Global Mobility/Transport, Equity Long-Short

Mohshin Aziz

Capital market veteran with 22 years experience with stints as an analyst (sell-side & buyside), investor relations and fund manager. 

My key expertise in the aviation sector. My definition of "aviation" includes airlines, travel tours, airports, airport retail & services, OEMs, online travel agents, aircraft lessors, air cargo/logistics, etc.   

I have an active watchlist consisting 190 companies across 41 countries. The aviation sector is highly cyclical and I am constantly evaluating signals to uncover attractive trade opportunities.

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement - Selldowns Are Becoming Increasingly Regular

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Lockup - Time for Another Selldown, This Time Could Touch US$900m

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement - Has Sold Before, Will Sell Again

Equity Bottom-Up

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)</a> (Indigo) has turnaround and is on path to achieve record profits in FY2024 on strong demand, stable FX and lower jet fuel prices </li>
<li>However, engine problems will hurt capacity deployment in 4QFY24 and FY2025, and the engine manufacturer has been very vague and unreliable in presenting its remedial plans </li>
<li>Share price near all-time high and valuations (PE, EV/EBITDAR) are expensive compared to global LCCs. TP of INR2,513 (14% DOWNSIDE) pegged to 15x FY2025 PE (top-end LCC cycle)  </li>
</ul>



InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN) (Indigo) has turnaround and is on path to achieve record profits in FY2024 on strong demand, stable FX and lower jet fuel prices 
However, engine problems will hurt capacity deployment in 4QFY24 and FY2025, and the engine manufacturer has been very vague and unreliable in presenting its remedial plans 
Share price near all-time high and valuations (PE, EV/EBITDAR) are expensive compared to global LCCs. TP of INR2,513 (14% DOWNSIDE) pegged to 15x FY2025 PE (top-end LCC cycle)  


Interglobe Aviation (INDIGO IN | SELL | TP: INR2,513): Not Worth a King's Ransom