Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

CrossBorder Capital an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Our proprietary databases (available to clients) cover 80 countries in depth from 1980 onwards. We take a systematic quantitative methodology that uses this data with AI models to predict financial market movements. The efficacy of our data has been independently verified, and we have an associated but separate asset management division.

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

Hawkish Fed Policy Outlook Returns to Haunt Markets as Future Measures Seek to Cool Labour Demand

Rush to Normalise Fed Policy Settings Raises Questions Over US Corporate Profits Outlook

Fed Still Playing Catch-Up By Relying on Policy Gradualism to Tame Inflation

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>
 Bear market caused by sharp monetary squeeze as Central Bank liquidity withdrawn. More pain to come US Federal Reserve is now leading the charge. </li>
<li>QT is slated to begin in June, but Fed has already been secretly tightening liquidity for months</li>
<li>Effective Fed balance sheet is set to contract by US$2 trillion under QT plans, but policy error could easily force a bigger US$3 trillion correction and crater stock prices</li>
</ul>



 Bear market caused by sharp monetary squeeze as Central Bank liquidity withdrawn. More pain to come US Federal Reserve is now leading the charge. 
QT is slated to begin in June, but Fed has already been secretly tightening liquidity for months
Effective Fed balance sheet is set to contract by US$2 trillion under QT plans, but policy error could easily force a bigger US$3 trillion correction and crater stock prices


SPX (S&P500) Will Probably Hit 3200 (Minus 18%) …It Could Even Test 2500 (Minus 35%)!