Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Capital Markets

In this IPO report on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOM IN)</a> we discuss the proposed issue details, likely valuation estimates based on recent pre-IPO fundraising, the company's operational basics, strengths, and risks as well as its reported financials.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOM IN)</a>, a leading online food delivery platform based in India, has filed with the regulator to raise more than a billion dollars through a combination of fresh equity and the sale of existing shares. Online food delivery services witnessed skyrocketing demand growth last year thanks to COVID-led restrictions. With India now being hit by another wave of the pandemic, which seems way stronger and deadlier than last year, lockdowns and travel restrictions are back; this could be another boom period for Zomato and its peers. However, we suspect the timing of the IPO may not be opportune given the country is reeling from the aftermath of a devastating new wave and the retail investment environment may not be enthusing.

In this IPO report on Zomato (ZOM IN) we discuss the proposed issue details, likely valuation estimates based on recent pre-IPO fundraising, the company's operational basics, strengths, and risks as well as its reported financials.Zomato (ZOM IN), a leading online food delivery platform based in India, has filed with the regulator to raise more than a billion dollars through a combination of fresh equity and the sale of existing shares. Online food delivery services witnessed skyrocketing demand growth last year thanks to COVID-led restrictions. With India now being hit by another wave of the pandemic, which seems way stronger and deadlier than last year, lockdowns and travel restrictions are back; this could be another boom period for Zomato and its peers. However, we suspect the timing of the IPO may not be opportune given the country is reeling from the aftermath of a devastating new wave and the retail investment environment may not be enthusing. 

Zomato's USD 1Bn IPO: India Foodtech's Lead Play. Striking when the Market Is COVID-Hot.

Indian Accounting Research Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Indian Accounting Research Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOM IN)</a> , a Gurgaon based start-up, is launching its IPO, which is perceived to be one of the most excited events in 2021. Such is the familiarity of this company, which is one of the pioneers in food-delivery cum restaurant aggregator tech platform in India. 
Zomato has increased multifold in the last decade. Backed by some of the headline investors which include but not limited to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/info-edge-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14461:1" rel="noopener">Info Edge India (INFOE IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uber-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:430:1" rel="noopener">Uber (UBER US)</a>, Ant Financial, Sequoia, Tiger Global, Fidelity etc., the company has reached a valuation of $5.9 bn in Feb'21. As the company becomes the ray of hope for several promising consumer tech and internet companies in India, the IPO is expected to be the one that receives great attention.
Zomato's revenues may have grown at the rate of knots since F18, it is imperative to know that the company is still at a cash burn stage, delivering negative EBITDA. But there are many more cautions one should be aware of, ranging from accounting changes to volatile balance sheet to poor investments. Like always, we do not comment on the valuation of IPO.

Zomato (ZOM IN) , a Gurgaon based start-up, is launching its IPO, which is perceived to be one of the most excited events in 2021. Such is the familiarity of this company, which is one of the pioneers in food-delivery cum restaurant aggregator tech platform in India. 
Zomato has increased multifold in the last decade. Backed by some of the headline investors which include but not limited to Info Edge India (INFOE IN) , Alibaba Group (9988 HK) , Uber (UBER US), Ant Financial, Sequoia, Tiger Global, Fidelity etc., the company has reached a valuation of $5.9 bn in Feb'21. As the company becomes the ray of hope for several promising consumer tech and internet companies in India, the IPO is expected to be the one that receives great attention.
Zomato's revenues may have grown at the rate of knots since F18, it is imperative to know that the company is still at a cash burn stage, delivering negative EBITDA. But there are many more cautions one should be aware of, ranging from accounting changes to volatile balance sheet to poor investments. Like always, we do not comment on the valuation of IPO.

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOM IN)</a>, the most downloaded food and drinks application in India in each of the last three years, filed for an IPO with The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) on 28th April 2021. The offer comprises INR 75,000m ($1.0bn) worth new shares and INR 7,500m ($102m) worth secondary shares.</li>
<li>Zomato made an operating loss of INR 3.6bn in 9MFY21 (serving only about 50% of the FY20 monthly active customers) compared to INR 22.7bn in FY20. Even though this seems like a significant improvement, it is more an indication that Zomato is incapable of generating a profit even from its most loyal customers.</li>
<li>With the recent unprofitable online food delivery IPO, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/roofoods-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27468:1" rel="noopener">Deliveroo (ROO LN)</a> trading about 33% below the IPO price, we see little potential in Zomato, unless it is priced at a discount to peers.</li>
</ul>



Zomato (ZOM IN), the most downloaded food and drinks application in India in each of the last three years, filed for an IPO with The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) on 28th April 2021. The offer comprises INR 75,000m ($1.0bn) worth new shares and INR 7,500m ($102m) worth secondary shares.
Zomato made an operating loss of INR 3.6bn in 9MFY21 (serving only about 50% of the FY20 monthly active customers) compared to INR 22.7bn in FY20. Even though this seems like a significant improvement, it is more an indication that Zomato is incapable of generating a profit even from its most loyal customers.
With the recent unprofitable online food delivery IPO, Deliveroo (ROO LN) trading about 33% below the IPO price, we see little potential in Zomato, unless it is priced at a discount to peers.


