Independent Economist, Forecaster and Strategist

Thomas Lam

Tom has over two decades of experience in the realm of economics and finance, with expertise ranging from covering the global economy, deciphering financial markets, including macro forecasting, to advising on investment strategy.

He commenced his career in New York, initially at a large money-center bank and then at a hedge fund.  Thereafter, while in Singapore, he worked at two financial institutions and later joined academia.  

Tom has been consistently ranked among the top five most accurate economists in the world on forecasting the US economy overall (placed third, last published by the “Bloomberg Rankings of Top Forecasters”).  During the Global Financial Crisis, he was also acknowledged as the second-best US forecaster worldwide.  

Moreover, he was exclusively identified by Bloomberg to have accurately predicted the onset of the 2009 US recovery 16 months ahead of the official announcement.  Consequently, he has been widely publicized as one of “Wall Street’s Most Prophetic Economists”.

Is the Unemployment Rate Drifting Higher or Lower?

Charting Beyond the Equity Market Headlines

Monitoring Global Central Bank Actions for Potential Clues

Global Liquidity Will Be Hit By Sell-Off in Treasuries

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The debate will become increasingly more complicated as actual inflation continues to exceed the Fed’s goal</li>
<li>Hence, it is useful to go beyond the routine analysis of the raw data to extract additional inflation markers and indicators   </li>
<li>My longer-term inflation outlook will be informed by my ongoing scrutiny of the incoming data via the lens of the unique markers and indicators    </li>
</ul>


The debate will become increasingly more complicated as actual inflation continues to exceed the Fed’s goal
Hence, it is useful to go beyond the routine analysis of the raw data to extract additional inflation markers and indicators   
My longer-term inflation outlook will be informed by my ongoing scrutiny of the incoming data via the lens of the unique markers and indicators    


Probing the Evolving Inflation Debate