Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823 HK)</a> (LREIT) aims to undertake a 1 for 5 rights issue at a subscription price of HK$44.20/unit, to raise around US$2.4bn.</li>
<li>After announcing a S$2.2bn acquisition in late Dec 2022, the company explicitly mentioned that it didn’t need to raise any new capital. Thus, the rights issue marks an abrupt turnaround.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the right issue, its previous acquisition and the overall implications.</li>
</ul>



Link REIT (823 HK) (LREIT) aims to undertake a 1 for 5 rights issue at a subscription price of HK$44.20/unit, to raise around US$2.4bn.
After announcing a S$2.2bn acquisition in late Dec 2022, the company explicitly mentioned that it didn’t need to raise any new capital. Thus, the rights issue marks an abrupt turnaround.
In this note, we talk about the right issue, its previous acquisition and the overall implications.


Link REIT US$2.4bn Rights Issue - Mistimed but Yield at the Rights Price Might Be the Saving Grace

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Last Friday, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> announced it had Approval-In-Principle for its Proposed Combination with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a>, contingent on the Circular being despatched by 31 January 2023.  </li>
<li>At 6:50pm local time on 31 January, Sembcorp Marine released its 679-page <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Circular.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=745337" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Circular</a> (and <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/EGM%20Announcement.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=745338" target="_blank" rel="noopener">EGM Announcement</a> (16 Feb EGM)). Phew! </li>
<li>Now we have a deal in sight, we have to think about next steps. SMM NEWCO needs a story vs flow. Orderbook is nice but may not cut it near-term.</li>
</ul>


Last Friday, Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) announced it had Approval-In-Principle for its Proposed Combination with Keppel Corp (KEP SP), contingent on the Circular being despatched by 31 January 2023.  
At 6:50pm local time on 31 January, Sembcorp Marine released its 679-page Circular (and EGM Announcement (16 Feb EGM)). Phew! 
Now we have a deal in sight, we have to think about next steps. SMM NEWCO needs a story vs flow. Orderbook is nice but may not cut it near-term.


Sembcorp Marine-Keppel O&M Merger Circular Squeaks In Under The Wire - Next Steps

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>Be long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kawasaki-kisen-kaisha-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3548:1" rel="noopener">Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP)</a> vs MOL and NYK. The shares are cheap on a forward basis. KLine is reducing the Real World Float, causing further potential squeeze.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sabana-industrial-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:911:1" rel="noopener">Sabana Industrial REIT (SSREIT SP)</a>'s Partial Offer at 0.88x book is not overwhelming, but it is also not a control stake. It is probably priced near-right.</li>
<li>IF <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/osstem-implant-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1450:1" rel="noopener">Osstem (048260 KS)</a>'s price were to go higher, it is conceivable there could be a bump, but don't bet on it as long as the stock trades &lt;KRW 190,000. </li>
</ul>


Be long Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP) vs MOL and NYK. The shares are cheap on a forward basis. KLine is reducing the Real World Float, causing further potential squeeze.

Sabana Industrial REIT (SSREIT SP)'s Partial Offer at 0.88x book is not overwhelming, but it is also not a control stake. It is probably priced near-right.
IF Osstem (048260 KS)'s price were to go higher, it is conceivable there could be a bump, but don't bet on it as long as the stock trades &lt;KRW 190,000. 


Last Week in SPACE: Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Osstem, Fujitsu General, Adani Enterprises

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In 2022, 86 primary-listed companies on SGX bought back shares with a consideration totalling S 692 billion.</li><li>In Dec, Digital Core REIT Management bought back 10,654,100 units or 0.95 per cent of the units of Digital Core REIT as of its listing date.</li><li>The Straits Times Index (STI) generated an 8.4% total return in 2022, with 86 primary company listings in Singapore conducting S$1.692 billion in combined share buyback consideration.</li></ul>

In 2022, 86 primary-listed companies on SGX bought back shares with a consideration totalling S 692 billion.In Dec, Digital Core REIT Management bought back 10,654,100 units or 0.95 per cent of the units of Digital Core REIT as of its listing date.The Straits Times Index (STI) generated an 8.4% total return in 2022, with 86 primary company listings in Singapore conducting S$1.692 billion in combined share buyback consideration.

Primary-Listed Companies Book S$1.7 Billion in 2022 Buyback Consideration

<ul>
<li>For <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals (OZL AU)</a>,  look elsewhere unless you are VERY bullish copper. But if you are VERY bullish copper, buy copper options rather than the embedded option in OZL. </li>
<li>Game on as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/warrego-energy-ltd-082ab214-f4bb-4224-b321-8977486cd661" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7808:1" rel="noopener">Warrego Energy (WGO AU)</a> shareholders weigh the pros and cons of Hancock's all-cash Offer against <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/strike-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12473:1" rel="noopener">Strike Energy (STX AU)</a>'s "superior" scrip proposal. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jafco-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8848:1" rel="noopener">Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP)</a> succumbed to greenmail and tried to boost the price to explain the exit they were going to give Murakami-san. It didn't work. </li>
</ul>


For OZ Minerals (OZL AU),  look elsewhere unless you are VERY bullish copper. But if you are VERY bullish copper, buy copper options rather than the embedded option in OZL. 
Game on as Warrego Energy (WGO AU) shareholders weigh the pros and cons of Hancock's all-cash Offer against Strike Energy (STX AU)'s "superior" scrip proposal. 

Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP) succumbed to greenmail and tried to boost the price to explain the exit they were going to give Murakami-san. It didn't work. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Oz Minerals, Warrego, JAFCO, Swire Pac's A&Bs, Korean Mandatory Offers

Singapore

Keppel Corporation Limited's core businesses are offshore and marine, infrastructure, property investment and development, telecommunications and transportation, energy, and engineering.

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Keppel Corp (KEP SP)

Link REIT US$2.4bn Rights Issue - Mistimed but Yield at the Rights Price Might Be the Saving Grace

Link REIT (823 HK) (LREIT) aims to undertake a 1 for 5 rights issue at a subscription price of HK$44.20/unit, to raise around US$2.4bn. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Sembcorp Marine-Keppel O&M Merger Circular Squeaks In Under The Wire - Next Steps

Sembcorp Marine delivered its Circular for the Combination/Acquisition with/of Keppel subsidiary Keppel O&M. EGM on 16 Feb. Deal done by end of...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in SPACE: Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Osstem, Fujitsu General, Adani Enterprises

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Primary-Listed Companies Book S$1.7 Billion in 2022 Buyback Consideration

In 2022, 86 primary-listed companies on SGX bought back shares with a consideration totalling S 692 billion. In Dec, Digital Core REIT Management...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Oz Minerals, Warrego, JAFCO, Swire Pac's A&Bs, Korean Mandatory Offers

The silly season is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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