Zomato IPO: Improving Unit Economics Could Be Misleading & There Could Be Goodwill Write-Offs

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOM IN)</a> recently filed its <a href="https://www.sebi.gov.in/filings/public-issues/apr-2021/zomato-limited-drhp_49956.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">DRHP</a> with the SEBI last week. ZOM is one of the two Online Food Delivery (OFD) players in India, the other being Swiggy.
ZOM's IPO is also the ray of hope for the many consumer tech and internet companies in India and thus is expected to be the one that receives the maximum attention.
India OFD is a multi-decade play, and hence rather than just one insight, ZOM will be in our coverage with multiple insights over various periods of time even post IPO. 
This Insight focuses on Total Addressable Market (TAM) and SAM (Serviceable Addressable Market) for OFD players in India along with an overview of the current market structure.

Zomato (ZOM IN) recently filed its DRHP with the SEBI last week. ZOM is one of the two Online Food Delivery (OFD) players in India, the other being Swiggy.
ZOM's IPO is also the ray of hope for the many consumer tech and internet companies in India and thus is expected to be the one that receives the maximum attention.
India OFD is a multi-decade play, and hence rather than just one insight, ZOM will be in our coverage with multiple insights over various periods of time even post IPO. 
This Insight focuses on Total Addressable Market (TAM) and SAM (Serviceable Addressable Market) for OFD players in India along with an overview of the current market structure. 

ASA Capital Management

ASA Capital Management is a boutique Research and Investment Advisory firm focusing on primary research in India. ASA provides bespoke research services to Institutional Clients with a focus on due diligence backed with primary research, Field Trips & Channel Checks.

Equity Bottom-Up

Our objective with this weekly is to highlight notable developments in the India internet and consumer sector focusing on public and private companies. The sub-sectors covered include payment providers, e-commerce retailers,  social media platforms and consumer companies.
<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> takes the lead once again, becoming the market leader of the booming Indian smartphone industry. On an uptake, the third quarter appears to be a game changer for the industry - pushing it's performance to new heights, finally getting the sector back to normalcy.</li>
<li>Food aggregators <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOM IN)</a> and Swiggy have seen the difficult pandemic times turn into a green shoot for them. With Tier 2 cities booming with demand, they now focus on a pan India approach adding more and more restaurant partners under their umbrella every month.</li>
<li>Burger King India Ltd. is all geared up to come out with an IPO in India to raise INR 5.42 billion through an issue of 60 million shares.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/walmart-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11134:1" rel="noopener">Walmart (WMT US)</a> owned Flipkart to  buy a 7.8% stake in Aditya Birla Fashion. The purchase will not only help the company cut down its debt, but also help it have a better grounding whilst competing with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amazon-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:409:1" rel="noopener">Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:198:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Industries (RIL IN)</a> .</li>
</ul>

Our objective with this weekly is to highlight notable developments in the India internet and consumer sector focusing on public and private companies. The sub-sectors covered include payment providers, e-commerce retailers,  social media platforms and consumer companies.


Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) takes the lead once again, becoming the market leader of the booming Indian smartphone industry. On an uptake, the third quarter appears to be a game changer for the industry - pushing it's performance to new heights, finally getting the sector back to normalcy.
Food aggregators Zomato (ZOM IN) and Swiggy have seen the difficult pandemic times turn into a green shoot for them. With Tier 2 cities booming with demand, they now focus on a pan India approach adding more and more restaurant partners under their umbrella every month.
Burger King India Ltd. is all geared up to come out with an IPO in India to raise INR 5.42 billion through an issue of 60 million shares.

Walmart (WMT US) owned Flipkart to  buy a 7.8% stake in Aditya Birla Fashion. The purchase will not only help the company cut down its debt, but also help it have a better grounding whilst competing with Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US) and Reliance Industries (RIL IN) .


India Internet & Consumer Weekly | Xiaomi, Zomato, Swiggy, BurgerKing and Flipkart

India

Zomato Limited is an online restaurant guide and food ordering platform. The Company offers platform connects customers, restaurant partners and delivery partners to search and discover restaurants, read and write customer generated reviews, order food delivery, book a table, and make payments while dining-out at restaurants. Zomato serves customers worldwide.

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Zomato (ZOMATO IN)

Zomato's USD 1Bn IPO: India Foodtech's Lead Play. Striking when the Market Is COVID-Hot.

Preview of (likely) IPO valuation based on Zomato's recent fundraising, and analysis of the company's operational basics, strengths, risks, and...

Devi Subhakesan

Zomato IPO: Caution Before Frenzy

Zomato's revenues may have grown at the rate of knots since F18. But there are many more cautions one should be aware of, ranging from accounting...

Nitin Mangal

Zomato IPO: Improving Unit Economics Could Be Misleading & There Could Be Goodwill Write-Offs

Even though Zomato's 9MFY21 results seems like a significant improvement in unit economics, it is more an indication that Zomato is incapable of...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Zomato (ZOM IN) | The "Desi" TAMinator

Indian OFD is a humungous opportunity. A conductive market structure, a two-player market, decreasing discounts, ability to increase delivery...

Pranav Bhavsar

India Internet & Consumer Weekly | Xiaomi, Zomato, Swiggy, BurgerKing and Flipkart

Our weekly monitor this week highlights Xiaomi's robust performance in India, Strategies deployed by food aggregators to gain market share. Burger...

Pranav Bhavsar

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