Economist, Centennial Asia Advisors

Nicholas Chia

Centennial Asia Advisors deliver timely and accurate economic and political analysis to investors, focused on anticipating key turning points that affect the client’s interests in the Asia-Pacific region. Clients include public agencies and central banks, as well as fund managers and investment banks. The company draws strength from its flexibility to tailor products to fit client’s specific interests. It provides detailed macro-economic forecasts, scenario analysis and timely assessments of how specific major economic and political developments may affect a client’s areas of interest. At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way.

Economist

The Philippines: Duterte's Final SONA An Uninspiring Swansong

The Philippines: 2H21 Growth Under Pressure, Despite Base Effects-Fuelled Rebound in 2Q21

The Philippines: Preview of the 2022 Presidential Elections

The Philippines: Manny A Candidate Make for a Boisterous Electioneering Season

The Philippines: Taking Stock Of The Philippines With 1 Year Left on Duterte’s Term

The Philippines: The Broader Implications of New Deal with Manila Water Are Negative

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>All indications point to a moderation in economic momentum in the Philippine economy, despite favourable base effects from last year's lockdown.</li>
<li>There is a discernible deceleration in export growth not unlike what transpired in Malaysia, which adds credence to the view of markets that growth in the advanced economies may have peaked in 2Q21 (or will do so by 3Q21).</li>
<li>Our nowcast pegs growth in 2Q21 at +12.9% y/y, which will not offset last year's gruelling contraction in output.</li>
</ul>


All indications point to a moderation in economic momentum in the Philippine economy, despite favourable base effects from last year's lockdown.
There is a discernible deceleration in export growth not unlike what transpired in Malaysia, which adds credence to the view of markets that growth in the advanced economies may have peaked in 2Q21 (or will do so by 3Q21).
Our nowcast pegs growth in 2Q21 at +12.9% y/y, which will not offset last year's gruelling contraction in output.


The Philippines: An Uninspiring Recovery Fuelled Mainly By Base Effects