Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

TSURUHA HOLDINGS INC. is a holding company which manages subsidiaries that operate drug stores in Hokkaido and the Tohoku area.  The Company's product line includes drugs, cosmetics, and household utensils.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a>'s Partial Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsuruha-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9536:1" rel="noopener">Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)</a> discussed in <em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-partial-tender-aeon-8267-partial-offer-for-tsuruha-3391-announced-at-2-900-share" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:213005" rel="noopener">[Japan Partial Tender] AEON (8267) Partial Offer for TSURUHA (3391) Announced at ¥2,900/Share</a></em> is trading rich.</li>
<li>The Conclusions/Trade section was clear on the near-term risks. There was good short-term upside. There may be less with the stock trading 0.5% away from the tender price.</li>
<li>With the stock trading so close, it changes the calculus, in both directions.</li>
</ul>



Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)'s Partial Offer for Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP) discussed in [Japan Partial Tender] AEON (8267) Partial Offer for TSURUHA (3391) Announced at ¥2,900/Share is trading rich.
The Conclusions/Trade section was clear on the near-term risks. There was good short-term upside. There may be less with the stock trading 0.5% away from the tender price.
With the stock trading so close, it changes the calculus, in both directions.


[Japan Partial Tender] AEON (8267) Tender for TSURUHA (3391) Trading Rich

Broadmedia Corporation provides broadband service, CDN (contents delivery network), and media contents belonging to Softbank broadcasting. Broadmedia also markets game on demand service.

<ul>
<li>Today after the close, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/broadmedia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1680:1" rel="noopener">Broadmedia Corp (4347 JP)</a> announced that UK-based Japan activist AVI and one of its funds would launch a tender offer for just over 10% of shares.</li>
<li>The Tender Offer comes at a 29.5% premium, and it would take the activist to ~40% - close to board-spilling influence.</li>
<li>This creates an interesting setup. One wonders whether this is meant to spill the Board post-tender, and whether the Company will seek alternate solutions.</li>
</ul>


Today after the close, Broadmedia Corp (4347 JP) announced that UK-based Japan activist AVI and one of its funds would launch a tender offer for just over 10% of shares.
The Tender Offer comes at a 29.5% premium, and it would take the activist to ~40% - close to board-spilling influence.
This creates an interesting setup. One wonders whether this is meant to spill the Board post-tender, and whether the Company will seek alternate solutions.


[Japan Activism/M&A] Activist Launches Partial Tender to Put Microcap Broadmedia (4347 JP) In Play

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsuruha-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9536:1" rel="noopener">Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)</a> announced a partial tender offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a> at JPY2,900, a 27.2% premium over the previously stated offer price of JPY2,280.</li>
<li>Aeon will acquire a maximum (upper limit) of 43.2 million shares (9.52% ownership ratio) such that it attains a 50.90% ownership ratio. There is no lower limit. </li>
<li>The offer is above the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range and marginally below the JPY3,100 price Aeon paid in 2024 to acquire Oasis’ stake. </li>
</ul>



Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP) announced a partial tender offer from Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP) at JPY2,900, a 27.2% premium over the previously stated offer price of JPY2,280.
Aeon will acquire a maximum (upper limit) of 43.2 million shares (9.52% ownership ratio) such that it attains a 50.90% ownership ratio. There is no lower limit. 
The offer is above the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range and marginally below the JPY3,100 price Aeon paid in 2024 to acquire Oasis’ stake. 


Tsuruha (3391 JP): Aeon (8267 JP) Bumps Its Partial Tender Offer to JPY2,900

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsuruha-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9536:1" rel="noopener">Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)</a> had been planning to release a Medium Term Management Plan this month BUT stock prices are higher, goodwill effects changed, so they announced a "<a href="https://files.microcms-assets.io/assets/9cc6c4957a514b11b1d7cdc6bd2fec67/a6dd20c2f33441b4b5e595bb5e9f6293/20251201_vision_en.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Vision</a>" instead. </li>
<li>Today post-close, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a> announced its Partial Tender Offer on TSURUHA (<a href="https://www.aeon.info/wp-content/uploads/news/pdf/2025/12/251202R_1.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Japanese</a>) at ¥2,900/share. Slightly lower than hoped. Much better than before. </li>
<li>AEON obviously <em>really</em> did not want to bump, but they did, considering synergies and the desire to consummate the deal. The Tender Offer shrinks so minimum pro-ration is lower. </li>
</ul>



Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP) had been planning to release a Medium Term Management Plan this month BUT stock prices are higher, goodwill effects changed, so they announced a "Vision" instead. 
Today post-close, Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP) announced its Partial Tender Offer on TSURUHA (Japanese) at ¥2,900/share. Slightly lower than hoped. Much better than before. 
AEON obviously really did not want to bump, but they did, considering synergies and the desire to consummate the deal. The Tender Offer shrinks so minimum pro-ration is lower. 


