Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

SUN CORPORATION operates mainly Pachinko related business, information and communication business.  Pachinko related business includes developing, manufacturing and selling a system to control and monitor pachinko machine, and manage business operation.  Sun Corp. also manufactures Pachinko and household appliances and develops game software for family use.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10803:1" rel="noopener">Sun Corp (6736 JP)</a> has declined ~6% in the past month. Its 44.3% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cellebrite-di-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37102:1" rel="noopener">Cellebrite DI (CLBT US)</a> is worth ~186% of its market cap.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Sun Corp are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Sun Corp (6736 JP) has declined ~6% in the past month. Its 44.3% stake in Cellebrite DI (CLBT US) is worth ~186% of its market cap.
Preceding my comments on Sun Corp are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Sun Corp (6736 JP) Is Still Inexpensive To Its Cellebrite Stake

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Horizon Robotics, Inc. offers technology services. The Company develops advanced driver assistance systems, autonomous driving solutions, and other for passenger vehicles. Horizon Robotics provides its services throughout Hong Kong.

<ul>
<li>There will be 5 changes for the Hang Seng Internet &amp; Information Technology Index (HSIII Index) at the March rebalance. There is one surprise for us with Synagistics being added.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 6.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$3.74bn (US$482m). 4 stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a> is an add to the HSIII, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a> and HSCI. Inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect will take place in May.</li>
</ul>


There will be 5 changes for the Hang Seng Internet &amp; Information Technology Index (HSIII Index) at the March rebalance. There is one surprise for us with Synagistics being added.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 6.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$3.74bn (US$482m). 4 stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade.

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) is an add to the HSIII, Hang Seng TECH Index and HSCI. Inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect will take place in May.


Hang Seng Internet & IT Index Rebalance: Five Changes with First De-SPAC Listing In

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services / Equity Bottom-Up

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd provides shipping services. The Company offers multi-modal, cargo handling, tariff management, schedule information, and other related services. ZIM Integrated Shipping Services serves clients worldwide.

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (ZIM US)

<ul>
<li>After four straight months of decline, our index of price momentum stabilized in December</li>
<li>But unsustainably strong US imports &amp; potential Suez re-opening suggest rates to keep falling</li>
<li>We retain our bearish view of the container shipping segment, and suggest staying SHORT</li>
</ul>


After four straight months of decline, our index of price momentum stabilized in December
But unsustainably strong US imports &amp; potential Suez re-opening suggest rates to keep falling
We retain our bearish view of the container shipping segment, and suggest staying SHORT


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker: December Respite Likely Short-Lived | Stay SHORT (January 2025)

Investment Advisor, Upslope Capital Management

Upslope Capital Management

Investment Advisor

Investment advisor for Upslope Partners Fund, LP, a global long/short equity hedge fund.

Garmin Ltd. provides navigation, communications, and information devices, most of which are enabled by Global Positioning System (GPS) technology.  The Company designs, develops, manufactures, and markets hand-held, portable, and fixed mount GPS-enabled products and other navigation, communications, and information products under its own brand name.

<ul><li>Q4 was the most challenging quarter for Upslope since early 2021 (peak of the SPAC/meme stock bubble).</li><li>Longs underperformed and shorts dragged. Month-to-date performance has been similarly challenging (approximately -4% as of this writing).</li><li>In addition to a tough market environment, I made mistakes that made things worse.</li></ul>

Q4 was the most challenging quarter for Upslope since early 2021 (peak of the SPAC/meme stock bubble).Longs underperformed and shorts dragged. Month-to-date performance has been similarly challenging (approximately -4% as of this writing).In addition to a tough market environment, I made mistakes that made things worse.

Upslope's Quarterly Investor Letter: Q4 2024

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Pactiv Evergreen Inc. provides packaging solutions. The Company offers operates paper mills that produces cardboard boxes. Pactiv Evergreen serves customers worldwide.

<ul><li>Investment firm bullish on Pactiv shares, forecasting fair value of $24 per share in next 12 months</li><li>Pactiv has divested paper mill assets, now a leading sustainable plastic packaging manufacturer for food sectors</li><li>Potential for margin improvement and EBITDA growth through volume expansion and operational optimization, undervalued compared to peers, promising free cash flow profile for debt reduction.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Investment firm bullish on Pactiv shares, forecasting fair value of $24 per share in next 12 monthsPactiv has divested paper mill assets, now a leading sustainable plastic packaging manufacturer for food sectorsPotential for margin improvement and EBITDA growth through volume expansion and operational optimization, undervalued compared to peers, promising free cash flow profile for debt reduction.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Pactiv Evergreen Inc (PTVE) - Tuesday, Oct 15, 2024

Insights on Special Purpose Acquisition Companies

SPACs
Insights on Special Purpose Acquisition Companies

StubWorld: Sun Corp (6736 JP) Is Still Inexpensive To Its Cellebrite Stake

Trading at a 48% disc. to NAV. ~40% of Sun is held via Oasis and the SPAC Sponsor. They're there to extract maximum look-through value. Be long...

David Blennerhassett

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index Rebalance: Five Changes with First De-SPAC Listing In

There are 5 changes for the HSIII in March. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 6.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$3.74bn...

Brian Freitas

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker: December Respite Likely Short-Lived | Stay SHORT (January 2025)

A ceasefire, if successful, will lead to lower rates in the Asia-Europe & Transpacific trades. We remain -ive on container shipping in 2025 despite...

Tracking Traffic

Upslope's Quarterly Investor Letter: Q4 2024

Q4 was the most challenging quarter for Upslope since early 2021 (peak of the SPAC/meme stock bubble). Longs underperformed and shorts dragged.

Upslope Capital Management

Pactiv Evergreen Inc (PTVE) - Tuesday, Oct 15, 2024

Investment firm bullish on Pactiv shares, forecasting fair value of $24 per share in next 12 monthsPactiv has divested paper mill assets, now a...

Value Investors Club