>
<li>We forecast two changes for the Bio Index and one change for the Internet Index. Plus there will be capping changes for all indices.</li>
<li>The largest flows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-sdi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:503:1" rel="noopener">Samsung SDI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:208:1" rel="noopener">POSCO Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alteogen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15886:1" rel="noopener">Alteogen</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16029:1" rel="noopener">Naver Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legochem-biosciences-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19803:1" rel="noopener">Legochem Biosciences</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netmarble-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22839:1" rel="noopener">Netmarble</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ended on 31 January, changes will be announced first week of March and implemented at the close of trading on 13 March.
We forecast two changes for the Bio Index and one change for the Internet Index. Plus there will be capping changes for all indices.
The largest flows will be in Samsung SDI, LG Energy Solution, POSCO Holdings, Alteogen, Naver Corp, Legochem Biosciences, Netmarble and Celltrion Inc.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Smaller Deal Than Usual

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends today, the changes will be announced in the first week of September and implemented at the close of trading on 12 September.</li>
<li>There is at least one change expected for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet, Game and BBIG indices. </li>
<li>The largest flows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-future-m-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12421:1" rel="noopener">Posco Future M</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-bm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27873:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro BM</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-biopharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28966:1" rel="noopener">SK Biopharmaceuticals</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alteogen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15886:1" rel="noopener">Alteogen</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc-38a560c3-749f-4bd5-8671-c0df9cb659d7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26893:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3970:1" rel="noopener">SKC Co</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15002:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krafton-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28956:1" rel="noopener">Krafton</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-biologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22932:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Biologics</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance ends today, the changes will be announced in the first week of September and implemented at the close of trading on 12 September.
There is at least one change expected for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet, Game and BBIG indices. 
The largest flows will be in Posco Future M, Ecopro BM, SK Biopharmaceuticals, Alteogen, Celltrion, SKC Co, Kakao Corp, Douzone Bizon, Krafton and Samsung Biologics.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes as Review Period Ends Today

South Korea

Douzone Bizon Co., Ltd. develops and markets computer software.  The company develops MIS, ERP, e-Business Solutions, EFIS, SEM(Strategic Enterprise Management), BPS(Business Process Management), and ERM(Enterprise Risk Management). The Company's products target small and medium-sized enterprises.

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Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)

Douzone Bizon: To Become the Fourth Internet Bank in Korea?

Douzone Bizon announced that it plans to become the fourth Internet bank in Korea. It plans to establish Korea's first Internet only bank...

Douglas Kim

Dozn IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Dozn is implied market cap of 429 billion won or target price of 17,910 won per share (43% higher than high-end of IPO...

Douglas Kim

Dozn IPO Preview

Dozn is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea in March 2025. Dozn is emerging as a prominent business-to-business (B2B) digital solution...

Douglas Kim

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Smaller Deal Than Usual

Indications are for a smaller rebalance than usual as index performance suffers and AUM continues to shrink. There are some constituent changes...

Brian Freitas

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes as Review Period Ends Today

We expect at least 1 change for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet, Game and BBIG indices. Flows are pretty big on some of the stocks and...

Brian Freitas

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