Listed Real Estate Asia, KT Capital Group

Jacob Cheng

Listed Real Estate Asia

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Under a rate cut cycle, REITs historically outperform as risk free rates going down and share price would go up to maintain the same interest rate spread</li>
<li>Besides, the rate cut cycle would provide ample room for Link REIT to carry out more M&amp;As and expand its portfolio, to drive earnings and DPU growth</li>
<li>Link REIT currently offers 6.6% yield, and we think there is at least 15-20% upside from current valuation</li>
</ul>


Under a rate cut cycle, REITs historically outperform as risk free rates going down and share price would go up to maintain the same interest rate spread
Besides, the rate cut cycle would provide ample room for Link REIT to carry out more M&amp;As and expand its portfolio, to drive earnings and DPU growth
Link REIT currently offers 6.6% yield, and we think there is at least 15-20% upside from current valuation


Link REIT: Building a Diversified Asia Pac Portfolio and a Solid REIT Play in the Rate Cut Cycle

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823 HK)</a> rights offering caused some upset amongst investors. They got dilution where they did not need it, and de-leveraging from a REIT wanting to invest.</li>
<li>The units fell in price, then fell some more. Then the rights started trading.</li>
<li>Last week in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/link-reit-823-nil-paid-rights-start-trading-tomorrow-the-trades" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:97326" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823) - Nil Paid Rights Start Trading Tomorrow - The Trades</a> I said strategy was to be long by Tuesday or Wednesday. It's Wednesday.</li>
</ul>


The Link REIT (823 HK) rights offering caused some upset amongst investors. They got dilution where they did not need it, and de-leveraging from a REIT wanting to invest.
The units fell in price, then fell some more. Then the rights started trading.
Last week in Link REIT (823) - Nil Paid Rights Start Trading Tomorrow - The Trades I said strategy was to be long by Tuesday or Wednesday. It's Wednesday.


Link REIT (823) - Anchors Aweigh! Fair Weather Sailing Ahead

<ul>
<li>After being halted this morning before the start of trade, post-close, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823 HK)</a> announced a fully-underwritten <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/0210/2023021000480.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Rights Offering</a>. </li>
<li>The Rights Offering intends to raise HK$18.8bn issuing 1 Right for every 5 Shares held, at a subscription price of HK$44.20, a 26% discount to TERP. </li>
<li>This will take an already under-levered REIT and add more capital to it. And there is going to be selling pressure at some point.</li>
</ul>


After being halted this morning before the start of trade, post-close, Link REIT (823 HK) announced a fully-underwritten Rights Offering. 
The Rights Offering intends to raise HK$18.8bn issuing 1 Right for every 5 Shares held, at a subscription price of HK$44.20, a 26% discount to TERP. 
This will take an already under-levered REIT and add more capital to it. And there is going to be selling pressure at some point.


David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://skr.ma/mqr7w" target="_blank" rel="noopener">RMB Dual Counter Trading Is Coming - This Changes AH Relationships</a></strong></em>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/travis-lundy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:25" rel="noopener">Travis Lundy</a> discussed the forthcoming inclusion of RMB dual counters in the Hong Kong Southbound Connect programs.</li>
<li>This is but one of the five capital market cooperation measures <a href="http://www.csrc.gov.cn/csrc/c100028/c7474875/content.shtml" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> by the CSRC last Friday. </li>
<li>The other four measures include ETFs, improving mutual recognition of funds, increasing China IPOs in Hong Kong, and the inclusion of REITs. This insight discusses the latter.</li>
</ul>


In RMB Dual Counter Trading Is Coming - This Changes AH Relationships, Travis Lundy discussed the forthcoming inclusion of RMB dual counters in the Hong Kong Southbound Connect programs.
This is but one of the five capital market cooperation measures announced by the CSRC last Friday. 
The other four measures include ETFs, improving mutual recognition of funds, increasing China IPOs in Hong Kong, and the inclusion of REITs. This insight discusses the latter.


HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With the US interest rate heading lower, the HSI constituent companies with the highest gearing levels are the prime beneficiaries as their interest burden will lessen.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sands-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:182:1" rel="noopener">Sands China (1928 HK)</a>, while it has the highest leverage, is not a near-term gain. This is because its debt structure with 100% fixed rate borrowings. </li>
<li>Based on the gearing level, floating rate proportion, and YTD performance, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> are the two potential best bets.</li>
</ul>


With the US interest rate heading lower, the HSI constituent companies with the highest gearing levels are the prime beneficiaries as their interest burden will lessen.

Sands China (1928 HK), while it has the highest leverage, is not a near-term gain. This is because its debt structure with 100% fixed rate borrowings. 
Based on the gearing level, floating rate proportion, and YTD performance, New World Development (17 HK) and Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) are the two potential best bets.


HK Strategy: Rate Cut Beneficiaries - Fixed & Floating Rate Debt Analysis

Hong Kong

Link REIT is a real estate investment trust in Hong Kong. The Trust owns and operates shopping centers, parking space facilities and real estate retail space.

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Link REIT (823 HK)

Link REIT: Building a Diversified Asia Pac Portfolio and a Solid REIT Play in the Rate Cut Cycle

Under a rate cut cycle, REITs would outperform as risk free goes down and price has to adjust to maintain the same spread. Link REIT, the Asia's...

Jacob Cheng

Link REIT (823) - Anchors Aweigh! Fair Weather Sailing Ahead

LINK REIT Rights trading ends soon. That's an end to obvious overhang. There may be a bit more when units are delivered in a few weeks. In the...

Travis Lundy

Big Link REIT (823 HK) Rights Offering

Link REIT (823 HK) is doing a Rights Offering. The Rights Offering is to raise HK$18.5bn or so (after fees). The Offering is for 425mm shares which...

Travis Lundy

HK REITs Re-Rate On Southbound Inclusion

Stick to a basket of Hong Kong-focused REITs. I'd tilt to those HK-REITs which are not 100% exposed to the office-space, such as Link REIT (823...

David Blennerhassett

HK Strategy: Rate Cut Beneficiaries - Fixed & Floating Rate Debt Analysis

With the Fed hinting at a slower rate cut path, the beneficiaries mentioned in this Insight will turn to suffer more. The names with the highest...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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