[Japan Partial Tender] AEON (8267) Partial Offer for TSURUHA (3391) Announced at ¥2,900/Share

<ul>
<li>A month ago I wrote <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-activism-m-a-closing-in-on-the-tsuruha-partial-tender-likely-needs-to-be-higher" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:206132" rel="noopener">[Japan Activism/M&amp;A] - Closing In On the Tsuruha Partial Tender - Likely Needs To Be Higher</a>. Now we are &lt;2wks to the deal.  </li>
<li>At the time, I said the Partial Tender Offer Price needed to be higher than the mooted ¥2,280. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsuruha-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9536:1" rel="noopener">Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)</a> shares are up 10.0% in that month. </li>
<li>The three largest peers are -2.0% on average in that period. The average of 8 peers is +0.5%. I still expect the partial offer price needs to be near ¥3,100</li>
</ul>


A month ago I wrote [Japan Activism/M&amp;A] - Closing In On the Tsuruha Partial Tender - Likely Needs To Be Higher. Now we are &lt;2wks to the deal.  
At the time, I said the Partial Tender Offer Price needed to be higher than the mooted ¥2,280. Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP) shares are up 10.0% in that month. 
The three largest peers are -2.0% on average in that period. The average of 8 peers is +0.5%. I still expect the partial offer price needs to be near ¥3,100


[Japan Activism/M&A] Thinking About the Partial Tender Trade Coming in Dec25

Insights on Partial Offer/Partial Tender Offers

Partial Offer / Partial Tender Offer
Insights on Partial Offer/Partial Tender Offers

[Japan Partial Tender] AEON (8267) Tender for TSURUHA (3391) Trading Rich

The Tsuruha Partial Tender traded quite rich this past week. It was a good time to sell. Dissension buyback showed accretion but Post-tender...

Travis Lundy

[Japan Activism/M&A] Activist Launches Partial Tender to Put Microcap Broadmedia (4347 JP) In Play

An Activist owns 28% and is now launching a partial offer to go to 39%. That's big. We will need to wait for a response but the company's future is...

Travis Lundy

Tsuruha (3391 JP): Aeon (8267 JP) Bumps Its Partial Tender Offer to JPY2,900

A good result for minorities, as the offer has been bumped from JPY2,280 to JPY2,900. The offer is modestly below the JPY3,100 price Aeon paid in...

Arun George

[Japan Activism/M&A] Thinking About the Partial Tender Trade Coming in Dec25

Tsuruha and Welcia getting smacked late this AM and early PM - down 7% just now. This looks like an unwind of pre-positioned longs for the M _ _ _...

Travis Lundy

[Japan Partial Tender] AEON (8267) Tender for TSURUHA (3391) Trading Rich

The Tsuruha Partial Tender traded quite rich this past week. It was a good time to sell. Dissension buyback showed accretion but Post-tender...

Travis Lundy

[Japan Activism/M&A] Activist Launches Partial Tender to Put Microcap Broadmedia (4347 JP) In Play

An Activist owns 28% and is now launching a partial offer to go to 39%. That's big. We will need to wait for a response but the company's future is...

Travis Lundy

Tsuruha (3391 JP): Aeon (8267 JP) Bumps Its Partial Tender Offer to JPY2,900

A good result for minorities, as the offer has been bumped from JPY2,280 to JPY2,900. The offer is modestly below the JPY3,100 price Aeon paid in...

Arun George

[Japan Partial Tender] AEON (8267) Partial Offer for TSURUHA (3391) Announced at ¥2,900/Share

AEON announced the TSURUHA Tender Offer at a revised price of ¥2,900. They really did not want to bump but that was childish. Smaller Tender but 6%...

Travis Lundy

[Japan Activism/M&A] Thinking About the Partial Tender Trade Coming in Dec25

Tsuruha and Welcia getting smacked late this AM and early PM - down 7% just now. This looks like an unwind of pre-positioned longs for the M _ _ _...

Travis Lundy